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Cedevita vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-68
21-20 28-13 21-12 14-23
Position#2
Record11-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game81.8
Cedevita 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#1
Record16-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game68.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17
Domestic2018
Meetings · Cedevita v Crvena zvezda
26 Jan 2019
CED84
CZV68
22 Sep 2018
CED68
CZV79
22 Oct 2017
CED79
CZV74
13 Apr 2017
CED61
CZV77
25 Dec 2016
CED91
CZV95
08 Apr 2016
CED83
CZV62
22 Mar 2016
CED65
CZV73
11 Oct 2015
CED74
CZV72
30 Apr 2015
CED79
CZV89
29 Apr 2015
CED72
CZV62
24 Nov 2014
CED87
CZV88
16 Feb 2014
CED68
CZV64
14 Oct 2012
CED68
CZV66
08 Feb 2012
CED96
CZV91
09 Mar 2011
CED98
CZV95
07 Nov 2009
CED88
CZV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H29/12
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H02/01
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
A05/01
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A09/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H12/01
ABA League
Osijek
#20
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A13/01
Croatian Cup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
70-105
70
105
-35
A16/01
Eurocup
Osijek
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A18/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A21/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
83-100
83
100
-17
H23/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
17-27
19-14
19-15
25-27
15-22
19-24
22-14
33-17
20-21
12-24
25-28
26-20
18-28
18-22
22-28
22-17
27-15
24-10
16-26
25-12
25-25
19-16
17-21
16-21
22-26
16-26
16-32
12-18
29-22
15-22
22-21
22-21
20-19
19-20
17-20
23-31
22-31
22-22
16-16
170.7Avg total
83.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.281.8170.1+6.469%
Season at home (8)88.077.1165.1+10.975%
Season away (8)88.586.5175.0+2.062%
Last 10 (10)83.986.8170.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)79.088.4167.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.694.6176.1-13.014%
vs Similar (8)80.580.6161.1-0.138%
vs Weaker (14)89.682.6172.2+7.179%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#20
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A19/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
76-54
76
54
+22
A22/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
96-66
96
66
+30
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H23/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
25-16
30-26
21-15
24-18
14-13
22-17
16-6
23-11
23-29
17-23
23-9
25-16
15-16
18-21
25-18
22-13
30-18
17-23
27-12
13-26
24-25
18-14
19-14
20-18
21-25
18-19
20-15
23-21
14-21
20-25
19-25
18-9
22-12
16-23
23-18
17-21
27-21
14-22
23-18
156.8Avg total
83.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.768.9154.6+16.8100%
Season at home (8)89.270.4159.6+18.9100%
Season away (8)82.167.4149.5+14.8100%
Last 10 (10)83.073.8156.8+9.270%
Last 5 (5)77.878.4156.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.587.0165.5-8.50%
vs Similar (7)78.381.6159.9-3.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.069.0155.0+17.095%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +6.6+6.6
CedevitaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/12
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H02/01
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A05/01
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A09/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/01
ABA League
Osijek
#20
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A13/01
Croatian Cup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A16/01
Eurocup
Osijek
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H23/01
Eurocup
88.3Avg total
44.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.184.0+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.483.5+2.877%-
Last 30 away (17)42.841.684.4+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.688.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.288.4-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.346.988.1-5.614%-
vs Similar (8)42.440.582.9+1.975%-
vs Weaker (14)43.638.882.4+4.979%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A19/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/01
Eurocup
79.9Avg total
42.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.835.979.7+7.980%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.634.280.8+12.4100%-
Last 30 away (15)40.937.678.5+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.579.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.879.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (7)40.141.681.7-1.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.333.478.7+11.986%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.3
51.5%
51.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.49.4
42.0%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
72.5%14.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.2
57.2%
51.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.5
38.3%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.313.3
76.9%
72.5%13.3
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
LLLLWWLWLW
Crvena zvezda
LWLWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
-5.2
Net rating
+13.1
108.4
Offensive rating
117.0
113.7
Defensive rating
103.9
55.7%
Effective FG%
57.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.0%
3-point %
38.3%
61.3%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 117.0Defence113.7 · 103.9Shooting55.7% · 57.3%3-point %42.0% · 38.3%Ball care19.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 34.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Cedevita   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cedevita wins
8
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
03/11/18Crvena zvezda v Cedevita94-79
22/09/18Cedevita v Crvena zvezda68-79
14/01/18Crvena zvezda v Cedevita82-66
22/10/17Cedevita v Crvena zvezda79-74
13/04/17Cedevita v Crvena zvezda61-77
11/04/17Crvena zvezda v Cedevita84-73
10/04/17Crvena zvezda v Cedevita81-66
25/12/16Cedevita v Crvena zvezda91-95
03/10/16Crvena zvezda v Cedevita88-64
08/04/16Cedevita v Crvena zvezda83-62
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/19HUnics Kazan83-100
21/01/19ABuducnost78-80
18/01/19AOsijek78-83
16/01/19AUnics Kazan70-105
13/01/19AOsijek86-74
12/01/19HCibona89-68
09/01/19AZenit Petersburg84-98
05/01/19AMega Bemax107-101 OT
02/01/19HMoraBanc Andorra81-87
29/12/18HZadar83-72
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/19HValencia81-82
19/01/19HFMP Beograd79-62
16/01/19AValencia76-92
12/01/19AIgokea79-77
08/01/19AUnicaja74-79
04/01/19AKK Krka Novo mesto96-66
02/01/19HLimoges83-71
30/12/18HBuducnost86-72
22/12/18ACibona76-54
19/12/18AGalatasaray100-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%75%62%
Points / game88.288.088.5
Allowed / game81.877.186.5
Point differential+6.4+10.9+2.0
Avg total170.1165.1175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.789.282.1
Allowed / game68.970.467.4
Point differential+16.8+18.9+14.8
Avg total154.6159.6149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+81%100%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda16160100%85.768.9+16.8
2 Cedevita1611569%88.281.8+6.4
3 Buducnost1611569%80.974.8+6.1
4 Partizan1610662%82.278.2+4.0
5 Mega Bemax169756%83.484.2-0.8
6 Cibona167944%77.981.8-3.9
7 Mornar Bar1661038%83.987.1-3.2
8 FMP Beograd1661038%80.183.5-3.4
9 Igokea1661038%83.687.7-4.1
10 Petrol Olimpija1651131%79.282.8-3.5
11 Zadar1651131%82.986.9-3.9
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1641225%72.382.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita2128211484
Crvena zvezda2013122368
← all games of the day
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