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Lille vs Poitiers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 56-68
12-21 20-15 12-14 12-18
Position#10
Record6-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#11
Record4-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.3
FrancePro BRound 11· Palais des sports Saint-Sauveur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lille v Poitiers
15 Dec 2023
LILL56
POI68
12 Mar 2021
LILL92
POI66
15 Nov 2019
LILL66
POI55
27 Apr 2019
LILL80
POI58
27 Oct 2017
LILL78
POI68
09 May 2017
LILL73
POI68
22 Apr 2016
LILL82
POI79
17 Oct 2014
LILL66
POI97
07 Mar 2014
LILL94
POI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lille winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poitiers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LilleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLille
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
109avg 85
A20/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
74-71
74
71
+3
93avg 85
H27/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
92-98
92
98
-6
88avg 85
A31/10
Pro B
Evreux
#17
W
89-77
89
77
+12
113avg 85
A03/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
80-72
80
72
+8
98avg 85
H10/11
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
73-66
73
66
+7
66avg 85
H17/11
Pro B
Vichy
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
57avg 85
A21/11
French Cup
ASA
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
99avg 85
A24/11
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
62-86
62
86
-24
68avg 85
H01/12
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
75avg 85
A08/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
18-17
19-22
30-25
27-17
20-19
12-21
15-14
29-26
27-29
23-14
13-29
26-16
22-19
16-15
25-27
19-23
17-18
27-18
17-13
17-12
15-17
17-21
24-16
18-21
21-15
16-25
14-24
15-17
26-19
19-18
21-19
11-23
12-28
21-17
18-18
15-26
22-21
18-22
10-13
157.4Avg total
78.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.577.8155.3-0.360%
Season at home (5)70.672.8143.4-2.260%
Season away (5)84.482.8167.2+1.660%
Last 10 (10)78.079.4157.4-1.460%
Last 5 (5)70.078.4148.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.078.5146.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (20)81.481.5162.9-0.150%
vs Weaker (6)88.878.5167.3+10.383%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Vichy
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
90avg 86
H13/10
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
84-89
84
89
-5
90avg 86
H20/10
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
67-73
67
73
-6
74avg 86
A27/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
100-102
100
102
-2
96avg 86
A31/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
80avg 86
H03/11
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
68-58
68
58
+10
82avg 86
H10/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
L
81-99
81
99
-18
70avg 86
A17/11
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
91-83
91
83
+8
112avg 86
H24/11
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
92avg 86
A03/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
101avg 86
H08/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-26
21-22
13-22
21-22
25-18
24-27
14-22
13-19
17-17
17-15
20-22
23-23
13-25
27-28
37-26
21-24
19-17
20-18
12-19
28-12
7-10
24-13
9-23
14-30
26-22
22-21
19-26
16-19
25-22
19-22
31-20
20-19
17-20
24-16
17-22
28-25
14-24
16-17
28-15
163.9Avg total
80.6Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.683.3163.9-2.740%
Season at home (6)80.080.3160.3-0.350%
Season away (4)81.587.8169.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)80.683.3163.9-2.740%
Last 5 (5)80.879.6160.4+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.987.1163.0-11.231%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.380.9161.2-0.644%
vs Weaker (2)70.584.0154.5-13.50%
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
LillePoitiers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A20/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A31/10
Pro B
Evreux
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A03/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H10/11
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H17/11
Pro B
Vichy
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/11
French Cup
ASA
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/11
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H01/12
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/12
Pro B
80.8Avg total
40.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.681.8+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.237.980.1+4.376%-
Last 30 away (13)42.241.984.1+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.380.8+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.874.2-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.043.578.5-8.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.539.581.0+2.065%-
vs Weaker (6)45.839.885.7+6.067%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vichy
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H13/10
Pro B
Evreux
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/10
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A27/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A31/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H03/11
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H10/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/11
Pro B
Orleans
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/11
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A03/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H08/12
Pro B
80.9Avg total
39.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.180.4-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.440.979.3-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)38.143.381.4-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.780.9-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.679.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.945.184.1-6.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.739.378.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker (2)31.041.572.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lille: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.0
47.4%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.3
34.7%
33.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.011.9
66.1%
72.2%11.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.5
49.6%
51.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.2
32.3%
33.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.118.0
74.7%
72.2%18.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lille
LLWLWWWLWW
Poitiers
WWWLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#11
-2.7
Net rating
-4.8
103.4
Offensive rating
103.3
106.1
Defensive rating
108.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.1%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.7%
3-point %
32.3%
67.5%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 103.3Defence106.1 · 108.1Shooting49.1% · 49.1%3-point %34.7% · 32.3%Ball care16.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds31.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Lille   ■ Poitiers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lille wins
2
Poitiers wins
DateGameScore
30/04/21Poitiers v Lille80-75
12/03/21Lille v Poitiers92-66
11/02/20Poitiers v Lille61-81
15/11/19Lille v Poitiers66-55
27/04/19Lille v Poitiers80-58
13/10/18Poitiers v Lille85-91 OT
10/02/18Poitiers v Lille75-69
27/10/17Lille v Poitiers78-68
09/05/17Lille v Poitiers73-68
24/01/17Poitiers v Lille70-71
Lillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23APau-Orthez65-82
01/12/23HVichy62-86
24/11/23AASA81-73
21/11/23AVichy69-85
17/11/23HRouen73-66
10/11/23HAngers80-72
03/11/23AEvreux89-77
31/10/23ASt. Chamond92-98
27/10/23HLa Rochelle74-71
20/10/23AFos-sur-Mer95-84
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23HASA86-81
03/12/23APau-Orthez78-77
24/11/23HOrleans91-83
17/11/23AAngers81-99
10/11/23HRouen68-58
03/11/23HFos-sur-Mer72-78
31/10/23AAix Maurienne100-102
27/10/23ANantes67-73
20/10/23HEvreux84-89
13/10/23HVichy79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lille
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game77.570.684.4
Allowed / game77.872.882.8
Point differential-0.3-2.2+1.6
Avg total155.3143.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poitiers
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW40%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game80.680.081.5
Allowed / game83.380.387.8
Point differential-2.7-0.3-6.2
Avg total163.9160.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle109190%83.770.1+13.6
2 Vichy108280%87.075.6+11.4
3 Orleans108280%85.179.0+6.1
4 Boulazac107370%80.574.3+6.2
5 Rouen107370%85.279.9+5.3
6 Pau-Orthez106460%79.476.2+3.2
7 Lille106460%77.577.8-0.3
8 St. Chamond105550%86.683.1+3.5
9 Denain-Voltaire105550%76.579.2-2.7
10 Nantes105550%77.880.8-3.0
11 Evreux104640%79.682.2-2.6
12 Poitiers104640%80.683.3-2.7
13 Fos-sur-Mer103730%76.981.6-4.7
14 Chalons-Reims103730%77.882.6-4.8
15 Angers103730%79.185.4-6.3
16 Aix Maurienne103730%79.088.2-9.2
17 Antibes102820%79.185.4-6.3
18 ASA102820%76.683.3-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lille1220121256
Poitiers2115141868
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