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Libertadores vs Santos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 100-83
28-15 23-18 30-21 19-29
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game81.6
MexicoLNBP· Auditorio General Jose Maria Arteaga (Querétaro)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Libertadores v Santos
01 Sep 2023
LIBE100
SANT83
31 Aug 2023
LIBE103
SANT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertadores winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertadoresMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
107-86
107
86
+21
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A04/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Plateros
#8
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H19/08
LNBP
Plateros
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H20/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A26/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
102-103
102
103
-1
A27/08
LNBP
Santos
#5
W
103-83
103
83
+20
H01/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
28-15
22-25
26-23
30-21
24-29
23-19
24-21
25-14
21-22
24-28
37-22
13-28
21-20
17-23
27-27
15-28
21-28
29-14
19-23
31-15
18-20
18-18
22-23
28-16
18-20
24-24
16-16
20-16
20-13
21-19
21-16
27-30
31-17
19-21
25-35
25-17
28-18
21-27
29-21
179.7Avg total
93.8Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.480.4172.8+12.080%
Season at home (3)92.778.3171.0+14.3100%
Season away (2)92.083.5175.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)93.885.9179.7+7.970%
Last 5 (5)92.480.4172.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.893.5176.3-10.725%
vs Similar (5)90.687.6178.2+3.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)98.687.6186.2+11.085%
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#14
W
105-68
105
68
+37
A20/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A20/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H25/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H26/08
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
L
83-103
83
103
-20
A01/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
28-18
25-14
28-15
29-22
18-24
25-17
30-28
19-22
25-16
14-19
26-15
22-25
23-19
16-25
19-5
17-25
18-28
27-21
21-29
172.4Avg total
90.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.881.6172.4+9.280%
Season at home (2)82.073.0155.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)96.787.3184.0+9.367%
Last 10 (5)90.881.6172.4+9.280%
Last 5 (5)90.881.6172.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)83.0103.0186.0-20.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)92.876.2169.0+16.5100%
This opponent (Libertadores) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +6.4+6.4
LibertadoresSantos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertadoresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A04/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Plateros
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/08
LNBP
Plateros
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A26/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A27/08
LNBP
Santos
#5
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H01/09
LNBP
88.8Avg total
47.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.788.1+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.143.191.2+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.385.1-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)49.236.485.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.847.885.5-10.08%-
vs Similar (5)43.643.687.2+0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.840.190.9+10.885%-
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A20/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A20/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H26/08
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A01/09
LNBP
88.6Avg total
44.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)44.644.088.6+0.680%-
Last 30 at home (2)44.541.085.5+3.5100%-
Last 30 away (3)44.746.090.7-1.367%-
Last 10 (5)44.644.088.6+0.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.644.088.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.053.088.0-18.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)47.041.888.8+5.2100%-
This opponent (Libertadores) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Libertadores wins
0
Santos wins
DateGameScore
01/09/23Libertadores v Santos103-83
Libertadoreslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/23HSantos103-83
27/08/23ACorrecaminos102-103
26/08/23ACorrecaminos82-64
20/08/23HPlateros86-76
19/08/23HPlateros89-76
09/03/23HMinas84-93
04/03/23AMinas78-98
10/02/23ABrampton Honey Badgers107-86
09/02/23AReal Esteli101-90
18/01/23HBrampton Honey Badgers106-90
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/23ALibertadores83-103
26/08/23HFreseros80-74
25/08/23HFreseros84-72
20/08/23ACorrecaminos102-91
20/08/23ACorrecaminos105-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertadores
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game92.492.792.0
Allowed / game80.478.383.5
Point differential+12.0+14.3+8.5
Avg total172.8171.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santos
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game90.882.096.7
Allowed / game81.673.087.3
Point differential+9.2+9.0+9.3
Avg total172.4155.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertadores54180%92.480.4+12.0
2 Astros54180%91.480.4+11.0
3 Santos54180%90.881.6+9.2
4 Fuerza Regia43175%84.083.8+0.2
5 Abejas64267%85.880.0+5.8
6 Halcones de Xalapa53260%81.677.6+4.0
7 Dorados53260%85.884.2+1.6
8 Halcones Rojos42250%83.081.2+1.8
9 Panteras63350%89.291.0-1.8
10 Soles52340%77.877.6+0.2
11 Mineros52340%82.087.0-5.0
12 Plateros51420%74.887.4-12.6
13 Correcaminos61517%83.598.7-15.2
14 Freseros6060%78.385.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertadores28233019100
Santos1518212983
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