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Leuven Bears vs Liege Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-84
18-16 20-16 16-24 24-28
Position#11
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game77.7
Leuven Bears
vs
Liege 🏆
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase (Leuven)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Liege
08 Dec 2023
LEUV90
LIE70
07 Oct 2023
LEUV78
LIE84
19 Nov 2022
LEUV92
LIE76
18 Jan 2022
LEUV78
LIE62
19 Dec 2019
LEUV79
LIE56
26 Apr 2019
LEUV76
LIE78
03 Nov 2018
LEUV86
LIE82
30 Mar 2018
LEUV77
LIE73
07 Oct 2017
LEUV78
LIE88
01 Apr 2017
LEUV93
LIE82
23 Nov 2016
LEUV84
LIE99
30 Apr 2016
LEUV86
LIE73
19 Dec 2015
LEUV91
LIE101
28 Mar 2015
LEUV72
LIE74
28 Feb 2015
LEUV81
LIE84
15 Mar 2014
LEUV80
LIE70
14 Jan 2014
LEUV87
LIE91
11 Jan 2014
LEUV63
LIE86
31 Jan 2013
LEUV84
LIE76
06 Oct 2012
LEUV78
LIE67
25 Apr 2012
LEUV74
LIE76
06 Dec 2011
LEUV81
LIE83
27 Apr 2011
LEUV71
LIE48
18 Dec 2010
LEUV62
LIE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
72avg 68
A07/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A12/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
101-65
101
65
+36
no box
H15/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H21/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
74-71
74
71
+3
no box
A23/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H27/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A29/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
70avg 68
A23/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 68
H30/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
75avg 68
A04/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
21-25
24-16
24-27
10-26
24-23
22-17
19-15
27-17
28-20
25-13
21-15
21-15
20-21
22-13
17-21
20-26
22-15
17-14
15-16
18-19
27-18
18-22
19-24
20-16
15-15
9-31
28-17
16-14
20-19
16-27
26-22
24-17
23-20
14-22
11-21
20-18
19-18
19-15
25-20
158.6Avg total
80.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.777.7155.3+0.033%
Season at home (1)72.080.0152.0-8.00%
Season away (2)80.576.5157.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)80.678.0158.6+2.640%
Last 5 (5)77.479.0156.4-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.875.5152.2+1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.275.6155.9+4.650%
vs Weaker (18)83.170.6153.7+12.672%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
93-66
93
66
+27
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
A03/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
90-52
90
52
+38
no box
H05/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H12/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
92-100
92
100
-8
no box
A15/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
H21/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A23/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
83-69
83
69
+14
65avg 56
H22/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
59avg 56
A27/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
59-85
59
85
-26
45avg 56
H04/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
25-19
17-21
27-14
21-13
22-19
14-23
23-14
23-16
29-12
22-16
16-8
29-11
15-20
21-22
29-26
24-27
24-23
22-26
22-24
21-20
20-18
21-21
17-29
23-28
12-21
22-18
21-24
15-21
23-12
16-23
29-13
17-20
12-17
20-17
22-25
18-13
14-30
11-26
16-16
159.7Avg total
81.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.077.7148.7-6.733%
Season at home (2)71.077.0148.0-6.050%
Season away (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)81.977.8159.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)74.082.4156.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.086.4166.4-6.444%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.083.1161.1-5.142%
vs Weaker (9)86.768.9155.6+17.878%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
Leuven BearsLiege
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A07/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A12/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H15/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H21/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H27/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A29/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A23/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/10
BNXT League
80.7Avg total
41.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.335.878.1+6.580%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.532.176.6+12.5100%-
Last 30 away (17)40.638.679.2+2.065%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.280.7+2.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.875.2+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.234.572.8+3.8100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.538.181.6+5.475%-
vs Weaker (18)42.735.077.7+7.778%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H28/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A03/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H05/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H12/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A15/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A27/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H04/10
BNXT League
78.3Avg total
41.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.581.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.536.780.2+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)37.944.382.3-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.278.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.075.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.845.784.4-6.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.640.579.1-1.942%-
vs Weaker (9)45.435.480.9+10.078%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.5
50.8%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.3
31.9%
33.1%22.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.3
70.5%
71.4%14.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.7
48.5%
52.2%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.7
29.5%
33.1%26.0
🏀 Free throws18.311.0
60.0%
71.4%11.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/3 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WLLLLWWWLL
Liege
LLWLLLWWWW
#11
League position
#6
+0.0
Net rating
-8.2
107.5
Offensive rating
96.6
107.5
Defensive rating
104.8
49.7%
Effective FG%
46.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
22.6%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.9%
3-point %
29.5%
47.3%
Assist %
64.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 96.6Defence107.5 · 104.8Shooting49.7% · 46.6%3-point %31.9% · 29.5%Ball care14.8% · 22.6%Off. rebounds30.0% · 36.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Liege
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Leuven Bears wins
2
Liege wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Liege v Leuven Bears78-74
19/11/22Leuven Bears v Liege92-76
18/01/22Leuven Bears v Liege78-62
01/10/21Liege v Leuven Bears94-97 OT
19/12/19Leuven Bears v Liege79-56
20/10/19Liege v Leuven Bears63-67
28/04/19Liege v Leuven Bears76-82
26/04/19Leuven Bears v Liege76-78
27/02/19Liege v Leuven Bears83-84
03/11/18Leuven Bears v Liege86-82 OT
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23ABelfius Mons83-71
30/09/23HCircus Brussels72-80
23/09/23AAntwerp Giants78-82
29/05/23ASpirou Charleroi72-79
27/05/23HSpirou Charleroi82-83
23/05/23ADen Bosch74-71
21/05/23HDen Bosch80-70
15/05/23HOkapi Aalst101-65
12/05/23AOkapi Aalst75-81
07/05/23AMechelen89-98
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23HCircus Brussels59-85
27/09/23ASpirou Charleroi71-79
22/09/23HBelfius Mons83-69
23/05/23ALimburg78-91
21/05/23HLimburg79-88
15/05/23AZwolle92-100
12/05/23HZwolle94-79
05/05/23HBAL Weert90-52
03/05/23ABAL Weert80-69
28/04/23HBAL Weert93-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game77.772.080.5
Allowed / game77.780.076.5
Point differential+0.0-8.0+4.0
Avg total155.3152.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game71.071.071.0
Allowed / game77.777.079.0
Point differential-6.7-6.0-8.0
Avg total148.7148.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zwolle220100%85.561.5+24.0
2 Limburg220100%82.562.5+20.0
3 BAL Weert110100%86.079.0+7.0
4 Spirou Charleroi330100%85.378.3+7.0
5 Feyenoord220100%83.577.5+6.0
6 Antwerp Giants220100%75.571.5+4.0
7 Leiden32167%85.367.0+18.3
8 Den Bosch32167%81.367.0+14.3
9 Circus Brussels32167%83.775.0+8.7
10 Oostende32167%73.768.0+5.7
11 Donar Groningen21150%72.068.0+4.0
12 Kortrijk42250%79.084.8-5.8
13 Leuven Bears31233%77.777.7+0.0
14 Mechelen31233%75.078.0-3.0
15 Liege31233%71.077.7-6.7
16 Belfius Mons3030%71.780.7-9.0
17 Okapi Aalst3030%77.388.3-11.0
18 LWD Basket3030%72.796.7-24.0
19 Den Helder2020%64.089.0-25.0
20 QSTA Utd2020%68.594.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears1820162478
Liege1616242884
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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