Afyon Belediye vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 96-85

28-22 26-28 25-9 17-26

Position#13

Record0-1

FormLWLWL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game88.0

Afyon Belediye 🏆

Tofas

Position#4

Record2-0

FormLWWWL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game58.0

Basketbol Süper LigiRound 3

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Tofas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tofas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon Belediye Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bursaspor

64-60

A29/04

TBL

Bursaspor

57-67

-10

H02/05

TBL

Bursaspor

74-71

H04/05

TBL

Bursaspor

67-91

-24

A07/05

TBL

Bursaspor

#13

79-75 OT

A18/09

Federation Cup

Antalyaspor

59-76

-17

H19/09

Federation Cup

OGM Ormanspor

#16

77-67

+10

A20/09

Federation Cup

Yalova Bld.

#11

65-68

-3

A22/09

Federation Cup

Istanbulspor

#12

77-75

H23/09

Federation Cup

Bahcesehir Kol.

#10

79-88

-9

A05/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

17-18

15-7

18-17

14-18

11-20

10-8

10-22

26-17

16-13

13-23

22-20

23-15

17-30

17-25

18-22

15-14

16-16

22-22

16-13

12-15

6-24

12-15

17-20

24-17

23-10

18-19

23-18

13-20

18-15

17-21

20-19

10-13

21-15

25-19

17-22

14-19

17-20

14-12

22-28

26-28

143.6Avg total

69.8Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	79.0	88.0	167.0	-9.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	79.0	88.0	167.0	-9.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.8	73.8	143.6	-4.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	74.8	146.2	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	73.2	82.0	155.2	-8.8	25%
vs Similar (14)	72.9	75.7	148.6	-2.9	43%
vs Weaker (12)	81.8	70.4	152.2	+11.3	83%

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tofas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

63-103

103

-40

A05/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

78-86

-8

A07/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

91-88

H09/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

77-95

-18

H11/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

64-94

-30

A13/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Alba Berlin

91-107

107

-16

A02/10

Eurocup

Karsiyaka

#11

82-55

+27

A06/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Gdynia

#23

96-79

+17

H10/10

Eurocup

Istanbul BB

#14

73-61

+12

H13/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Lokomotiv Kuban

72-95

-23

A17/10

Eurocup

15-21

15-26

12-33

21-23

17-19

19-18

15-26

27-23

26-26

26-23

16-18

23-21

17-22

22-28

21-21

17-24

12-25

14-20

22-24

16-25

19-30

35-25

21-19

16-33

19-11

24-8

18-11

21-25

18-14

26-27

13-17

39-21

8-16

24-10

22-12

19-23

18-22

20-20

14-26

20-27

165.0Avg total

78.7Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	77.5	58.0	135.5	+19.5	100%
Season at home (1)	73.0	61.0	134.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (1)	82.0	55.0	137.0	+27.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	86.3	165.0	-7.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	79.4	162.2	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.1	92.3	168.4	-16.2	20%
vs Similar (7)	86.6	83.3	169.9	+3.3	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	88.2	74.1	162.2	+14.1	100%

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Afyon BelediyeTofas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.9	19.3	36.2	-2.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	18.1	34.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.8	33.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.8	19.5	36.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.6	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.5	40.9	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.9	39.9	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.6	37.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.9	24.0	42.9	-5.1	10%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.9	20.3	42.1	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	16.2	34.6	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	17.1	33.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.1	18.6	34.8	-2.5	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	18.0	43.8	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.6	18.5	41.2	+4.1	69%	-

Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bursaspor

32-25

A29/04

TBL

Bursaspor

21-28

-7

H02/05

TBL

Bursaspor

29-36

-7

H04/05

TBL

Bursaspor

34-55

-21

A07/05

TBL

Bursaspor

#13

38-38

A18/09

Federation Cup

Antalyaspor

18-39

-21

H19/09

Federation Cup

OGM Ormanspor

#16

41-29

+12

A20/09

Federation Cup

Yalova Bld.

#11

35-36

-1

A22/09

Federation Cup

Istanbulspor

#12

46-34

+12

H23/09

Federation Cup

Bahcesehir Kol.

#10

31-32

-1

A05/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

67.7Avg total

32.5Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	37.0	74.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.4	35.5	70.8	-0.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.7	38.1	76.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.5	35.2	67.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	34.0	68.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	34.2	38.0	72.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	34.1	37.6	71.7	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.9	35.9	77.8	+6.0	83%	-

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

30-47

-17

A05/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

36-37

-1

A07/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

52-49

H09/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

39-50

-11

H11/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

26-45

-19

A13/06

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Alba Berlin

54-55

-1

A02/10

Eurocup

Karsiyaka

#11

43-19

+24

A06/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Gdynia

#23

44-41

H10/10

Eurocup

Istanbul BB

#14

32-26

H13/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Lokomotiv Kuban

38-42

-4

A17/10

Eurocup

80.5Avg total

39.4Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	40.6	82.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	40.5	85.3	+4.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	40.8	79.3	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	41.1	80.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	36.6	78.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.1	45.3	84.4	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.6	41.6	83.1	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.2	36.5	79.8	+6.7	77%	-

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.7	38.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.4	22.6	39.0	-6.2	10%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.0	16.1	36.1	+3.9	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.2	36.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	17.8	38.8	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.8	18.5	35.3	-1.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.7	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.6	43.3	+2.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	24.5	46.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	25.8	48.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.8	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.3	22.3	45.6	+1.0	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.2	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	36.5	74.6	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	36.5	77.4	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.1	36.5	72.5	-0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.8	78.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	39.0	44.0	83.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.5	36.0	72.5	+0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.8	34.5	74.3	+5.3	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	40.8	82.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	37.4	80.4	+5.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	43.9	83.8	-4.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	45.2	84.5	-5.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	42.8	83.4	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.0	47.0	84.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.0	41.7	86.7	+3.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.8	35.6	78.4	+7.2	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.3 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.7	53.3%	54.1%	43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	9.7	43.3%	35.6%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	19.3	12.7	65.5%	75.9%	12.7

They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.0	24.3	57.9%	54.1%	48.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.3	11.0	51.6%	35.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	13.0	11.3	87.2%	75.9%	11.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.0	24.3	57.9%	54.1%	48.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.3	11.0	51.6%	35.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	13.0	11.3	87.2%	75.9%	11.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Afyon Belediye wins

Tofas wins

Date	Game	Score
17/05/16	Afyon Belediye v Tofas	78-93
14/05/16	Tofas v Afyon Belediye	109-67
12/05/16	Tofas v Afyon Belediye	105-68
05/03/16	Afyon Belediye v Tofas	55-90
15/11/15	Tofas v Afyon Belediye	89-65

Afyon Belediyelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/10/18	A	Bahcesehir Kol.	79-88
23/09/17	H	Istanbulspor	77-75
22/09/17	A	Yalova Bld.	65-68
20/09/17	A	OGM Ormanspor	77-67
19/09/17	H	Antalyaspor	59-76
18/09/17	A	Bursaspor	79-75 OT
07/05/17	A	Bursaspor	67-91
04/05/17	H	Bursaspor	74-71
02/05/17	H	Bursaspor	57-67
29/04/17	A	Bursaspor	64-60

Tofaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/10/18	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	72-95
13/10/18	H	Istanbul BB	73-61
10/10/18	H	Gdynia	96-79
06/10/18	A	Karsiyaka	82-55
02/10/18	A	Alba Berlin	91-107
13/06/18	A	Fenerbahce	64-94
11/06/18	H	Fenerbahce	77-95
09/06/18	H	Fenerbahce	91-88
07/06/18	A	Fenerbahce	78-86
05/06/18	A	Fenerbahce	63-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	79.0	-	79.0
Allowed / game	88.0	-	88.0
Point differential	-9.0	-	-9.0
Avg total	167.0	-	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Tofas

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	77.5	73.0	82.0
Allowed / game	58.0	61.0	55.0
Point differential	+19.5	+12.0	+27.0
Avg total	135.5	134.0	137.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tofas	2	2	0	100%	77.5	58.0	+19.5
2	Buyukcekmece	2	2	0	100%	86.5	70.5	+16.0
3	Bahcesehir Kol.	2	2	0	100%	85.5	78.5	+7.0
4	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	100%	79.0	72.5	+6.5
5	Anadolu Efes	2	2	0	100%	74.0	71.0	+3.0
6	Gaziantep	2	2	0	100%	68.0	65.5	+2.5
7	Turk Telekom	2	1	1	50%	68.5	67.5	+1.0
8	Besiktas	2	1	1	50%	67.0	67.5	-0.5
9	Darussafaka	2	0	2	0%	67.0	69.0	-2.0
10	Galatasaray	2	0	2	0%	74.0	78.0	-4.0
11	Afyon Belediye	1	0	1	0%	79.0	88.0	-9.0
12	Sakarya BB	2	0	2	0%	68.5	78.5	-10.0
13	Istanbul BB	1	0	1	0%	61.0	73.0	-12.0
14	Banvit	2	0	2	0%	64.0	77.0	-13.0
15	Karsiyaka	2	0	2	0%	56.0	71.5	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Afyon Belediye	28	26	25	17	96
Tofas	22	28	9	26	85

← all games of the day

Afyon Belediye vs Tofas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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