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Liberty vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-56
48-31 28-25
Position#30
Record24-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game60.2
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#240
Record15-17
FormLWWLW
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Liberty v Bellarmine
28 Feb 2023
LIBE76
BELL56
09 Feb 2023
LIBE70
BELL50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#146
W
74-45
74
45
+29
H27/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A03/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H10/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
79-55
79
55
+24
A18/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-22
38-23
38-34
36-23
37-23
45-47
30-30
34-39
37-16
33-34
35-32
48-41
41-36
40-52
45-25
34-30
32-36
53-41
26-24
47-29
140.2Avg total
76.5Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.360.2135.5+15.177%
Season at home (19)78.754.4133.1+24.395%
Season away (12)70.069.4139.4+0.650%
Last 10 (10)76.563.7140.2+12.880%
Last 5 (5)80.269.2149.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)64.589.5154.0-25.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)75.158.9134.0+16.282%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A29/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
H03/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
50-70
50
70
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A11/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H17/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A22/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
28-36
39-40
32-31
28-29
43-35
16-37
34-33
32-38
56-46
20-29
37-41
36-34
32-33
24-31
39-30
39-38
28-41
37-38
39-36
141.9Avg total
68.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)66.666.9133.5-0.347%
Season at home (14)72.163.3135.4+8.857%
Season away (18)62.369.7132.0-7.339%
Last 10 (10)68.773.2141.9-4.550%
Last 5 (5)66.270.2136.4-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)59.473.8133.2-14.38%
vs Similar (12)69.167.8136.8+1.367%
vs Weaker (5)76.253.8130.0+22.480%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
LibertyBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#146
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H27/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A04/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
37-16
37
16
+21
H10/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H12/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A18/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A23/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H25/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
35.7Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.127.063.1+9.177%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.324.661.8+12.789%-
Last 30 away (12)34.330.765.0+3.758%-
Last 10 (10)35.727.863.5+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.666.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)36.539.075.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)36.126.162.2+9.979%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A10/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A11/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
20-29
20
29
-9
H17/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A22/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/02
NCAA
65.7Avg total
30.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.932.364.2-0.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.430.665.0+3.743%-
Last 30 away (16)29.833.763.5-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)30.635.165.7-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)31.234.065.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.636.163.7-8.50%-
vs Similar (12)31.032.263.2-1.233%-
vs Weaker (5)41.225.066.2+16.2100%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Liberty wins
0
Bellarmine wins
DateGameScore
10/02/23Liberty v Bellarmine70-50
29/12/22Bellarmine v Liberty53-70
03/02/22Bellarmine v Liberty53-66
27/02/21Bellarmine v Liberty78-94
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HQueens Royals73-53
23/02/23AQueens Royals85-77
18/02/23AJacksonville State79-55
17/02/23AKennesaw State81-88
12/02/23HEastern Kentucky83-73
10/02/23HBellarmine70-50
04/02/23ALipscomb64-69
03/02/23AAustin Peay82-70
29/01/23HFlorida Gulf Coast74-57
27/01/23HStetson74-45
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/23ANorth Florida76-74
25/02/23ANorth Florida67-79
22/02/23AJacksonville63-61
19/02/23HCentral Arkansas68-67
17/02/23HNorth Alabama57-70
11/02/23AQueens Royals88-84
10/02/23ALiberty50-70
04/02/23HJacksonville State71-64
03/02/23HKennesaw State84-90 OT
29/01/23AEastern Kentucky63-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %77%95%50%
Points / game75.378.770.0
Allowed / game60.254.469.4
Point differential+15.1+24.3+0.6
Avg total135.5133.1139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%95%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bellarmine
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW47%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLWWLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %47%57%39%
Points / game66.672.162.3
Allowed / game66.963.369.7
Point differential-0.3+8.8-7.3
Avg total133.5135.4132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)50% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.2822679%73.858.6+15.1
2 Liberty3124777%75.360.2+15.1
3 Kennesaw State3123874%75.669.0+6.6
4 Middle Tenn. St.29181162%71.367.7+3.6
5 Missouri State30161453%65.863.7+2.1
6 Western Kentucky29151452%73.370.8+2.5
7 Delaware31161552%69.770.1-0.4
8 Louisiana Tech29131645%72.769.6+3.1
9 UTEP29131645%68.368.3-0.0
10 Florida International29131645%72.374.6-2.3
11 Jacksonville State31131842%69.970.3-0.4
12 New Mexico State2891932%63.264.3-1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lipscomb31191261%76.470.7+5.6
2 Eastern Kentucky31191261%77.672.7+5.0
3 Stetson29171259%76.873.0+3.8
4 North Alabama31181358%75.774.4+1.3
5 Queens Royals32181456%78.174.9+3.2
6 Florida Gulf Coast32171553%71.269.4+1.8
7 Bellarmine32151747%66.666.9-0.3
8 North Florida31141745%76.277.6-1.4
9 Jacksonville29131645%63.362.6+0.7
10 Austin Peay3192229%66.772.3-5.6
11 Central Arkansas3192229%72.981.5-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty482876
Bellarmine312556
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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