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Liege vs Limburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-72
20-17 19-12 22-27 14-16
Position#6
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game79.7
Liege 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game65.2
EuropeBNXT League· Country Hall (Liège)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liege v Limburg
05 Nov 2023
LIE75
LIMB72
21 May 2023
LIE79
LIMB88
09 Feb 2023
LIE85
LIMB105
26 Jan 2022
LIE79
LIMB92
17 Jan 2020
LIE87
LIMB85
22 Nov 2019
LIE68
LIMB112
14 Apr 2019
LIE100
LIMB80
11 Jan 2019
LIE69
LIMB92
18 May 2018
LIE82
LIMB92
10 Dec 2017
LIE80
LIMB93
17 Nov 2017
LIE94
LIMB89
15 Feb 2017
LIE73
LIMB91
07 Oct 2016
LIE69
LIMB89
16 Mar 2016
LIE96
LIMB100
18 Nov 2014
LIE80
LIMB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Limburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Limburg
#10
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A23/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
83-69
83
69
+14
65avg 69
H22/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
59avg 69
A27/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
59-85
59
85
-26
45avg 69
H04/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
86avg 69
A07/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 69
H13/10
BNXT League
Zielona Gora
#5
W
102-79
102
79
+23
100avg 69
H17/10
ENBL
Kortrijk
#10
L
73-73
73
73
+0
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
71-81
71
81
-10
58avg 69
A28/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
12-21
22-18
21-24
15-21
23-12
16-23
29-13
17-20
12-17
20-17
22-25
18-13
14-30
11-26
16-16
16-18
16-20
24-16
28-24
16-19
23-22
18-17
21-28
29-18
27-21
20-22
26-18
–
–
–
–
18-21
19-18
21-19
23-22
37-40
2-5
9-24
23-12
158.1Avg total
78.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.379.7154.0-5.333%
Season at home (3)73.380.0153.3-6.733%
Season away (3)75.379.3154.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)78.080.1158.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)81.079.8160.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.286.6163.9-9.425%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.781.9161.6-2.250%
vs Weaker (10)88.269.9158.1+18.380%
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#9
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H01/06
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
88-97
88
97
-9
no box
A03/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
87-86
87
86
+1
no box
H05/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
67-104
67
104
-37
no box
A07/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
74-63
74
63
+11
66avg 69
A30/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
91-62
91
62
+29
89avg 69
H04/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
70-52
70
52
+18
60avg 69
H13/10
BNXT League
LDP Donza
#12
W
76-61
76
61
+15
no box
A21/10
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
75-67
75
67
+8
74avg 69
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
77avg 69
A28/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
22-13
23-16
16-19
19-30
29-19
18-23
22-25
35-21
18-24
15-25
19-16
19-29
18-28
12-22
18-25
22-11
16-17
15-16
21-19
20-19
25-15
24-17
22-11
24-10
15-7
17-17
14-18
17-21
17-19
22-11
20-10
13-22
25-19
19-12
18-14
21-21
18-17
26-23
18-21
153.9Avg total
79.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.665.2143.8+13.4100%
Season at home (2)80.557.0137.5+23.5100%
Season away (3)77.370.7148.0+6.7100%
Last 10 (10)79.874.1153.9+5.780%
Last 5 (5)79.064.8143.8+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.079.1154.1-4.143%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.673.7154.3+6.957%
vs Weaker (15)80.072.2152.2+7.873%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
LiegeLimburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#10
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A27/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H04/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A07/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H13/10
BNXT League
Zielona Gora
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H17/10
ENBL
Kortrijk
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/10
BNXT League
77.9Avg total
37.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.739.880.4+0.941%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.536.980.4+6.760%-
Last 30 away (14)37.642.980.5-5.421%-
Last 10 (9)37.440.477.9-3.022%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.944.881.6-7.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.139.877.9-1.727%-
vs Weaker (10)46.535.882.3+10.780%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#9
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H01/06
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A03/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H05/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A07/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A30/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H13/10
BNXT League
LDP Donza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/10
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/10
BNXT League
80.0Avg total
41.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.977.9+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.335.577.8+6.886%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.077.9-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.180.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.073.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.640.480.0-0.957%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.735.477.1+6.357%-
vs Weaker (15)39.737.777.5+2.060%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.1
54.6%
52.2%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.8%
33.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.3%
71.4%12.4
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.9
47.6%
52.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.6
40.6%
33.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.711.9
71.3%
71.4%11.9
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
LWLWLWLLWL
Limburg
WWWWWWLWLW
#6
League position
#4
-1.3
Net rating
+7.1
109.2
Offensive rating
103.0
110.5
Defensive rating
95.9
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
20.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.8%
3-point %
40.6%
59.3%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 103.0Defence110.5 · 95.9Shooting53.5% · 52.4%3-point %34.8% · 40.6%Ball care20.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds34.9% · 25.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Liege   ■ Limburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Liege wins
8
Limburg wins
DateGameScore
23/05/23Limburg v Liege91-78
21/05/23Liege v Limburg79-88
09/02/23Liege v Limburg85-105
26/12/22Limburg v Liege90-78
29/01/22Limburg v Liege86-83
26/01/22Liege v Limburg79-92
17/01/20Liege v Limburg87-85 OT
22/11/19Liege v Limburg68-112
11/10/19Limburg v Liege93-57
14/04/19Liege v Limburg100-80
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23AAntwerp Giants71-81
22/10/23HKortrijk81-80
20/10/23AKortrijk73-73
17/10/23HZielona Gora102-79
13/10/23HOostende78-86
07/10/23ALeuven Bears84-78
04/10/23HCircus Brussels59-85
27/09/23ASpirou Charleroi71-79
22/09/23HBelfius Mons83-69
23/05/23ALimburg78-91
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23AOkapi Aalst83-82
25/10/23ASpirou Charleroi75-67
21/10/23ALDP Donza76-61
13/10/23HMechelen70-52
04/10/23HKortrijk91-62
30/09/23AOostende74-63
07/06/23AOostende67-104
05/06/23HOostende87-86
03/06/23ADonar Groningen88-97
01/06/23HDonar Groningen87-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game74.373.375.3
Allowed / game79.780.079.3
Point differential-5.3-6.7-4.0
Avg total154.0153.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Limburg
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.680.577.3
Allowed / game65.257.070.7
Point differential+13.4+23.5+6.7
Avg total143.8137.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Limburg550100%78.665.2+13.4
2 Leiden65183%83.068.3+14.7
3 Circus Brussels65183%85.876.3+9.5
4 Oostende65183%80.372.3+8.0
5 Den Bosch54180%85.269.2+16.0
6 Zwolle64267%75.264.3+10.8
7 Antwerp Giants64267%80.376.2+4.2
8 BAL Weert64267%73.372.7+0.7
9 Feyenoord53260%76.281.6-5.4
10 Donar Groningen74357%73.467.1+6.3
11 Mechelen74357%79.176.4+2.7
12 Spirou Charleroi63350%75.378.2-2.8
13 Kortrijk63350%77.885.3-7.5
14 Liege62433%74.379.7-5.3
15 Leuven Bears72529%77.378.6-1.3
16 QSTA Utd51420%67.679.4-11.8
17 Belfius Mons61517%76.784.7-8.0
18 Den Helder61517%62.781.5-18.8
19 Okapi Aalst7070%79.789.0-9.3
20 LWD Basket6060%73.887.5-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege2019221475
Limburg1712271672
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