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Limoges vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 89-81
17-21 31-16 19-23 22-21
Position#17
Record1-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game84.0
Limoges 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record1-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game93.7
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limoges winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimogesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H08/06
LNB
Antibes
#18
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A22/09
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H25/09
LNB
Le Portel
#16
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A29/09
LNB
Cedevita
#18
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H03/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#9
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H06/10
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A10/10
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A14/10
LNB
Alba Berlin
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H17/10
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A21/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
26-20
13-33
20-22
27-28
14-15
21-26
30-16
13-25
27-28
18-21
37-25
14-28
26-14
24-22
17-26
21-19
23-14
19-19
19-16
19-20
28-25
31-12
25-17
18-28
13-18
18-18
15-18
16-23
15-13
15-26
15-19
20-26
19-30
30-25
24-21
19-21
13-19
19-21
17-21
167.9Avg total
82.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.784.0163.7-4.333%
Season at home (2)87.585.0172.5+2.550%
Season away (1)64.082.0146.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)82.285.7167.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)77.884.2162.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.385.7161.0-10.322%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.974.9152.8+2.953%
vs Weaker (5)82.676.2158.8+6.480%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H11/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
91-107
91
107
-16
A02/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#11
W
82-55
82
55
+27
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H10/10
Eurocup
Istanbul BB
#14
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A17/10
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
19-18
15-26
27-23
26-26
26-23
16-18
23-21
17-22
22-28
21-21
17-24
12-25
14-20
22-24
16-25
19-30
35-25
21-19
16-33
19-11
24-8
18-11
21-25
18-14
26-27
13-17
39-21
8-16
24-10
22-12
19-23
18-22
20-20
14-26
20-27
22-28
28-26
9-25
26-17
166.5Avg total
80.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.393.7180.0-7.333%
Season at home (1)96.079.0175.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)81.5101.0182.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)80.985.6166.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)81.677.2158.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.093.8168.8-18.811%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.683.3169.9+3.357%
vs Weaker (14)87.975.6163.6+12.393%
This opponent (Limoges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
LimogesTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimogesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H08/06
LNB
Antibes
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A22/09
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H25/09
LNB
Le Portel
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/09
LNB
Cedevita
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H03/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#9
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H06/10
LNB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/10
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/10
LNB
Alba Berlin
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H17/10
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A21/10
LNB
82.8Avg total
39.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.579.3-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.839.280.0+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)36.541.978.4-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.382.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.680.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.644.380.9-7.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.438.978.3+0.553%-
vs Weaker (5)41.039.880.8+1.240%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A02/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#11
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/10
Eurocup
Istanbul BB
#14
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A17/10
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.2Avg total
41.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.182.7+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.740.685.3+4.177%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.580.8-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.477.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.346.084.3-7.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.641.683.1+0.057%-
vs Weaker (14)43.737.881.5+5.971%-
This opponent (Limoges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limogestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limoges: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.7
56.7%
51.9%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.39.7
45.3%
36.6%29.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.3
73.9%
74.9%11.3
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.7
53.3%
51.9%43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.7
43.3%
36.6%29.0
🏀 Free throws19.312.7
65.5%
74.9%12.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limoges
LLLLWWLLWL
Tofas
LLWWWLLLWL
#17
League position
#12
-4.1
Net rating
-10.2
107.6
Offensive rating
108.8
111.7
Defensive rating
119.1
61.0%
Effective FG%
57.4%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
64.5%
23.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
18.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
45.3%
3-point %
43.3%
61.4%
Assist %
73.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 108.8Defence111.7 · 119.1Shooting61.0% · 57.4%3-point %45.3% · 43.3%Ball care23.2% · 16.8%Off. rebounds22.6% · 18.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Limoges   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Limoges wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
Limogeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/18ALyon-Villeurbanne68-82
17/10/18HAlba Berlin93-102
14/10/18AStrasbourg61-81
10/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban64-82
06/10/18HJL Bourg103-74
03/10/18HCedevita82-68
29/09/18ALe Portel81-90
25/09/18HGravelines-Dunkerque95-99
22/09/18AAntibes92-85
08/06/18HMonaco83-94
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/18AAfyon Belediye85-96
17/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban72-95
13/10/18HIstanbul BB73-61
10/10/18HGdynia96-79
06/10/18AKarsiyaka82-55
02/10/18AAlba Berlin91-107
13/06/18AFenerbahce64-94
11/06/18HFenerbahce77-95
09/06/18HFenerbahce91-88
07/06/18AFenerbahce78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limoges
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game79.787.564.0
Allowed / game84.085.082.0
Point differential-4.3+2.5-18.0
Avg total163.7172.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game86.396.081.5
Allowed / game93.779.0101.0
Point differential-7.3+17.0-19.5
Avg total180.0175.0182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan330100%91.775.0+16.7
2 Lokomotiv Kuban330100%85.769.7+16.0
3 Valencia330100%78.366.7+11.7
4 Crvena zvezda330100%79.771.7+8.0
5 Alba Berlin43175%91.081.8+9.2
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne43175%77.571.5+6.0
7 Zenit Petersburg32167%88.776.3+12.3
8 Unicaja32167%86.376.3+10.0
9 Monaco32167%72.766.3+6.3
10 Galatasaray32167%86.784.0+2.7
11 Cedevita32167%73.772.0+1.7
12 Frankfurt32167%74.079.0-5.0
13 MoraBanc Andorra31233%87.386.7+0.7
14 Limoges31233%79.784.0-4.3
15 Rytas31233%71.376.0-4.7
16 Ulm31233%80.385.0-4.7
17 Tofas31233%86.393.7-7.3
18 Mornar Bar31233%81.091.0-10.0
19 Partizan41325%77.883.0-5.2
20 Turk Telekom41325%72.881.0-8.2
21 Trento41325%70.080.5-10.5
22 Torino3030%81.088.0-7.0
23 Brescia3030%78.391.3-13.0
24 Gdynia4040%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limoges1731192289
Tofas2116232181
← all games of the day
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