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Libertadores vs Santos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 103-83
25-17 28-18 21-27 29-21
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#5
Record4-0
FormWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game76.2
MexicoLNBP· Auditorio General Jose Maria Arteaga (Querétaro)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Libertadores v Santos
01 Sep 2023
LIBE100
SANT83
31 Aug 2023
LIBE103
SANT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertadores winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertadoresMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Esteli
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
107-86
107
86
+21
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A04/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Plateros
#8
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H19/08
LNBP
Plateros
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H20/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A26/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
102-103
102
103
-1
A27/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-24
19-27
30-27
30-27
28-15
22-25
26-23
30-21
24-29
23-19
24-21
25-14
21-22
24-28
37-22
13-28
21-20
17-23
27-27
15-28
21-28
29-14
19-23
31-15
18-20
18-18
22-23
28-16
18-20
24-24
16-16
20-16
20-13
21-19
21-16
27-30
31-17
19-21
25-35
179.3Avg total
91.9Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.879.8169.5+10.075%
Season at home (2)87.576.0163.5+11.5100%
Season away (2)92.083.5175.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)91.987.4179.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)88.682.4171.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.893.5176.3-10.725%
vs Similar (6)88.887.3176.2+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)98.288.0186.2+10.283%
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#14
W
105-68
105
68
+37
A20/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A20/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H25/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H26/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
28-18
25-14
28-15
29-22
18-24
25-17
30-28
19-22
25-16
14-19
26-15
22-25
23-19
16-25
19-5
169.0Avg total
92.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.876.2169.0+16.5100%
Season at home (2)82.073.0155.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)103.579.5183.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (4)92.876.2169.0+16.5100%
Last 5 (4)92.876.2169.0+16.5100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)92.876.2169.0+16.5100%
This opponent (Libertadores) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +10.0+10.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +10.0+10.0
LibertadoresSantos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertadoresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Esteli
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A04/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Plateros
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/08
LNBP
Plateros
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A26/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A27/08
LNBP
87.9Avg total
45.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.087.7-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.643.790.3+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.385.1-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)45.642.387.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.686.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.847.885.5-10.08%-
vs Similar (6)41.543.785.2-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.740.591.2+10.283%-
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A20/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A20/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H26/08
LNBP
88.8Avg total
47.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)47.041.888.8+5.2100%-
Last 30 at home (2)44.541.085.5+3.5100%-
Last 30 away (2)49.542.592.0+7.0100%-
Last 10 (4)47.041.888.8+5.2100%-
Last 5 (4)47.041.888.8+5.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)47.041.888.8+5.2100%-
This opponent (Libertadores) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Libertadores wins
0
Santos wins
No previous meetings.
Libertadoreslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/23ACorrecaminos102-103
26/08/23ACorrecaminos82-64
20/08/23HPlateros86-76
19/08/23HPlateros89-76
09/03/23HMinas84-93
04/03/23AMinas78-98
10/02/23ABrampton Honey Badgers107-86
09/02/23AReal Esteli101-90
18/01/23HBrampton Honey Badgers106-90
17/01/23AReal Esteli84-98
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/08/23HFreseros80-74
25/08/23HFreseros84-72
20/08/23ACorrecaminos102-91
20/08/23ACorrecaminos105-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertadores
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game89.887.592.0
Allowed / game79.876.083.5
Point differential+10.0+11.5+8.5
Avg total169.5163.5175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santos
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.882.0103.5
Allowed / game76.273.079.5
Point differential+16.5+9.0+24.0
Avg total169.0155.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Santos440100%92.876.2+16.5
2 Astros43175%90.878.8+12.0
3 Libertadores43175%89.879.8+10.0
4 Dorados43175%85.581.8+3.8
5 Fuerza Regia43175%84.083.8+0.2
6 Abejas42250%78.576.2+2.2
7 Halcones Rojos42250%83.081.2+1.8
8 Soles42250%79.878.2+1.5
9 Halcones de Xalapa42250%77.278.8-1.5
10 Panteras52340%87.290.6-3.4
11 Mineros41325%83.891.2-7.5
12 Plateros41325%75.284.5-9.2
13 Correcaminos41325%81.597.8-16.2
14 Freseros5050%75.482.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertadores25282129103
Santos1718272183
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