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Limoges vs Pau-Orthez Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game90.4
FranceLNBRound 27· Palais des Sports de Beaublanc
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Limoges v Pau-Orthez
17 Apr 2027
LIM v POR
upcoming
01 Apr 2023
LIM81
POR89
20 Feb 2022
LIM85
POR75
06 Feb 2021
LIM96
POR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limoges win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimogesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimoges
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 88
H07/05
LNB
Le Mans
#6
L
84-101
84
101
-17
80avg 88
A16/05
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 88
A26/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 88
H03/10
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
96-108
96
108
-12
96avg 88
A09/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
90avg 88
H17/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
79avg 88
A25/10
LNB
Boulazac
#10
L
89-99 OT
89
99
-10
88avg 88
H31/10
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A07/11
LNB
Paris
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
13-17
32-10
18-25
20-25
25-16
11-36
28-24
22-21
12-11
12-32
28-18
19-20
25-16
28-15
20-24
26-24
24-27
27-29
19-28
27-28
22-23
16-18
21-17
20-28
19-24
22-16
20-17
9-19
27-19
25-20
17-20
15-16
25-19
15-28
24-14
17-24
22-23
25-34
18-16
174.4Avg total
85.1Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.990.0175.9-4.125%
Season at home (4)89.292.0181.2-2.825%
Season away (4)82.588.0170.5-5.525%
Last 10 (10)85.189.3174.4-4.230%
Last 5 (5)85.091.0176.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)82.292.3174.5-10.118%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.883.4168.2+1.350%
vs Weaker (1)105.083.0188.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
81-72
81
72
+9
72avg 78
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
85avg 78
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
52avg 78
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
53avg 78
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 78
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 78
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
73avg 78
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
97-106 OT
97
106
-9
86avg 78
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
97-106
97
106
-9
no box
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H13/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-23
25-18
17-9
25-22
19-17
18-24
24-10
14-23
12-18
18-14
20-23
14-19
14-20
19-31
14-19
17-22
16-22
25-22
21-19
30-34
31-16
14-22
27-17
28-20
24-19
16-22
17-20
15-16
29-24
20-27
23-20
27-16
27-27
17-31
26-32
19-26
21-23
23-28
21-12
170.4Avg total
83.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.690.4174.0-6.825%
Season at home (4)83.087.0170.0-4.050%
Season away (4)84.293.8178.0-9.50%
Last 10 (10)83.686.8170.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)93.094.2187.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.297.4177.6-17.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.881.8168.6+5.177%
vs Weaker (12)86.877.9164.8+8.992%
This opponent (Limoges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
LimogesPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimogesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H07/05
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A16/05
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H03/10
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A09/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H17/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A25/10
LNB
Boulazac
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H31/10
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A07/11
LNB
Paris
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H14/11
LNB
82.6Avg total
40.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.385.2-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.942.284.1-0.336%-
Last 30 away (16)41.944.386.2-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.082.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.685.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)41.945.287.1-3.241%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.640.881.4-0.242%-
vs Weaker (1)57.042.099.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#5
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H13/11
LNB
85.0Avg total
42.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.983.5-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.484.8+1.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.742.482.1-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.985.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.244.294.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.443.682.0-5.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.044.288.2-0.254%-
vs Weaker (12)40.438.779.1+1.875%-
This opponent (Limoges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limogestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limoges: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.823.3
60.1%
55.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
74.2%16.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.8
50.9%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.2
28.7%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.5
74.2%
74.2%17.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limoges
LWLLLLWLLW
Pau-Orthez
LLLWWLLLWW
#11
League position
#14
+1.5
Net rating
-3.6
102.0
Offensive rating
91.4
100.5
Defensive rating
95.1
56.9%
Effective FG%
48.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.8%
3-point %
28.7%
73.8%
Assist %
65.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 91.4Defence100.5 · 95.1Shooting56.9% · 48.0%3-point %34.8% · 28.7%Ball care15.2% · 14.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Limoges   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Limoges wins
5
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Pau-Orthez v Limoges85-81
15/10/24Pau-Orthez v Limoges65-61
01/04/23Limoges v Pau-Orthez81-89
02/10/22Pau-Orthez v Limoges81-62
10/04/22Pau-Orthez v Limoges66-69
20/02/22Limoges v Pau-Orthez85-75
03/06/21Pau-Orthez v Limoges78-70
06/02/21Limoges v Pau-Orthez96-87
Limogeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HParis82-97
07/11/26ANancy79-77
31/10/26HBoulazac89-99 OT
25/10/26APau-Orthez81-85
17/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne94-97 OT
09/10/26ADijon96-108
03/10/26HSaint Quentin92-75
26/09/26AChalon/Saone74-82
16/05/26ALe Mans84-101
07/05/26HBoulazac80-72
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HStrasbourg84-89
07/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne97-106
31/10/26ALe Mans97-106 OT
25/10/26HLimoges85-81
17/10/26HSaint Quentin102-89
10/10/26ACholet79-85
03/10/26HDijon61-89
26/09/26ANanterre64-78
18/06/26HPoitiers86-73
15/06/26APoitiers81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limoges
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game85.989.282.5
Allowed / game90.092.088.0
Point differential-4.1-2.8-5.5
Avg total175.9181.2170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.683.084.2
Allowed / game90.487.093.8
Point differential-6.8-4.0-9.5
Avg total174.0170.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
12 Nancy82625%80.585.4-4.9
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque81712%79.189.5-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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