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Liberty vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-52
34-35 40-17
Position#158
Record7-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game63.2
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#176
Record6-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mid-Atlantic
#692
W
103-43
103
43
+60
H07/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H25/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H01/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
74-39
74
39
+35
H06/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-19
55-24
35-23
36-36
38-33
50-41
39-36
44-30
35-33
36-28
50-23
49-39
27-44
31-39
33-37
34-39
29-18
45-21
32-32
32-37
141.0Avg total
77.8Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.863.2141.0+14.670%
Season at home (9)80.061.0141.0+19.078%
Season away (1)58.083.0141.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)77.863.2141.0+14.670%
Last 5 (5)72.465.8138.2+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (4)65.072.2137.2-7.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)77.361.2138.5+16.283%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fisk
#423
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#457
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H10/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H24/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
91-77
91
77
+14
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-27
33-34
40-26
43-32
42-28
33-37
40-48
27-44
32-35
55-35
17-32
42-28
43-48
48-29
37-29
38-46
32-42
37-23
43-36
28-42
147.2Avg total
76.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.171.1147.2+5.060%
Season at home (5)74.862.8137.6+12.080%
Season away (5)77.479.4156.8-2.040%
Last 10 (10)76.171.1147.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)74.673.0147.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)75.377.5152.8-2.239%
vs Weaker (12)79.969.8149.8+10.183%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +3.4+3.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +3.4+3.4
LibertyTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mid-Atlantic
#692
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/12
NCAA
66.4Avg total
36.6Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.729.064.7+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.227.564.7+9.784%-
Last 30 away (11)33.231.564.6+1.745%-
Last 10 (10)36.629.866.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.865.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (4)31.836.568.2-4.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)36.627.564.2+9.179%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fisk
#423
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#457
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
17-32
17
32
-15
H24/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A30/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A10/12
NCAA
72.0Avg total
36.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.671.3+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.133.871.9+4.350%-
Last 30 away (14)34.935.670.5-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.172.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.471.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)35.937.373.2-1.439%-
vs Weaker (12)37.830.668.3+7.275%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberty wins
0
Tennessee State wins
No previous meetings.
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HGrand Canyon64-69
06/12/23HMiss. Valley St.74-39
01/12/23HCharleston67-76
30/11/23AFlorida Atlantic58-83
25/11/23HMd.-East. Shore99-62
19/11/23HVermont71-61
18/11/23HWichita State83-66
17/11/23HFurman88-74
10/11/23HCharlotte71-59
07/11/23HMid-Atlantic103-43
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ALipscomb71-78
03/12/23HAustin Peay69-65
30/11/23AAlabama A&M Bulldogs83-85 OT
25/11/23ASE Louisiana91-77
24/11/23HMercer59-60
21/11/23HMidway87-70
18/11/23AOregon67-92
16/11/23APortland75-65
10/11/23HKentucky State83-58
07/11/23HFisk76-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL70%
HomeWWLWL78%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1091
Win %70%78%0%
Points / game77.880.058.0
Allowed / game63.261.083.0
Point differential+14.6+19.0-25.0
Avg total141.0141.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%78%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game76.174.877.4
Allowed / game71.162.879.4
Point differential+5.0+12.0-2.0
Avg total147.2137.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech119282%76.361.1+15.2
2 Western Kentucky118373%81.973.9+8.0
3 Liberty107370%77.863.2+14.6
4 Kennesaw State107370%85.577.0+8.5
5 Delaware107370%77.070.0+7.0
6 Missouri State107370%73.768.1+5.6
7 UTEP106460%78.668.4+10.2
8 Sam Houston St.116555%72.771.4+1.4
9 Middle Tenn. St.115645%66.166.9-0.8
10 New Mexico State115645%72.274.4-2.2
11 Jacksonville State104640%67.461.5+5.9
12 Florida International113827%70.977.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State107370%74.368.3+6.0
2 Tennessee State106460%76.171.1+5.0
3 UT Martin116555%85.280.3+4.9
4 Siu Edwardsville116555%70.570.3+0.3
5 Eastern Illinois115645%71.563.3+8.2
6 Western Illinois115645%70.769.3+1.5
7 UALR115645%80.580.6-0.2
8 Lindenwood104640%66.772.9-6.2
9 Tennessee Tech114736%72.777.4-4.6
10 Southeast Missouri State103730%68.375.2-6.9
11 Southern Indiana112918%65.071.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty344074
Tennessee State351752
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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