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Liege W vs Lummen W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 87-42
27-14 15-15 27-2 18-11
Position#5
Record8-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game67.9
Liege W 🏆
Belgium
vs
Lummen W
Belgium
Position#9
Record4-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.4
Allowed / game76.5
BelgiumTop Division WomenRound 20· Salle du Bois Saint-Jean
Women2023-24
Meetings · Liege W v Lummen W
16 Oct 2026
LIEG89
LUMM54
17 Jan 2026
LIEG116
LUMM42
03 Apr 2025
LIEG72
LUMM54
23 Nov 2024
LIEG64
LUMM49
16 Mar 2024
LIEG87
LUMM42
29 Oct 2022
LIEG78
LUMM46
26 Mar 2022
LIEG92
LUMM45
16 Jan 2021
LIEG88
LUMM56
29 Feb 2020
LIEG71
LUMM62
09 Mar 2019
LIEG56
LUMM41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lummen W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Liege WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Braine W
#2
L
51-103
51
103
-52
37avg 58
A02/12
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
35-78
35
78
-43
25avg 58
H09/12
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#9
W
63-43
63
43
+20
53avg 58
A16/12
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
101-39
101
39
+62
101avg 58
A22/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
60-71
60
71
-11
53avg 58
H06/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
60-79
60
79
-19
50avg 58
A13/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
59-73
59
73
-14
56avg 58
H20/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
77-56
77
56
+21
76avg 58
H27/01
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
51-85
51
85
-34
no box
H17/02
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
50-95
50
95
-45
28avg 58
A03/03
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
10-26
19-20
6-26
9-23
8-20
8-21
10-14
22-14
21-14
10-8
10-7
23-5
34-14
23-8
21-12
20-11
13-18
9-20
18-22
20-21
11-18
11-24
18-16
19-14
11-15
17-20
12-24
16-17
25-13
13-16
23-10
–
–
–
–
17-25
10-15
13-27
10-28
132.9Avg total
60.7Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)64.467.9132.3-3.547%
Season at home (8)64.267.6131.9-3.450%
Season away (9)64.668.1132.7-3.644%
Last 10 (10)60.772.2132.9-11.530%
Last 5 (5)59.477.6137.0-18.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)56.684.1140.8-27.519%
vs Similar (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.656.5133.1+20.285%
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lummen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#4
L
58-66 OT
58
66
-8
no box
A02/12
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
74-86
74
86
-12
67avg 50
A09/12
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
43-63
43
63
-20
30avg 50
H16/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
59-73
59
73
-14
46avg 50
A23/12
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
55-58
55
58
-3
44avg 50
H06/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 50
A13/01
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 50
H20/01
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
43-66
43
66
-23
no box
H17/02
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
40-102
40
102
-62
27avg 50
A24/02
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
62-63
62
63
-1
56avg 50
H02/03
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
8-6
17-18
15-18
13-16
17-22
19-23
25-25
14-22
14-21
8-10
7-10
6-18
15-24
12-12
26-19
23-15
9-18
9-15
14-10
19-16
22-23
20-18
16-23
18-20
18-9
15-22
22-12
–
–
–
–
6-24
7-29
16-21
11-28
29-16
8-13
15-16
10-18
130.4Avg total
58.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)60.476.5136.9-16.124%
Season at home (9)59.871.4131.2-11.733%
Season away (8)61.182.2143.4-21.112%
Last 10 (10)58.472.0130.4-13.610%
Last 5 (5)59.074.8133.8-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)54.479.7134.1-25.34%
vs Similar (6)73.866.0139.8+7.883%
vs Weaker (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
This opponent (Liege W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
Liege WLummen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Liege WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braine W
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A02/12
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
17-43
17
43
-26
H09/12
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A16/12
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
57-19
57
19
+38
A22/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H06/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H20/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H27/01
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A03/03
Top Division Women
68.8Avg total
33.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.734.869.5-0.159%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.735.967.6-4.262%-
Last 30 away (16)37.233.971.1+3.356%-
Last 10 (9)33.934.968.8-1.056%-
Last 5 (5)32.433.465.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)28.542.170.6-13.527%-
vs Similar (1)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.825.866.5+15.092%-
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lummen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#4
W
22-18
22
18
+4
A02/12
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/12
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H16/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A23/12
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H06/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A13/01
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H20/01
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
13-53
13
53
-40
A24/02
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H02/03
Top Division Women
64.9Avg total
28.9Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)30.238.468.6-8.334%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.537.269.7-4.744%-
Last 30 away (13)27.340.067.3-12.723%-
Last 10 (9)28.936.064.9-7.144%-
Last 5 (5)31.836.668.4-4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)27.140.367.5-13.223%-
vs Similar (6)39.332.271.5+7.267%-
vs Weaker (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Liege W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liege Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege W: 61.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.318.7
40.4%
46.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.53.4
27.2%
31.6%10.2
🏀 Free throws19.913.7
68.8%
71.8%13.7
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 12.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lummen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lummen W: 56.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.713.4
37.5%
46.0%26.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.5
31.1%
31.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.410.2
70.8%
71.8%10.2
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege W
LLWLLLWWLL
Lummen W
LLLWLLLLLL
#5
League position
#9
-12.1
Net rating
-29.6
78.8
Offensive rating
79.6
90.9
Defensive rating
109.1
40.5%
Effective FG%
40.9%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
24.9%
Turnover %
25.0%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
27.2%
3-point %
31.1%
54.8%
Assist %
52.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence78.8 · 79.6Defence90.9 · 109.1Shooting40.5% · 40.9%3-point %27.2% · 31.1%Ball care24.9% · 25.0%Off. rebounds24.0% · 27.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Liege W   ■ Lummen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Liege W wins
0
Lummen W wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Lummen W v Liege W43-63
07/01/23Lummen W v Liege W45-90
29/10/22Liege W v Lummen W78-46
26/03/22Liege W v Lummen W92-45
11/12/21Lummen W v Liege W45-75
10/03/21Lummen W v Liege W54-75
16/01/21Liege W v Lummen W88-56
29/02/20Liege W v Lummen W71-62
09/11/19Lummen W v Liege W54-66
09/03/19Liege W v Lummen W56-41
Liege Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AMechelen W50-95
17/02/24HBraine W51-85
27/01/24HBrunehaut W77-56
20/01/24HNamur W59-73
13/01/24AWaregem W60-79
06/01/24HCharleroi W60-71
22/12/23ALaarne W101-39
16/12/23ALummen W63-43
09/12/23HMechelen W35-78
02/12/23ABraine W51-103
Lummen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HWaregem W62-63
24/02/24ABraine W40-102
17/02/24HPhantoms W43-66
20/01/24HLaarne W73-63
13/01/24ABrunehaut W77-80
06/01/24HKortrijk W55-58
23/12/23ACharleroi W59-73
16/12/23HLiege W43-63
09/12/23AWaregem W74-86
02/12/23APhantoms W58-66 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL47%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game64.464.264.6
Allowed / game67.967.668.1
Point differential-3.5-3.4-3.6
Avg total132.3131.9132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lummen W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%33%12%
Points / game60.459.861.1
Allowed / game76.571.482.2
Point differential-16.1-11.7-21.1
Avg total136.9131.2143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W17170100%93.653.6+40.0
2 Braine W1817194%91.454.9+36.6
3 Phantoms W1712571%76.569.3+7.2
4 Namur W1712571%69.965.8+4.1
5 Liege W178947%64.467.9-3.5
6 Waregem W1881044%70.876.1-5.3
7 Kortrijk W1771041%66.277.5-11.3
8 Charleroi W1871139%67.678.3-10.7
9 Lummen W1741324%60.476.5-16.1
10 Brunehaut W1821611%62.180.5-18.4
11 Laarne W1821611%58.880.2-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege W2715271887
Lummen W141521142
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