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Liberty vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-39
29-18 45-21
Position#158
Record6-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game65.5
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#369
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game51.0
Allowed / game84.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liberty v Miss. Valley St.
07 Dec 2024
LIBE89
MISS52
05 Dec 2023
LIBE74
MISS39
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H15/03
NIT
Wisconsin
#4
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A19/03
NIT
Mid-Atlantic
#692
W
103-43
103
43
+60
H07/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H25/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H01/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-25
0-0
30-32
0-0
34-37
0-0
37-38
0-0
48-19
0-0
55-24
0-0
35-23
0-0
36-36
0-0
38-33
0-0
50-41
0-0
39-36
0-0
44-30
0-0
35-33
0-0
36-28
0-0
50-23
0-0
49-39
0-0
27-44
0-0
31-39
0-0
33-37
0-0
34-39
142.9Avg total
77.3Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.065.5145.5+14.575%
Season at home (7)83.163.0146.1+20.186%
Season away (1)58.083.0141.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)77.365.6142.9+11.770%
Last 5 (5)75.669.6145.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (3)65.373.3138.7-8.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)77.460.7138.1+16.684%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#131
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H03/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H05/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
60-106
60
106
-46
A07/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
43-82
43
82
-39
A11/11
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A15/11
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
52-86
52
86
-34
A18/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
L
39-81
39
81
-42
A21/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
48-84
48
84
-36
A25/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
A26/11
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
48-79
48
79
-31
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
33-36
28-30
32-38
29-56
31-50
23-50
20-32
27-44
26-43
26-41
26-45
26-44
13-37
24-41
24-43
25-34
33-24
28-41
20-38
133.9Avg total
52.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)51.084.1135.1-33.10%
Season at homeno games
Season away (8)51.084.1135.1-33.10%
Last 10 (10)52.881.1133.9-28.30%
Last 5 (5)50.479.6130.0-29.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)61.377.4138.7-16.114%
vs Similar (2)55.063.0118.0-8.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-19-10+0+10+191st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -15.2-15.22nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -12.8-12.8
-19-10+0+10+191st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -15.2-15.22nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -12.8-12.8
LibertyMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#21
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H15/03
NIT
Wisconsin
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A19/03
NIT
Mid-Atlantic
#692
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H01/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.1Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.128.364.4+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.726.564.3+11.289%-
Last 30 away (11)33.231.564.6+1.745%-
Last 10 (10)37.131.068.1+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.671.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (3)31.738.069.7-6.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.827.063.8+9.980%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#131
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H03/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H05/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A07/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A11/11
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A15/11
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A18/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A25/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A26/11
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/12
NCAA
67.8Avg total
26.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.837.966.7-9.117%-
Last 30 at home (9)31.432.463.9-1.033%-
Last 30 away (21)27.740.267.9-12.510%-
Last 10 (10)26.341.567.8-15.20%-
Last 5 (5)25.840.266.0-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)29.338.267.5-9.018%-
vs Similar (2)22.032.554.5-10.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberty wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
No previous meetings.
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HCharleston67-76
30/11/23AFlorida Atlantic58-83
25/11/23HMd.-East. Shore99-62
19/11/23HVermont71-61
18/11/23HWichita State83-66
17/11/23HFurman88-74
10/11/23HCharlotte71-59
07/11/23HMid-Atlantic103-43
19/03/23AWisconsin71-75
15/03/23HVillanova62-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ANorth Texas48-79
26/11/23APacific65-68 OT
25/11/23ACS Northridge48-84
21/11/23ASanta Clara39-81
18/11/23ATCU52-86
15/11/23AUconn53-87
11/11/23AOklahoma43-82
07/11/23ALSU60-106
05/03/23HJackson State60-68
03/03/23HAlcorn State60-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %75%86%0%
Points / game80.083.158.0
Allowed / game65.563.083.0
Point differential+14.5+20.1-25.0
Avg total145.5146.1141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games8-8
Win %0%-0%
Points / game51.0-51.0
Allowed / game84.1-84.1
Point differential-33.1--33.1
Avg total135.1-135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%-12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech86275%77.862.0+15.8
2 Liberty86275%80.065.5+14.5
3 Missouri State86275%74.468.0+6.4
4 UTEP96367%81.968.1+13.8
5 Delaware96367%77.470.1+7.3
6 Western Kentucky96367%80.973.8+7.1
7 Kennesaw State85362%86.577.1+9.4
8 Sam Houston St.95456%75.272.7+2.6
9 Jacksonville State94544%69.462.2+7.2
10 Middle Tenn. St.94544%65.065.3-0.3
11 New Mexico State104640%71.874.7-2.9
12 Florida International103730%72.075.6-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prairie View A&M74357%74.974.6+0.3
2 Bethune-Cookman84450%78.671.0+7.6
3 Alabama State84450%77.175.2+1.9
4 Arkansas-Pine Bluff94544%87.285.6+1.7
5 Alabama A&M Bulldogs82625%73.482.6-9.2
6 Grambling St.82625%67.480.0-12.6
7 Jackson State82625%68.981.5-12.6
8 Southern Univ.82625%66.884.4-17.6
9 Alcorn State81712%69.185.1-16.0
10 Texas Southern7070%55.977.1-21.3
11 Florida A&M5050%63.086.8-23.8
12 Miss. Valley St.8080%51.084.1-33.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty294574
Miss. Valley St.182139
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