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Liege vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-75
13-14 23-19 18-26 23-16
Position#6
Record8-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game75.0
Liege 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record3-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeBNXT League· Country Hall (Liège)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liege v Leuven Bears
10 Jan 2024
LIE77
LEUV75
11 Dec 2023
LIE94
LEUV93
18 Feb 2023
LIE78
LEUV74
01 Oct 2021
LIE94
LEUV97
21 Apr 2020
LIE v LEUV
upcoming
20 Oct 2019
LIE63
LEUV67
28 Apr 2019
LIE76
LEUV82
27 Feb 2019
LIE83
LEUV84
31 Mar 2018
LIE70
LEUV72
19 Dec 2017
LIE95
LEUV80
10 May 2017
LIE70
LEUV58
03 Feb 2017
LIE68
LEUV71
02 Apr 2016
LIE101
LEUV97
26 Jan 2016
LIE85
LEUV74
02 May 2015
LIE86
LEUV83
10 Dec 2014
LIE89
LEUV70
02 May 2014
LIE64
LEUV65
29 Jan 2014
LIE68
LEUV64
01 Nov 2013
LIE88
LEUV92
22 Mar 2013
LIE80
LEUV66
06 Dec 2012
LIE75
LEUV85
02 Mar 2012
LIE76
LEUV78
15 Feb 2012
LIE81
LEUV74
29 Mar 2011
LIE74
LEUV60
04 Mar 2011
LIE52
LEUV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
63-50
63
50
+13
51avg 75
A18/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
64avg 75
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
96-92
96
92
+4
97avg 75
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
70-90
70
90
-20
no box
A08/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
H11/12
Belgian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
97-68
97
68
+29
101avg 75
H13/12
ENBL
Limburg
#4
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 75
A22/12
BNXT League
Brno
#14
W
95-62
95
62
+33
96avg 75
A28/12
ENBL
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
81-62
81
62
+19
75avg 75
H05/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-15
9-9
20-7
15-24
23-17
16-17
14-8
20-20
29-22
18-16
29-34
20-14
22-21
25-27
16-23
17-23
18-20
20-23
15-24
23-23
23-19
26-25
22-26
14-20
27-15
24-14
32-19
23-24
20-21
21-12
23-25
24-18
34-13
23-11
14-20
24-16
11-23
21-13
25-10
158.4Avg total
83.4Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.875.0150.8+0.862%
Season at home (6)76.576.5153.0+0.050%
Season away (7)75.373.7149.0+1.671%
Last 10 (10)83.475.0158.4+8.480%
Last 5 (5)90.873.4164.2+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.988.3165.1-11.414%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.678.1155.8-0.557%
vs Weaker (9)90.870.0160.8+20.8100%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 65
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 65
A09/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
84-60
84
60
+24
84avg 65
H14/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
69-88
69
88
-19
50avg 65
A19/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
64-79
64
79
-15
55avg 65
A26/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
90-70
90
70
+20
no box
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Liege
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
no box
A11/12
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
52avg 65
A16/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
67-94
67
94
-27
61avg 65
H22/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
68-90
68
90
-22
57avg 65
H06/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-19
19-22
14-22
18-21
16-19
15-20
19-20
23-15
20-18
21-10
20-17
9-22
22-24
19-23
19-19
14-10
13-20
19-22
18-27
23-17
20-18
23-20
24-15
23-23
19-23
25-26
26-22
23-17
13-24
22-20
11-11
21-28
17-22
12-28
17-16
21-25
17-24
13-16
17-25
155.6Avg total
74.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.679.5153.1-5.921%
Season at home (7)74.978.6153.4-3.729%
Season away (7)72.380.4152.7-8.114%
Last 10 (10)74.581.1155.6-6.620%
Last 5 (5)77.484.0161.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.781.3155.0-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.576.0152.5+0.533%
vs Weaker (12)81.672.6154.2+9.058%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
LiegeLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H11/12
Belgian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H13/12
ENBL
Limburg
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
BNXT League
Brno
#14
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A28/12
ENBL
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/01
BNXT League
80.8Avg total
42.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.838.779.4+2.145%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.578.0+5.167%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.181.0-1.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.780.8+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.483.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.143.181.3-5.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.538.475.9-0.831%-
vs Weaker (9)47.435.783.1+11.878%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A19/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A26/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Liege
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A11/12
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H22/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H06/01
BNXT League
78.2Avg total
37.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.438.077.4+1.455%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.535.779.2+7.780%-
Last 30 away (14)35.040.475.4-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.241.078.2-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.283.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.540.276.7-3.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.739.379.0+0.350%-
vs Weaker (11)40.635.476.0+5.364%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.8
51.7%
52.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.1
35.8%
33.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.315.1
67.7%
71.4%15.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.4
48.2%
52.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.3
31.7%
33.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.611.1
71.2%
71.4%11.1
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
WWWWWLLWWW
Leuven Bears
LLLLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#11
+9.6
Net rating
-16.4
105.1
Offensive rating
98.3
95.5
Defensive rating
114.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
47.9%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
20.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
31.7%
63.7%
Assist %
57.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 98.3Defence95.5 · 114.7Shooting52.5% · 47.9%3-point %35.8% · 31.7%Ball care20.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 27.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Liege   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Liege wins
7
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
11/12/23Liege v Leuven Bears94-93
08/12/23Leuven Bears v Liege90-70
07/10/23Leuven Bears v Liege78-84
18/02/23Liege v Leuven Bears78-74
19/11/22Leuven Bears v Liege92-76
18/01/22Leuven Bears v Liege78-62
01/10/21Liege v Leuven Bears94-97 OT
19/12/19Leuven Bears v Liege79-56
20/10/19Liege v Leuven Bears63-67
28/04/19Liege v Leuven Bears76-82
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HOkapi Aalst81-62
28/12/23ABrno95-62
22/12/23ALimburg87-82
13/12/23HValmiera Glass Via97-68
11/12/23HLeuven Bears94-93
08/12/23ALeuven Bears70-90
01/12/23HKortrijk83-85
28/11/23AKeila KK96-92
25/11/23ABelfius Mons68-66
18/11/23AMechelen63-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HKortrijk68-90
22/12/23HAntwerp Giants67-94
16/12/23AMechelen69-72
11/12/23ALiege93-94
08/12/23HLiege90-70
26/11/23ACircus Brussels64-79
19/11/23AKortrijk69-88
14/11/23HOkapi Aalst84-60
09/11/23ALimburg68-80
31/10/23HMechelen73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%50%71%
Points / game75.876.575.3
Allowed / game75.076.573.7
Point differential+0.8+0.0+1.6
Avg total150.8153.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game73.674.972.3
Allowed / game79.578.680.4
Point differential-5.9-3.7-8.1
Avg total153.1153.4152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1211192%81.266.6+14.7
2 Oostende1412286%76.970.0+6.9
3 Antwerp Giants1512380%83.172.6+10.5
4 Leiden129375%78.269.6+8.7
5 Zwolle118373%78.667.4+11.3
6 Limburg1410471%78.170.6+7.6
7 Donar Groningen138562%72.665.5+7.1
8 Liege138562%75.875.0+0.8
9 Kortrijk148657%80.779.9+0.8
10 BAL Weert116555%72.272.3-0.1
11 Mechelen158753%75.774.7+1.0
12 Circus Brussels157847%77.276.8+0.4
13 Spirou Charleroi157847%71.674.5-2.9
14 Feyenoord125742%73.581.1-7.6
15 Belfius Mons1541127%72.980.8-7.9
16 Den Helder123925%65.878.7-12.9
17 Leuven Bears1431121%73.679.5-5.9
18 QSTA Utd1221017%70.882.8-12.1
19 LWD Basket111109%71.781.2-9.5
20 Okapi Aalst140140%75.286.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege1323182377
Leuven Bears1419261675
← all games of the day
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