U. De Concepcion vs Liceo Pablo Neruda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024

Tip-off: 21:30

Final 111-68

20-12 36-14 27-17 28-25

Position#1

Record-

FormWLLWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

U. De Concepcion 🏆

Liceo Pablo Neruda

Position#4

Record-

FormLLWWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

SupercopaSupercopa - Semi-finals· Gimnasio Fiscal de Ancud

Other2024

Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Liceo Pablo Neruda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Liceo Pablo Neruda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De Concepcion Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormConcepcion

Date

Competition

Espanol de Talca

#14

127-55

127

+72

138avg 89

H15/11

Copa Chile

Catolica

#10

104-40

104

+64

106avg 89

H19/11

Copa Chile

Tinguiririca

20-0

+20

no box

H22/11

Copa Chile

Espanol de Talca

#14

123-51

123

+72

125avg 89

A25/11

Copa Chile

Puente Alto

81-44

+37

78avg 89

H06/12

Copa Chile

Puente Alto

91-85

87avg 89

A09/12

Copa Chile

Franca

59-78

-19

45avg 89

A13/12

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

75-93

-18

59avg 89

H14/12

Champions League Americas

Ancud

86-63

+23

84avg 89

H21/12

Copa Chile

Leones Quilpue

76-66

+10

74avg 89

H23/12

Copa Chile

34-10

38-7

33-15

22-23

29-4

27-8

29-14

19-14

–

39-9

27-21

24-11

33-10

22-10

19-19

21-9

19-6

24-13

18-28

13-27

36-17

12-23

9-22

20-17

18-16

15-23

20-26

20-14

20-30

29-19

14-18

24-18

19-8

18-11

9-22

22-17

27-16

141.7Avg total

84.2Scored

57.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	84.2	57.5	141.7	+26.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	77.0	154.4	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	67.0	85.5	152.5	-18.5	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	88.3	66.5	154.8	+21.8	89%

This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Liceo Pablo Neruda Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNeruda

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

56-97

-41

45avg 55

A07/10

Copa Chile

Puente Alto

56-98

-42

41avg 55

A08/10

Copa Chile

U. De Concepcion

61-96

-35

50avg 55

H13/10

Copa Chile

U. De Concepcion

76-144

144

-68

59avg 55

A15/10

Copa Chile

Leones Quilpue

51-111

111

-60

36avg 55

H11/11

Copa Chile

Puente Alto

76-93

-17

66avg 55

H12/11

Copa Chile

Tinguiririca

70-114

114

-44

64avg 55

H15/11

Copa Chile

Catolica

#10

77-43

+34

77avg 55

H18/11

Copa Chile

Espanol de Talca

#14

100-80

100

+20

58avg 55

H22/11

Copa Chile

Espanol de Talca

#14

63-57

56avg 55

A26/11

Copa Chile

13-26

7-19

26-24

10-28

14-17

9-33

20-22

13-26

15-30

15-33

14-20

17-13

22-25

18-39

17-40

19-40

8-26

15-26

8-32

20-27

18-23

11-30

21-22

26-18

16-25

14-31

18-30

22-28

16-13

23-7

24-11

14-12

31-15

25-16

24-22

20-27

17-13

21-17

15-13

10-14

161.9Avg total

68.6Scored

93.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	68.6	93.3	161.9	-24.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	77.4	154.6	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	64.6	96.4	161.0	-31.9	11%
vs Similar (4)	71.0	73.5	144.5	-2.5	75%
vs Weaker (17)	93.8	63.2	157.0	+30.5	100%

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

U. De ConcepcionLiceo Pablo Neruda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	24.1	16.9	41.0	+7.2	79%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.5	17.2	42.6	+8.3	82%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.2	16.6	38.8	+5.6	75%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.7	13.6	38.2	+11.1	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.5	23.0	36.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.9	16.5	41.4	+8.4	85%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.6	17.8	39.3	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	18.4	41.7	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	21.3	38.3	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	13.9	23.1	37.0	-9.2	11%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	27.0	14.0	41.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	58%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	23.2	37.2	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.5	24.0	38.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.3	18.6	39.0	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.7	39.3	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	25.1	40.9	-9.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	14.0	27.3	41.3	-13.3	11%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.5	17.8	34.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	25.5	13.3	38.8	+12.2	100%	-

U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Espanol de Talca

#14

72-17

+55

H15/11

Copa Chile

Catolica

#10

56-12

+44

H19/11

Copa Chile

Espanol de Talca

#14

66-30

+36

A25/11

Copa Chile

Puente Alto

41-29

+12

H06/12

Copa Chile

Puente Alto

42-41

A09/12

Copa Chile

Franca

21-45

-24

A13/12

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

35-49

-14

H14/12

Champions League Americas

Ancud

43-37

H21/12

Copa Chile

Leones Quilpue

27-33

-6

H23/12

Copa Chile

77.3Avg total

44.8Scored

32.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	45.6	35.9	81.4	+9.7	72%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.4	36.1	83.4	+11.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (12)	43.1	35.6	78.7	+7.5	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.8	32.6	77.3	+12.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	41.0	74.6	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.0	47.0	75.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	46.9	35.0	81.9	+11.9	78%	-

This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

20-45

-25

A07/10

Copa Chile

Puente Alto

23-50

-27

A08/10

Copa Chile

U. De Concepcion

30-63

-33

H13/10

Copa Chile

U. De Concepcion

40-64

-24

A15/10

Copa Chile

Leones Quilpue

23-52

-29

H11/11

Copa Chile

Puente Alto

29-53

-24

H12/11

Copa Chile

Tinguiririca

30-56

-26

H15/11

Copa Chile

Catolica

#10

39-20

+19

H18/11

Copa Chile

Espanol de Talca

#14

56-31

+25

H22/11

Copa Chile

Espanol de Talca

#14

38-30

A26/11

Copa Chile

79.2Avg total

32.8Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	41.9	36.4	78.3	+5.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	36.1	81.0	+8.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.1	36.8	74.9	+1.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.8	46.4	79.2	-13.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.0	76.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	27.9	50.4	78.3	-22.6	11%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.2	36.8	73.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	52.5	27.3	79.8	+25.2	100%	-

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	17.2	40.1	+5.7	76%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	58%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.9	15.8	38.7	+7.1	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	15.5	35.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.6	17.7	39.3	+3.9	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	23.6	42.3	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.9	23.1	42.0	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	16.7	38.7	+5.4	69%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	17.2	39.7	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.5	15.8	37.3	+5.7	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.7	15.6	39.2	+8.1	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.4	41.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.3	16.2	38.5	+6.1	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.5	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	23.3	40.4	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.8	22.9	40.7	-5.1	44%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.6	34.2	77.8	+9.4	79%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.4	34.4	79.8	+10.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.1	33.9	75.0	+7.2	83%	-
Last 10 (9)	46.6	31.3	77.9	+15.2	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	36.0	79.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	38.5	77.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.9	33.9	77.8	+10.0	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.7	39.3	79.0	+0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	38.7	78.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.8	40.1	79.8	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	46.9	82.7	-11.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	39.4	78.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.7	46.0	82.7	-9.3	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.8	36.8	71.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.0	35.8	78.8	+7.2	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 91.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	21.0	52.1%	-	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	10.9	34.7%	-	32.7
🏀 Free throws	22.2	16.5	74.3%	-	16.5

They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 68.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀63%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 63% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.0	21.4	51.0%	-	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.9	5.4	24.7%	-	16.2
🏀 Free throws	13.2	9.0	68.2%	-	9.0

They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	14.5	36.8%	-	29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	8.8	28.8%	-	26.4
🏀 Free throws	13.8	9.5	68.8%	-	9.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.5	25.8	53.2%	-	51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	10.4	34.8%	-	31.2
🏀 Free throws	15.3	9.5	62.1%	-	9.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	21.2	53.2%	-	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.5	11.5	36.6%	-	34.6
🏀 Free throws	20.3	14.7	72.4%	-	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	16.5	41.5%	-	32.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	8.6	29.8%	-	25.8
🏀 Free throws	12.3	8.8	71.7%	-	8.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.5	25.8	53.2%	-	51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	10.4	34.8%	-	31.2
🏀 Free throws	15.3	9.5	62.1%	-	9.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

U. De Concepcion

WWLLWWWWWW

Liceo Pablo Neruda

WWWLLLLLLL

League position

+32.4

Net rating

-30.0

112.4

Offensive rating

83.8

80.0

Defensive rating

113.8

52.1%

Effective FG%

46.2%

39.6%

Opp. effective FG%

52.8%

15.7%

Turnover %

20.9%

33.7%

Off. rebound %

15.4%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.21

34.7%

3-point %

24.7%

64.9%

Assist %

63.1%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ U. De Concepcion ■ Liceo Pablo Neruda

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

U. De Concepcion wins

Liceo Pablo Neruda wins

Date	Game	Score
15/10/23	U. De Concepcion v Liceo Pablo Neruda	144-76
13/10/23	Liceo Pablo Neruda v U. De Concepcion	61-96

U. De Concepcionlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/23	H	Leones Quilpue	76-66
21/12/23	H	Ancud	86-63
14/12/23	H	Obras Sanitarias	75-93
13/12/23	A	Franca	59-78
09/12/23	A	Puente Alto	91-85
06/12/23	H	Puente Alto	81-44
25/11/23	A	Espanol de Talca	123-51
22/11/23	H	Tinguiririca	20-0
19/11/23	H	Catolica	104-40
15/11/23	H	Espanol de Talca	127-55

Liceo Pablo Nerudalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/23	A	Espanol de Talca	63-57
22/11/23	H	Espanol de Talca	100-80
18/11/23	H	Catolica	77-43
15/11/23	H	Tinguiririca	70-114
12/11/23	H	Puente Alto	76-93
11/11/23	H	Leones Quilpue	51-111
15/10/23	A	U. De Concepcion	76-144
13/10/23	H	U. De Concepcion	61-96
08/10/23	A	Puente Alto	56-98
07/10/23	A	Leones Quilpue	56-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion

Supercopa 2024

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Liceo Pablo Neruda

Supercopa 2024

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
U. De Concepcion	20	36	27	28	111
Liceo Pablo Neruda	12	14	17	25	68

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U. De Concepcion vs Liceo Pablo Neruda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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