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Limoges vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-71
15-16 25-19 8-25 24-11
Position#17
Record4-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.2
Limoges 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record7-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limoges winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimogesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#23
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H19/12
Eurocup
Chalons-Reims
#13
W
106-83
106
83
+23
A21/12
LNB
Boulazac
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H27/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A02/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H09/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A12/01
LNB
Unicaja
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A15/01
Eurocup
Elan Bearnais
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H20/01
LNB
Unicaja
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H23/01
Eurocup
Antibes
#18
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H26/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
30-17
32-26
23-28
20-18
29-24
28-20
29-21
22-22
24-18
22-22
21-22
16-25
16-15
21-18
18-25
18-28
19-18
13-18
24-15
15-16
21-23
27-20
14-14
18-24
13-17
24-23
17-15
26-20
15-13
21-13
19-22
18-21
20-19
23-18
16-20
20-13
16-13
19-17
31-20
161.3Avg total
83.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.483.2162.6-3.829%
Season at home (7)83.181.0164.1+2.143%
Season away (7)75.785.4161.1-9.714%
Last 10 (10)83.677.7161.3+5.960%
Last 5 (5)78.672.2150.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.782.8155.5-10.10%
vs Similar (12)80.576.1156.6+4.475%
vs Weaker (8)90.083.9173.9+6.162%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
W
76-54
76
54
+22
A22/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
96-66
96
66
+30
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H23/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A26/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
14-13
22-17
16-6
23-11
23-29
17-23
23-9
25-16
15-16
18-21
25-18
22-13
30-18
17-23
27-12
13-26
24-25
18-14
19-14
20-18
21-25
18-19
20-15
23-21
14-21
20-25
19-25
18-9
22-12
16-23
23-18
17-21
27-21
14-22
23-18
20-21
13-28
12-21
23-14
153.7Avg total
79.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.478.0159.4+3.450%
Season at home (7)86.074.3160.3+11.771%
Season away (7)76.781.7158.4-5.029%
Last 10 (10)79.873.9153.7+5.960%
Last 5 (5)76.679.4156.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.587.0165.5-8.50%
vs Similar (7)78.381.6159.9-3.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.569.8155.2+15.790%
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +6.9+6.9
LimogesCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimogesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#23
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H19/12
Eurocup
Chalons-Reims
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A21/12
LNB
Boulazac
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A02/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A12/01
LNB
Unicaja
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A15/01
Eurocup
Elan Bearnais
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/01
LNB
Unicaja
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/01
Eurocup
Antibes
#18
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H26/01
LNB
77.4Avg total
39.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.179.7-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.438.278.6+2.273%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.180.7-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.077.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.872.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.042.378.3-6.320%-
vs Similar (12)40.838.879.5+2.067%-
vs Weaker (8)42.139.581.6+2.662%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A26/01
ABA League
79.0Avg total
40.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.536.479.8+7.177%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.934.181.1+12.8100%-
Last 30 away (16)40.438.378.8+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.279.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (7)40.141.681.7-1.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.934.179.0+10.881%-
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limogestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limoges: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.4
50.4%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.1
39.2%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.511.1
76.6%
74.9%11.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.9
56.9%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.8
35.5%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.8
74.0%
74.9%12.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limoges
WLWLWLLWWW
Crvena zvezda
LLWLWLWWWW
#17
League position
#9
-7.1
Net rating
+8.4
106.0
Offensive rating
112.2
113.2
Defensive rating
103.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.2%
3-point %
35.5%
67.4%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 112.2Defence113.2 · 103.8Shooting53.6% · 55.4%3-point %39.2% · 35.5%Ball care17.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.2% · 32.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Limoges   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Limoges wins
1
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
02/01/19Crvena zvezda v Limoges83-71
Limogeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/19HAntibes86-63
23/01/19HUnicaja77-78
20/01/19HElan Bearnais81-68
15/01/19AUnicaja72-79
12/01/19AChalon/Saone77-73
09/01/19HValencia74-79
02/01/19ACrvena zvezda71-83
27/12/18HBoulazac89-84
21/12/18AChalons-Reims106-83
19/12/18HGdynia103-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/19ACedevita68-84
23/01/19HValencia81-82
19/01/19HFMP Beograd79-62
16/01/19AValencia76-92
12/01/19AIgokea79-77
08/01/19AUnicaja74-79
04/01/19AKK Krka Novo mesto96-66
02/01/19HLimoges83-71
30/12/18HBuducnost86-72
22/12/18ACibona76-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limoges
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game79.483.175.7
Allowed / game83.281.085.4
Point differential-3.8+2.1-9.7
Avg total162.6164.1161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game81.486.076.7
Allowed / game78.074.381.7
Point differential+3.4+11.7-5.0
Avg total159.4160.3158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1412286%86.476.3+10.1
2 Lokomotiv Kuban1412286%85.175.6+9.4
3 Valencia1412286%84.676.0+8.6
4 Unicaja1411379%87.179.0+8.1
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1411379%78.371.6+6.6
6 Alba Berlin1511473%86.881.9+4.9
7 MoraBanc Andorra1410471%86.482.1+4.2
8 Monaco159660%76.474.9+1.5
9 Crvena zvezda147750%81.478.0+3.4
10 Ulm146843%83.283.5-0.3
11 Partizan146843%74.875.5-0.7
12 Rytas146843%78.979.7-0.8
13 Frankfurt146843%73.077.1-4.1
14 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
15 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
16 Zenit Petersburg145936%83.483.1+0.2
17 Cedevita145936%83.687.2-3.6
18 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
19 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
20 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
21 Limoges1441029%79.483.2-3.8
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limoges152582472
Crvena zvezda1619251171
← all games of the day
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