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Valencia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 92-76
21-23 21-14 25-20 25-19
Position#1
Record10-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game75.6
Valencia 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#9
Record7-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game76.5
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2018
Meetings · Valencia v Crvena zvezda
10 Dec 2026
VAL v CZV
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
VAL76
CZV73
06 Dec 2023
VAL85
CZV81
06 Jan 2023
VAL75
CZV77
15 Jan 2021
VAL91
CZV71
16 Jan 2019
VAL92
CZV76
15 Dec 2017
VAL82
CZV86
05 Dec 2014
VAL68
CZV77
03 Mar 2009
VAL82
CZV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
128avg 108
H08/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
97-89
97
89
+8
123avg 108
H11/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
87-77
87
77
+10
116avg 108
A15/12
ACB
Trento
#21
W
95-83
95
83
+12
120avg 108
A18/12
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#16
W
83-79
83
79
+4
109avg 108
A23/12
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
119avg 108
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
121avg 108
H02/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
101avg 108
A06/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
79-74
79
74
+5
110avg 108
A09/01
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
108avg 108
H13/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-17
29-18
25-15
27-19
20-21
27-22
23-27
18-21
26-16
20-14
23-26
23-18
29-28
26-15
17-22
13-19
25-15
19-24
26-21
21-19
22-15
21-25
25-15
22-13
23-25
21-20
19-16
12-22
19-24
22-19
21-18
28-18
18-19
18-13
15-24
19-21
22-20
16-14
26-12
163.5Avg total
86.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.275.6159.8+8.683%
Season at home (6)88.874.2163.0+14.7100%
Season away (6)79.577.0156.5+2.567%
Last 10 (10)86.377.2163.5+9.190%
Last 5 (5)82.074.4156.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.383.7154.0-13.30%
vs Similar (4)76.085.2161.2-9.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)83.775.8159.5+7.983%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
W
97-70
97
70
+27
130avg 112
H09/12
ABA League
Brescia
#19
W
103-67
103
67
+36
141avg 112
H12/12
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
W
78-68
78
68
+10
110avg 112
A15/12
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
100-83
100
83
+17
132avg 112
A19/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
76-54
76
54
+22
no box
A22/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
86-72
86
72
+14
115avg 112
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
120avg 112
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
96-66
96
66
+30
129avg 112
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
98avg 112
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
100avg 112
A12/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
23-17
34-20
18-17
31-14
34-8
17-21
21-24
20-15
22-10
22-22
14-21
24-26
25-16
30-26
21-15
24-18
14-13
22-17
16-6
23-11
23-29
17-23
23-9
25-16
15-16
18-21
25-18
22-13
30-18
17-23
27-12
13-26
24-25
18-14
19-14
20-18
21-25
18-19
20-15
157.9Avg total
87.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.876.5158.3+5.358%
Season at home (6)86.873.0159.8+13.883%
Season away (6)76.880.0156.8-3.233%
Last 10 (10)87.270.7157.9+16.590%
Last 5 (5)83.673.0156.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)78.381.6159.9-3.343%
vs Weaker (22)86.169.5155.6+16.595%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +5.3+5.3
ValenciaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A15/12
ACB
Trento
#21
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A18/12
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A23/12
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/01
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/01
ACB
81.6Avg total
42.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.879.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.580.1+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.041.179.1-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.281.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.380.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (4)35.545.080.5-9.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.038.379.3+2.761%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H09/12
ABA League
Brescia
#19
W
65-22
65
22
+43
H12/12
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A15/12
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A19/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/01
ABA League
80.5Avg total
45.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.535.880.2+8.780%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.835.181.9+11.693%-
Last 30 away (16)42.436.378.8+6.169%-
Last 10 (10)45.535.080.5+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)40.141.681.7-1.471%-
vs Weaker (22)46.033.679.7+12.486%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.9
57.8%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.8
39.0%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.613.3
80.1%
74.9%13.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.1
57.3%
51.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.5
41.8%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
74.9%14.5
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLWWWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#9
+12.5
Net rating
+22.6
120.6
Offensive rating
119.5
108.0
Defensive rating
96.9
58.1%
Effective FG%
59.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.3%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.0%
3-point %
41.8%
62.2%
Assist %
66.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence120.6 · 119.5Defence108.0 · 96.9Shooting58.1% · 59.6%3-point %39.0% · 41.8%Ball care16.5% · 18.3%Off. rebounds33.1% · 35.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Valencia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
15/03/18Crvena zvezda v Valencia106-90
15/12/17Valencia v Crvena zvezda82-86
05/12/14Valencia v Crvena zvezda68-77
30/10/14Crvena zvezda v Valencia76-63
03/03/09Valencia v Crvena zvezda82-80
27/01/09Crvena zvezda v Valencia73-85
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19HGran Canaria83-67
09/01/19ALimoges79-74
06/01/19AJoventut Badalona74-83
02/01/19HUnicaja85-74
29/12/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza89-74
23/12/18AEstudiantes83-79
18/12/18ATrento95-83
15/12/18ASan Pablo Burgos87-77
11/12/18HZenit Petersburg97-89
08/12/18HMoraBanc Andorra91-72
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/19AIgokea79-77
08/01/19AUnicaja74-79
04/01/19AKK Krka Novo mesto96-66
02/01/19HLimoges83-71
30/12/18HBuducnost86-72
22/12/18ACibona76-54
19/12/18AGalatasaray100-83
15/12/18AMega Bemax78-68
12/12/18HBrescia103-67
09/12/18HZadar97-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.288.879.5
Allowed / game75.674.277.0
Point differential+8.6+14.7+2.5
Avg total159.8163.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game81.886.876.8
Allowed / game76.573.080.0
Point differential+5.3+13.8-3.2
Avg total158.3159.8156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1311285%85.375.8+9.5
2 Lokomotiv Kuban1311285%84.875.6+9.2
3 Valencia1210283%84.275.6+8.6
4 Unicaja1310377%87.879.2+8.6
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1310377%78.573.2+5.4
6 Alba Berlin139469%87.783.2+4.5
7 MoraBanc Andorra139469%86.482.8+3.6
8 Monaco139469%78.275.2+3.0
9 Crvena zvezda127558%81.876.5+5.3
10 Ulm136746%83.883.2+0.6
11 Rytas136746%78.579.2-0.7
12 Frankfurt136746%74.677.2-2.6
13 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
14 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
15 Zenit Petersburg135838%84.182.9+1.2
16 Partizan135838%75.176.1-1.0
17 Cedevita135838%83.786.2-2.5
18 Limoges134931%79.683.6-4.0
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2121252592
Crvena zvezda2314201976
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