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Lietkabelis vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2014
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-81
19-21 26-18 24-24 16-18
Position#8
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#15
Record4-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeBaltic League
Other2014
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Valga
17 Dec 2014
LIE85
VALG81
30 Oct 2012
LIE74
VALG60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#6
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A13/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A16/11
LKL
Jekabpils
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H19/11
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#20
W
104-53
104
53
+51
H20/11
Baltic League
Rytas
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
H23/11
LKL
Skycop
#9
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H24/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H28/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A30/11
LKL
Tal Tech
#16
W
116-54
116
54
+62
H03/12
Baltic League
Skycop
#14
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A13/12
Baltic League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
22-16
10-14
21-21
21-21
22-25
19-28
24-24
22-18
20-21
23-11
19-24
25-19
29-9
24-15
26-10
25-24
18-17
10-31
16-25
24-17
19-12
25-18
21-21
22-13
23-20
27-18
25-16
11-23
14-25
20-24
16-18
30-8
36-28
23-8
27-10
20-10
19-21
15-19
21-12
158.7Avg total
84.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.371.8163.1+19.678%
Season at home (5)97.866.6164.4+31.2100%
Season away (4)83.278.2161.5+5.050%
Last 10 (10)84.973.8158.7+11.160%
Last 5 (5)87.668.2155.8+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.186.1159.3-13.07%
vs Similar (2)66.561.0127.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.672.4164.0+19.277%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#16
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A07/11
Baltic League
Parnu
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A09/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Skycop
#14
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A12/11
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A14/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#3
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A19/11
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#16
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H26/11
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#20
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A03/12
Baltic League
Tartu Ulikool
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H10/12
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
H12/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
24-15
17-22
11-23
10-23
24-19
25-19
19-21
17-23
22-23
18-18
12-28
23-28
24-24
20-21
22-18
16-15
20-18
17-20
15-18
14-22
20-7
17-22
22-18
12-14
22-16
26-20
21-16
27-24
19-30
9-17
17-18
22-20
11-11
16-17
14-28
23-27
20-19
31-17
26-28
156.7Avg total
76.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.678.9153.4-4.344%
Season at home (4)80.278.8159.0+1.575%
Season away (5)70.079.0149.0-9.020%
Last 10 (10)76.080.7156.7-4.730%
Last 5 (5)77.878.2156.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)67.081.6148.6-14.66%
vs Similar (4)84.089.0173.0-5.025%
vs Weaker (8)82.873.9156.6+8.975%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -3.7-3.7
LietkabelisValga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A16/11
LKL
Jekabpils
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H19/11
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#20
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H20/11
Baltic League
Rytas
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/11
LKL
Skycop
#9
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H24/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A30/11
LKL
Tal Tech
#16
W
66-36
66
36
+30
H03/12
Baltic League
Skycop
#14
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A13/12
Baltic League
80.8Avg total
43.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.779.1+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.935.878.6+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)39.540.379.8-0.854%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.180.8+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.479.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.840.177.9-2.340%-
vs Similar (2)33.531.064.5+2.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.836.082.8+10.885%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A07/11
Baltic League
Parnu
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A09/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Skycop
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A12/11
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/11
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/11
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#20
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A03/12
Baltic League
Tartu Ulikool
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#7
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H10/12
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
78.3Avg total
38.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.679.3-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.239.677.8-1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)37.143.981.1-6.829%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.878.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.076.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.642.177.7-6.633%-
vs Similar (4)40.846.587.2-5.80%-
vs Weaker (8)41.038.179.1+2.975%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lietkabelis wins
1
Valga wins
DateGameScore
29/10/14Valga v Lietkabelis99-95
30/11/12Valga v Lietkabelis58-75
30/10/12Lietkabelis v Valga74-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/14ASkycop75-62
03/12/14HTal Tech116-54
30/11/14ARytas61-90
28/11/14HNevezis97-67
24/11/14HSkycop89-68
23/11/14HRytas69-97
20/11/14HTallinna Kalev104-53
19/11/14HJekabpils84-74
16/11/14ANeptunas86-98
13/11/14AAlytaus Dzukija68-75
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/14HTal Tech100-91
10/12/14HJekabpils63-76
05/12/14HTartu Ulikool72-89
03/12/14ATallinna Kalev81-66
26/11/14HTal Tech73-69
19/11/14AValmiera/ORDO68-71
14/11/14ATal Tech89-91
12/11/14ASkycop69-92
09/11/14AParnu78-82
07/11/14ATal Tech67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Baltic League 2014
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game91.397.883.2
Allowed / game71.866.678.2
Point differential+19.6+31.2+5.0
Avg total163.1164.4161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valga
Baltic League 2014
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game74.680.270.0
Allowed / game78.978.879.0
Point differential-4.3+1.5-9.0
Avg total153.4159.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus65183%84.268.8+15.3
2 BK Liepaja54180%79.676.2+3.4
3 Lietkabelis97278%91.371.8+19.6
4 Valmiera/ORDO97278%78.669.9+8.7
5 BC Kalev/Cramo86275%81.872.6+9.1
6 Jekabpils86275%75.570.8+4.8
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes75271%84.776.7+8.0
8 Barons Kvartals74357%81.984.6-2.7
9 Rakvere Tarvas63350%79.577.2+2.3
10 Pyrinto Tampere94544%79.078.2+0.8
11 Valga94544%74.678.9-4.3
12 Skycop83538%78.975.9+3.0
13 Rapla62433%70.380.0-9.7
14 Parnu72529%75.477.9-2.4
15 Jurmala82625%68.581.0-12.5
16 Tal Tech82625%67.486.0-18.6
17 Tallinna Kalev91811%67.882.0-14.2
18 Nevezis5050%70.683.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1926241685
Valga2118241881
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