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Limoges vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-102
20-26 19-30 30-25 24-21
Position#17
Record1-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2018
Meetings · Limoges v Alba Berlin
17 Oct 2018
LIM93
ABE102
24 Oct 2017
LIM65
ABE73
12 Dec 2014
LIM65
ABE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limoges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimogesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A03/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H08/06
LNB
Antibes
#18
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A22/09
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H25/09
LNB
Le Portel
#16
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A29/09
LNB
Cedevita
#18
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H03/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#9
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H06/10
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A10/10
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A14/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
19-21
21-15
17-21
22-31
17-18
21-12
16-10
24-19
26-20
13-33
20-22
27-28
14-15
21-26
30-16
13-25
27-28
18-21
37-25
14-28
26-14
24-22
17-26
21-19
23-14
19-19
19-16
19-20
28-25
31-12
25-17
18-28
13-18
18-18
15-18
16-23
15-13
15-26
15-19
163.0Avg total
80.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.075.0148.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)82.068.0150.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)64.082.0146.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)80.882.2163.0-1.440%
Last 5 (5)78.279.0157.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.384.9158.2-11.622%
vs Similar (15)77.974.9152.8+2.953%
vs Weaker (5)82.676.2158.8+6.480%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
106-95 OT
106
95
+11
A03/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H07/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H13/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
85-106
85
106
-21
A16/06
BBL
Jena
#18
W
112-55
112
55
+57
H29/09
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
107-91
107
91
+16
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H07/10
German Cup
Cedevita
#18
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
115-76
115
76
+39
H12/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
26-17
18-24
23-25
9-26
20-18
23-26
17-26
16-25
13-21
19-15
18-11
12-14
17-20
22-19
21-15
19-32
20-26
22-28
24-20
22-16
30-15
33-9
27-15
30-19
25-35
19-21
33-16
19-19
31-15
14-17
24-17
21-22
15-16
14-18
23-19
33-15
20-16
27-22
35-23
169.5Avg total
89.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.083.0173.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)107.091.0198.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)89.380.2169.5+9.160%
Last 5 (5)99.073.0172.0+26.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)87.884.4172.2+3.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.778.3175.1+18.479%
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +5.8+5.8
LimogesAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimogesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A03/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H08/06
LNB
Antibes
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A22/09
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H25/09
LNB
Le Portel
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/09
LNB
Cedevita
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H03/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#9
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H06/10
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/10
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/10
LNB
82.4Avg total
39.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.679.6-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.179.0+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)37.243.080.2-5.820%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.882.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.479.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.444.682.0-7.122%-
vs Similar (15)39.438.978.3+0.553%-
vs Weaker (5)41.039.880.8+1.240%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A03/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H13/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A16/06
BBL
Jena
#18
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H29/09
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/10
German Cup
Cedevita
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H12/10
BBL
82.6Avg total
41.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.387.0+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.639.988.6+8.775%-
Last 30 away (14)42.542.885.3-0.357%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.882.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)49.237.686.8+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.640.789.3+7.879%-
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limogestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limoges: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.5
58.9%
51.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.57.0
37.8%
36.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.09.0
60.0%
74.9%9.0
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.0
50.0%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.510.0
42.6%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.019.0
86.4%
74.9%19.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limoges
LLWWLLWLWL
Alba Berlin
WLWWWLWLLW
#17
League position
#4
-1.4
Net rating
+8.9
100.4
Offensive rating
113.4
101.8
Defensive rating
104.5
58.2%
Effective FG%
55.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
24.3%
Turnover %
20.6%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
39.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.8%
3-point %
42.6%
61.4%
Assist %
81.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 113.4Defence101.8 · 104.5Shooting58.2% · 55.1%3-point %37.8% · 42.6%Ball care24.3% · 20.6%Off. rebounds25.0% · 39.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Limoges   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Limoges wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
12/12/17Alba Berlin v Limoges78-84
24/10/17Limoges v Alba Berlin65-73
12/12/14Limoges v Alba Berlin65-71
07/11/14Alba Berlin v Limoges89-66
Limogeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/18AStrasbourg61-81
10/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban64-82
06/10/18HJL Bourg103-74
03/10/18HCedevita82-68
29/09/18ALe Portel81-90
25/09/18HGravelines-Dunkerque95-99
22/09/18AAntibes92-85
08/06/18HMonaco83-94
06/06/18HMonaco76-71
03/06/18AMonaco71-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/18HCrailsheim Merlins115-76
10/10/18ACedevita73-75
07/10/18HBayreuth88-68
02/10/18HTofas107-91
29/09/18HJena112-55
16/06/18ABayern85-106
13/06/18HBayern72-68
10/06/18ABayern66-72
07/06/18HBayern69-96
03/06/18ABayern106-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limoges
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.082.064.0
Allowed / game75.068.082.0
Point differential-2.0+14.0-18.0
Avg total148.0150.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game90.0107.073.0
Allowed / game83.091.075.0
Point differential+7.0+16.0-2.0
Avg total173.0198.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan330100%91.775.0+16.7
2 Lokomotiv Kuban330100%85.769.7+16.0
3 Valencia220100%78.064.5+13.5
4 Crvena zvezda330100%79.771.7+8.0
5 Unicaja32167%86.376.3+10.0
6 Monaco32167%72.766.3+6.3
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne32167%73.769.3+4.3
8 Galatasaray32167%86.784.0+2.7
9 Cedevita32167%73.772.0+1.7
10 Frankfurt32167%74.079.0-5.0
11 Alba Berlin21150%90.083.0+7.0
12 Zenit Petersburg21150%86.584.5+2.0
13 Partizan21150%81.082.0-1.0
14 Limoges21150%73.075.0-2.0
15 Trento21150%71.574.0-2.5
16 MoraBanc Andorra31233%87.386.7+0.7
17 Rytas31233%71.376.0-4.7
18 Ulm31233%80.385.0-4.7
19 Tofas31233%86.393.7-7.3
20 Mornar Bar31233%81.091.0-10.0
21 Torino3030%81.088.0-7.0
22 Turk Telekom3030%70.082.3-12.3
23 Brescia3030%78.391.3-13.0
24 Gdynia3030%71.084.7-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limoges2019302493
Alba Berlin26302521102
← all games of the day
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