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Liceo Pablo Neruda vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 70-73
24-13 12-19 16-25 18-16
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game78.2
ChileLNB· Coliseo Universidad Autónoma
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liceo Pablo Neruda v Valdivia
27 Jan 2024
LICE70
VALD73
05 Nov 2022
LICE52
VALD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liceo Pablo Neruda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valdivia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Liceo Pablo NerudaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeruda
Date
Competition
Tinguiririca
#6
L
70-114
70
114
-44
64avg 57
H15/11
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
W
77-43
77
43
+34
77avg 57
H18/11
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
100-80
100
80
+20
58avg 57
H22/11
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
63-57
63
57
+6
56avg 57
A26/11
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
68-111
68
111
-43
54avg 57
A05/01
Supercopa
CD Puerto Varas
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 57
A06/01
Supercopa
Puerto Montt
#11
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 57
A13/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
71avg 57
A14/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
H19/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
56avg 57
H20/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
14-31
18-30
22-28
16-13
23-7
24-11
14-12
31-15
25-16
24-22
20-27
17-13
21-17
15-13
10-14
12-20
14-36
17-27
25-28
16-26
18-22
21-23
18-9
20-21
19-22
15-14
12-18
21-14
20-27
16-15
18-24
14-16
26-22
19-19
16-18
19-21
12-26
12-10
19-23
154.2Avg total
74.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.279.2151.5-7.025%
Season at home (2)74.081.0155.0-7.050%
Season away (2)70.577.5148.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)74.080.2154.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)72.479.4151.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.592.9160.4-25.414%
vs Similar (5)70.073.8143.8-3.860%
vs Weaker (11)92.666.8159.5+25.8100%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Ancud
#3
W
96-90
96
90
+6
89avg 70
A19/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
62avg 70
A22/11
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
71avg 70
H25/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
49-73
49
73
-24
31avg 70
H26/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
45-61
45
61
-16
31avg 70
A07/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
65-66
65
66
-1
60avg 70
H10/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 70
A13/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 70
A14/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H19/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 70
H20/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
31-15
26-28
15-20
18-16
21-20
12-25
20-17
23-22
18-18
22-25
19-15
15-18
14-16
11-26
9-13
8-15
6-14
13-12
18-20
16-18
22-19
17-17
10-12
24-17
27-27
16-25
27-16
18-10
22-24
27-15
24-20
18-26
23-19
23-19
15-15
19-24
21-14
29-19
16-14
152.6Avg total
76.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.278.2167.5+11.075%
Season at home (2)86.079.5165.5+6.550%
Season away (2)92.577.0169.5+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.576.1152.6+0.450%
Last 5 (5)84.475.8160.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.276.1148.2-3.933%
vs Similar (9)85.080.3165.3+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.767.9154.6+18.8100%
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
Liceo Pablo NerudaValdivia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tinguiririca
#6
L
30-56
30
56
-26
H15/11
Copa Chile
Catolica
#10
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H18/11
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H22/11
Copa Chile
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A26/11
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A05/01
Supercopa
CD Puerto Varas
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A06/01
Supercopa
Puerto Montt
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A13/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H19/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H20/01
LNB
78.4Avg total
37.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.840.178.9-1.246%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.880.3+4.760%-
Last 30 away (13)34.642.777.3-8.131%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.078.4-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.480.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.248.979.1-18.614%-
vs Similar (5)36.838.074.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker (9)53.327.680.9+25.8100%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ancud
#3
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A19/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H26/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
14-29
14
29
-15
A07/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H20/01
LNB
76.7Avg total
38.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.578.2+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.978.7+4.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.177.8+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.976.7+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.681.6+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.837.374.2-0.550%-
vs Similar (9)43.638.682.1+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.036.879.8+6.278%-
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.922.0
49.0%
50.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.8
29.6%
32.7%17.4
🏀 Free throws16.110.6
65.8%
70.3%10.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.8
49.5%
50.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.0
31.4%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.610.4
62.7%
70.3%10.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LWLLLLWWWL
Valdivia
WLWWLLLWLW
#13
League position
#6
-10.8
Net rating
+1.3
89.4
Offensive rating
98.9
100.2
Defensive rating
97.6
47.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
22.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.6%
3-point %
31.4%
65.5%
Assist %
56.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 98.9Defence100.2 · 97.6Shooting47.6% · 48.4%3-point %29.6% · 31.4%Ball care22.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds23.4% · 23.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Liceo Pablo Neruda   ■ Valdivia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liceo Pablo Neruda wins
2
Valdivia wins
DateGameScore
05/11/22Liceo Pablo Neruda v Valdivia52-83
01/10/22Valdivia v Liceo Pablo Neruda79-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HLeones Quilpue62-80
19/01/24HCatolica86-82 OT
14/01/24ACD Puerto Varas75-80
13/01/24APuerto Montt66-75
06/01/24ACD Puerto Varas73-80
05/01/24AU. De Concepcion68-111
26/11/23AEspanol de Talca63-57
22/11/23HEspanol de Talca100-80
18/11/23HCatolica77-43
15/11/23HTinguiririca70-114
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HCatolica85-71
19/01/24HLeones Quilpue87-88 OT
14/01/24APuerto Montt91-69
13/01/24ACD Puerto Varas94-85
10/12/23HEspanol Osorno65-66
07/12/23AEspanol Osorno45-61
26/11/23HEspanol Osorno49-73
25/11/23HLas Animas82-80
22/11/23AEspanol Osorno71-78
19/11/23AAncud96-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liceo Pablo Neruda
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game72.274.070.5
Allowed / game79.281.077.5
Point differential-7.0-7.0-7.0
Avg total151.5155.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Valdivia
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game89.286.092.5
Allowed / game78.279.577.0
Point differential+11.0+6.5+15.5
Avg total167.5165.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue440100%85.068.2+16.8
2 Ancud440100%84.876.2+8.5
3 Espanol Osorno54180%81.468.0+13.4
4 Valdivia43175%89.278.2+11.0
5 U. De Concepcion32167%84.081.0+3.0
6 Las Animas53260%82.079.8+2.2
7 CD Puerto Varas42250%82.281.2+1.0
8 Puerto Montt42250%68.872.8-4.0
9 Sportiva Italiana52340%69.681.6-12.0
10 Liceo Pablo Neruda41325%72.279.2-7.0
11 Puente Alto51420%74.481.0-6.6
12 Naviera Ulloa3030%65.073.3-8.3
13 Catolica4040%73.883.2-9.5
14 Espanol de Talca2020%76.594.5-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liceo Pablo Neruda2412161870
Valdivia1319251673
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