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Liberty vs Stetson Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-45
36-22 38-23
Position#30
Record16-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game58.5
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#146
Record11-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Liberty v Stetson
26 Jan 2023
LIBE74
STET45
19 Feb 2022
LIBE88
STET82
05 Mar 2021
LIBE77
STET64
05 Mar 2020
LIBE66
STET62
22 Feb 2020
LIBE77
STET49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stetson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#49
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H20/12
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#658
W
88-50
88
50
+38
H21/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A29/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A08/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H13/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H15/01
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A20/01
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
42-24
47-21
41-29
35-24
35-29
33-18
44-30
38-13
37-28
29-30
30-32
39-20
33-34
43-29
39-33
26-21
40-31
35-37
38-25
127.7Avg total
73.7Scored
54.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.858.5133.3+16.276%
Season at home (14)80.153.9134.0+26.193%
Season away (7)64.167.7131.9-3.643%
Last 10 (10)73.754.0127.7+19.790%
Last 5 (5)70.458.4128.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)66.084.0150.0-18.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)76.960.9137.8+16.081%
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StetsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#133
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A17/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A22/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
86-80 OT
86
80
+6
A30/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H06/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
95-85 OT
95
85
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
80-51
80
51
+29
A12/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A14/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-52
36-33
32-38
26-35
31-32
38-37
29-27
39-35
43-26
30-35
35-41
38-32
40-19
40-32
30-48
40-37
27-43
45-29
54-43
33-38
150.9Avg total
76.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.872.2148.9+4.658%
Season at home (8)82.166.2148.4+15.975%
Season away (11)72.976.5149.4-3.545%
Last 10 (10)76.474.5150.9+1.960%
Last 5 (5)82.676.8159.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.476.0146.4-5.625%
vs Similar (14)74.677.7152.3-3.150%
vs Weaker (7)80.965.3146.1+15.657%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.3+11.31st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +2.2+2.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.3+11.31st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +2.2+2.2
LibertyStetson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#49
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#658
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H21/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
38-13
38
13
+25
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H13/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/01
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
26-21
26
21
+5
A20/01
NCAA
North Florida
#243
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/01
NCAA
60.3Avg total
35.8Scored
24.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.227.764.9+9.577%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.225.563.7+12.779%-
Last 30 away (11)35.531.466.8+4.173%-
Last 10 (10)35.824.560.3+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)34.427.461.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)38.336.775.0+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)37.126.763.7+10.478%-
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StetsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#133
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A17/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A22/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A30/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H06/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
40-19
40
19
+21
A12/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A14/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H20/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H21/01
NCAA
72.0Avg total
35.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.967.9+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.032.667.6+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)33.334.968.2-1.641%-
Last 10 (10)35.136.972.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.876.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.536.567.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (14)33.535.669.1-2.143%-
vs Weaker (7)38.029.067.0+9.071%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Liberty wins
2
Stetson wins
DateGameScore
20/02/22Liberty v Stetson88-82
05/01/22Stetson v Liberty59-75
05/03/21Liberty v Stetson77-64
16/01/21Stetson v Liberty58-68
16/01/21Stetson v Liberty65-59
06/03/20Liberty v Stetson66-62
22/02/20Liberty v Stetson77-49
25/01/20Stetson v Liberty48-43
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23ANorth Florida73-62
20/01/23AJacksonville66-52
15/01/23HCentral Arkansas82-62
13/01/23HNorth Alabama72-54
08/01/23AEastern Kentucky59-62
06/01/23HJacksonville State75-41
03/01/23HLipscomb77-48
29/12/22ABellarmine70-53
21/12/22HMid-Atlantic88-50
20/12/22HGrambling St.75-56
Stetsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HJacksonville State87-81
20/01/23HKennesaw State81-82 OT
14/01/23AEastern Kentucky70-85
12/01/23ABellarmine80-51
08/01/23ANorth Alabama95-85 OT
06/01/23HJacksonville73-61
03/01/23HNorth Florida68-62
30/12/22ALipscomb86-80 OT
22/12/22AUCF Knights58-73
17/12/22AOhio66-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %76%93%43%
Points / game74.880.164.1
Allowed / game58.553.967.7
Point differential+16.2+26.1-3.6
Avg total133.3134.0131.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%93%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stetson
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %58%75%45%
Points / game76.882.172.9
Allowed / game72.266.276.5
Point differential+4.6+15.9-3.5
Avg total148.9148.4149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %21%12%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2116576%74.858.5+16.2
2 Sam Houston St.2015575%78.059.4+18.6
3 Kennesaw State2115671%74.768.6+6.1
4 Middle Tenn. St.2013765%69.765.0+4.7
5 Louisiana Tech2011955%75.569.2+6.3
6 Western Kentucky2011955%73.469.2+4.2
7 UTEP2011955%69.766.3+3.3
8 Missouri State21111052%65.562.5+3.0
9 Delaware21111052%70.070.0+0.0
10 Florida International2091145%71.774.6-3.0
11 Jacksonville State2181338%68.970.9-2.0
12 New Mexico State2071335%73.871.2+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Gulf Coast2114767%70.266.7+3.5
2 Lipscomb2113862%75.567.8+7.8
3 Queens Royals2113862%81.275.1+6.1
4 Eastern Kentucky2213959%79.372.8+6.5
5 Stetson1911858%76.872.2+4.6
6 Jacksonville1911858%64.761.2+3.6
7 North Alabama21111052%74.674.0+0.5
8 Bellarmine22101245%65.664.0+1.6
9 North Florida2081240%74.378.2-4.0
10 Austin Peay2181338%68.671.1-2.5
11 Central Arkansas2161529%72.881.2-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty363874
Stetson222345
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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