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Circus Brussels vs Liege Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-86
23-26 26-20 18-27 27-13
Position#9
Record7-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#6
Record9-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek (Brusel)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Circus Brussels v Liege
12 Jan 2024
CIRC94
LIE86
03 Feb 2023
CIRC82
LIE77
11 Dec 2022
CIRC79
LIE79
06 May 2022
CIRC75
LIE80
17 Oct 2021
CIRC90
LIE98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
58-83
58
83
-25
54avg 71
H12/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
61-63
61
63
-2
56avg 71
A17/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 71
H26/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
68avg 71
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
68-68
68
68
+0
no box
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
no box
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 71
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
64-76
64
76
-12
55avg 71
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
63-71
63
71
-8
54avg 71
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 71
A06/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
19-18
13-18
12-23
13-20
18-14
15-12
15-17
10-14
20-13
22-19
27-18
16-21
16-18
17-24
25-25
18-9
21-21
19-22
10-16
5-11
16-10
10-15
12-11
19-21
20-17
21-13
14-21
16-15
19-17
20-26
9-18
18-19
14-10
18-20
13-22
27-30
25-18
13-21
23-21
139.4Avg total
67.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.276.8154.0+0.447%
Season at home (8)74.178.4152.5-4.238%
Season away (7)80.775.0155.7+5.757%
Last 10 (10)67.272.2139.4-5.020%
Last 5 (5)66.471.2137.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.776.2150.9-1.642%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.874.9151.7+1.955%
vs Weaker (7)82.380.1162.4+2.143%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
64avg 74
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
96-92
96
92
+4
97avg 74
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 74
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
70-90
70
90
-20
no box
A08/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
H11/12
Belgian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
97-68
97
68
+29
101avg 74
H13/12
ENBL
Limburg
#4
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 74
A22/12
BNXT League
Brno
#14
W
95-62
95
62
+33
96avg 74
A28/12
ENBL
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
81-62
81
62
+19
75avg 74
H05/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 74
H10/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
23-17
16-17
14-8
20-20
29-22
18-16
29-34
20-14
22-21
25-27
16-23
17-23
18-20
20-23
15-24
23-23
23-19
26-25
22-26
14-20
27-15
24-14
32-19
23-24
20-21
21-12
23-25
24-18
34-13
23-11
14-20
24-16
11-23
21-13
25-10
13-14
23-19
18-26
23-16
162.3Avg total
84.8Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.975.0150.9+0.964%
Season at home (7)76.676.3152.9+0.357%
Season away (7)75.373.7149.0+1.671%
Last 10 (10)84.877.5162.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)87.469.8157.2+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.988.3165.1-11.414%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.976.6154.5+1.264%
vs Weaker (9)90.870.0160.8+20.8100%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Circus BrusselsLiege
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H12/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H26/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#3
D
21-21
21
21
+0
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A06/01
BNXT League
68.4Avg total
34.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.575.9+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.536.073.5+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.178.3+0.260%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.068.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.669.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.435.475.8+5.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.438.575.8-1.155%-
vs Weaker (7)36.439.776.1-3.329%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H11/12
Belgian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H13/12
ENBL
Limburg
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
BNXT League
Brno
#14
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A28/12
ENBL
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/01
BNXT League
80.9Avg total
42.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.938.379.2+2.648%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.835.777.5+6.173%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.181.0-1.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.680.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.679.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.143.181.3-5.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.837.575.4+0.338%-
vs Weaker (9)47.435.783.1+11.878%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.0
51.1%
52.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
33.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
71.4%15.1
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.4
50.7%
52.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
33.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.415.5
66.2%
71.4%15.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
LLLWLLLWLL
Liege
WWWWWWLLWW
#9
League position
#6
-5.2
Net rating
+9.9
101.2
Offensive rating
104.0
106.4
Defensive rating
94.1
50.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
21.2%
Turnover %
20.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.9%
3-point %
34.6%
52.0%
Assist %
64.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 104.0Defence106.4 · 94.1Shooting50.4% · 51.2%3-point %32.9% · 34.6%Ball care21.2% · 20.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 31.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Liege
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Circus Brussels wins
5
Liege wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AAntwerp Giants88-90
26/12/23HSpirou Charleroi63-71
22/12/23HOostende64-76
15/12/23AKortrijk74-72
10/12/23ASpirou Charleroi43-47
08/12/23HSpirou Charleroi68-68
01/12/23HMechelen74-88
26/11/23HLeuven Bears79-64
17/11/23ASpirou Charleroi61-63
12/11/23HLimburg58-83
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HLeuven Bears77-75
05/01/24HOkapi Aalst81-62
28/12/23ABrno95-62
22/12/23ALimburg87-82
13/12/23HValmiera Glass Via97-68
11/12/23HLeuven Bears94-93
08/12/23ALeuven Bears70-90
01/12/23HKortrijk83-85
28/11/23AKeila KK96-92
25/11/23ABelfius Mons68-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWLLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%38%57%
Points / game77.274.180.7
Allowed / game76.878.475.0
Point differential+0.4-4.2+5.7
Avg total154.0152.5155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%57%71%
Points / game75.976.675.3
Allowed / game75.076.373.7
Point differential+0.9+0.3+1.6
Avg total150.9152.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1211192%81.266.6+14.7
2 Oostende1412286%76.970.0+6.9
3 Antwerp Giants1512380%83.172.6+10.5
4 Leiden129375%78.269.6+8.7
5 Zwolle118373%78.667.4+11.3
6 Limburg1410471%78.170.6+7.6
7 Liege149564%75.975.0+0.9
8 Donar Groningen138562%72.665.5+7.1
9 Kortrijk148657%80.779.9+0.8
10 BAL Weert116555%72.272.3-0.1
11 Mechelen158753%75.774.7+1.0
12 Circus Brussels157847%77.276.8+0.4
13 Spirou Charleroi157847%71.674.5-2.9
14 Feyenoord125742%73.581.1-7.6
15 Belfius Mons1541127%72.980.8-7.9
16 Den Helder123925%65.878.7-12.9
17 Leuven Bears1531220%73.779.3-5.7
18 QSTA Utd1221017%70.882.8-12.1
19 LWD Basket111109%71.781.2-9.5
20 Okapi Aalst140140%75.286.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels2326182794
Liege2620271386
← all games of the day
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