Minas vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Feb 2023

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 110-79

32-15 28-21 19-24 31-19

Position#4

Record16-6

FormWLLWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game77.6

Minas 🏆

Brasilia

Position#15

Record6-16

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game84.8

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Minas v Brasilia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brasilia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

74-67

H12/01

NBB

Quimsa

74-86

-12

H16/01

Champions League Americas

Bigua

#11

90-61

+29

H18/01

Champions League Americas

Corinthians Paulista

90-105

105

-15

H23/01

Super 8

Sao Jose

#10

96-89

A30/01

NBB

Bigua

#11

111-73

111

+38

A05/02

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

72-83

-11

A06/02

Champions League Americas

Caxias do Sul

#11

63-80

-17

A10/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

82-78

A12/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

99-70

+29

H15/02

NBB

12-19

22-19

22-17

18-12

13-23

21-24

24-17

16-22

24-17

23-14

21-14

22-16

26-24

17-25

20-27

27-29

21-19

26-31

29-18

20-21

21-17

38-17

23-20

29-19

17-27

22-14

17-23

16-19

16-15

13-31

12-15

22-19

25-17

22-19

16-18

19-24

39-17

24-17

20-16

16-20

164.3Avg total

85.1Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	85.0	77.6	162.5	+7.4	73%
Season at home (11)	84.5	72.9	157.5	+11.6	82%
Season away (11)	85.4	82.3	167.6	+3.1	64%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	79.2	164.3	+5.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	76.8	162.2	+8.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	81.7	90.0	171.7	-8.3	0%
vs Similar (6)	74.5	78.0	152.5	-3.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	89.5	76.7	166.2	+12.8	80%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

87-85

A20/12

NBB

Franca

94-99

-5

A22/12

NBB

Pato

#12

79-66

+13

H03/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

88-101

101

-13

H05/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

80-82

-2

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

88-101

101

-13

H11/01

NBB

Bauru

70-72

-2

A16/01

NBB

Pinheiros

83-94

-11

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

78-88

-10

H01/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

74-96

-22

H04/02

NBB

16-16

21-26

27-18

23-25

16-29

16-22

26-23

36-25

24-13

20-13

21-17

14-23

25-34

22-26

19-21

22-20

22-14

21-20

17-27

20-21

18-39

22-24

29-17

19-21

15-21

11-18

28-27

16-6

17-27

13-26

25-27

28-14

20-17

17-21

22-28

19-22

24-28

19-12

17-31

14-25

170.5Avg total

82.1Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	78.5	84.8	163.3	-6.4	27%
Season at home (11)	77.8	87.5	165.4	-9.7	9%
Season away (11)	79.1	82.1	161.2	-3.0	45%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	88.4	170.5	-6.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	90.2	168.8	-11.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	78.2	87.6	165.8	-9.4	18%
vs Similar (8)	81.4	78.2	159.6	+3.1	62%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MinasBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.1	38.6	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	18.9	41.1	+3.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.6	42.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.8	18.1	40.0	+3.7	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.7	44.3	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	23.3	45.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	22.2	42.9	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	23.8	43.5	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	26.4	45.2	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.8	24.8	46.5	-3.0	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	17.1	38.0	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	20.4	41.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	19.9	42.2	+2.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.6	43.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	24.7	44.0	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	19.5	43.1	+4.1	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	22.4	41.1	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.2	36.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.9	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

34-38

-4

H12/01

NBB

Quimsa

34-47

-13

H16/01

Champions League Americas

Bigua

#11

47-31

+16

H18/01

Champions League Americas

Corinthians Paulista

43-49

-6

H23/01

Super 8

Sao Jose

#10

47-50

-3

A30/01

NBB

Bigua

#11

59-34

+25

A05/02

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

39-41

-2

A06/02

Champions League Americas

Caxias do Sul

#11

29-46

-17

A10/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

47-36

+11

A12/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

63-34

+29

H15/02

NBB

84.8Avg total

44.2Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	38.7	81.7	+4.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	38.6	80.3	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.5	38.8	83.3	+5.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	40.6	84.8	+3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	38.2	85.6	+9.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.0	43.7	83.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.5	37.8	74.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.5	37.6	83.1	+7.8	65%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

37-42

-5

A20/12

NBB

Franca

32-51

-19

A22/12

NBB

Pato

#12

44-26

+18

H03/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

47-60

-13

H05/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

43-34

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

40-63

-23

H11/01

NBB

Bauru

26-39

-13

A16/01

NBB

Pinheiros

30-53

-23

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

37-38

-1

H01/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

43-40

H04/02

NBB

82.5Avg total

37.9Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	44.0	84.1	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	43.3	84.2	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	44.7	83.9	-5.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	44.6	82.5	-6.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	46.6	81.8	-11.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	39.7	46.5	86.2	-6.9	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.0	37.1	78.1	+3.9	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	16.8	38.3	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	18.0	39.9	+3.9	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	22.1	39.3	-4.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	23.6	46.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	26.0	50.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-4.0	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	19.2	38.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	19.2	36.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.7	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.9	40.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.6	19.2	39.9	+1.4	59%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.9	81.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	38.1	80.5	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	42.0	83.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	38.6	79.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	38.6	76.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	42.0	80.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.0	40.2	78.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.3	38.8	82.0	+4.5	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.8	79.5	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	42.9	79.9	-5.9	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	39.0	79.1	+1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	43.8	88.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	43.6	87.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	38.5	41.0	79.5	-2.5	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minas wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
19/11/22	Brasilia v Minas	74-94
11/03/22	Minas v Brasilia	95-82
09/12/21	Brasilia v Minas	77-82
28/01/21	Brasilia v Minas	75-99
02/12/20	Minas v Brasilia	105-100 OT
29/12/19	Minas v Brasilia	90-60
26/03/19	Minas v Brasilia	68-74
10/12/18	Brasilia v Minas	88-77
13/03/17	Minas v Brasilia	62-74
07/01/17	Brasilia v Minas	92-79

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/23	H	Cerrado	99-70
12/02/23	A	Uniao Corinthians	82-78
10/02/23	A	Caxias do Sul	63-80
06/02/23	A	Quimsa	72-83
05/02/23	A	Bigua	111-73
30/01/23	A	Sao Jose	96-89
23/01/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	90-105
18/01/23	H	Bigua	90-61
16/01/23	H	Quimsa	74-86
12/01/23	H	Pinheiros	74-67

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/02/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	74-96
01/02/23	H	Caxias do Sul	78-88
18/01/23	A	Pinheiros	83-94
16/01/23	A	Bauru	70-72
11/01/23	H	Unifacisa	88-101
09/01/23	H	Cearense	80-82
05/01/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	88-101
03/01/23	H	Pato	79-66
22/12/22	A	Franca	94-99
20/12/22	A	Rio Claro	87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	82%
Away	WLWLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	73%	82%	64%
Points / game	85.0	84.5	85.4
Allowed / game	77.6	72.9	82.3
Point differential	+7.4	+11.6	+3.1
Avg total	162.5	157.5	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	27%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	67% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	9%	9%

Brasilia

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	27%
Home	LLLLL	9%
Away	WWLLL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	27%	9%	45%
Points / game	78.5	77.8	79.1
Allowed / game	84.8	87.5	82.1
Point differential	-6.4	-9.7	-3.0
Avg total	163.3	165.4	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	9%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	0% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	23	23	0	100%	90.0	77.1	+13.0
2	Flamengo	23	21	2	91%	83.1	67.9	+15.2
3	Sao Paulo	22	17	5	77%	88.2	79.0	+9.2
4	Minas	22	16	6	73%	85.0	77.6	+7.4
5	Paulistano	24	15	9	62%	76.0	72.7	+3.3
6	Corinthians Paulista	23	14	9	61%	82.8	80.0	+2.8
7	Bauru	22	13	9	59%	78.0	70.5	+7.5
8	Pinheiros	23	13	10	57%	80.3	78.0	+2.2
9	Sao Jose	25	11	14	44%	80.0	82.1	-2.1
10	Caxias do Sul	23	10	13	43%	75.0	76.7	-1.7
11	Unifacisa	23	10	13	43%	78.5	81.7	-3.2
12	Uniao Corinthians	21	6	15	29%	78.7	82.3	-3.6
13	Brasilia	22	6	16	27%	78.5	84.8	-6.4
14	Pato	24	6	18	25%	77.4	87.0	-9.5
15	Rio Claro	23	5	18	22%	75.6	87.8	-12.2
16	Cearense	24	5	19	21%	71.9	83.9	-12.0
17	Cerrado	23	4	19	17%	83.8	92.2	-8.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minas	32	28	19	31	110
Brasilia	15	21	24	19	79

← all games of the day

Minas vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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