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Limoges vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-79
18-28 19-18 13-18 24-15
Position#17
Record4-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game84.5
Limoges
vs
Valencia 🏆
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeEurocupRound 2
European cup2018
Meetings · Limoges v Valencia
09 Jan 2019
LIM74
VAL79
26 Jan 2016
LIM82
VAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limoges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimogesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#4
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H17/11
LNB
Alba Berlin
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A21/11
Eurocup
Dijon
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H24/11
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A08/12
LNB
Tofas
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A11/12
Eurocup
Fos-sur-Mer
#17
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H15/12
LNB
Gdynia
#23
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H19/12
Eurocup
Chalons-Reims
#13
W
106-83
106
83
+23
A21/12
LNB
Boulazac
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H27/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A02/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
22-9
15-9
26-22
21-18
23-16
13-24
19-26
11-25
14-18
20-18
22-18
32-17
13-14
14-18
9-11
28-22
19-24
21-22
30-24
23-17
21-25
28-25
20-20
18-16
30-17
32-26
23-28
20-18
29-24
28-20
29-21
22-22
24-18
22-22
21-22
16-25
16-15
21-18
18-25
165.1Avg total
85.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.884.5165.3-3.636%
Season at home (5)86.282.0168.2+4.260%
Season away (6)76.386.5162.8-10.217%
Last 10 (10)85.080.1165.1+4.970%
Last 5 (5)92.284.8177.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.283.9157.1-10.79%
vs Similar (11)82.179.2161.3+2.964%
vs Weaker (8)90.886.6177.4+4.162%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A21/11
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H24/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H08/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H11/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A15/12
ACB
Trento
#21
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A18/12
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#16
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A23/12
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H02/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A06/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
12-18
18-12
17-13
16-28
18-9
18-9
25-16
18-22
19-17
29-18
25-15
27-19
20-21
27-22
23-27
18-21
26-16
20-14
23-26
23-18
29-28
26-15
17-22
13-19
25-15
19-24
26-21
21-19
22-15
21-25
25-15
22-13
23-25
21-20
19-16
12-22
19-24
22-19
21-18
160.1Avg total
84.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.675.7160.4+8.982%
Season at home (6)88.874.2163.0+14.7100%
Season away (5)79.677.6157.2+2.060%
Last 10 (10)84.775.4160.1+9.390%
Last 5 (5)85.278.6163.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.383.7154.0-13.30%
vs Similar (5)74.685.6160.2-11.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.475.4158.8+8.082%
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
LimogesValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimogesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H17/11
LNB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/11
Eurocup
Dijon
#3
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H24/11
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A08/12
LNB
Tofas
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A11/12
Eurocup
Fos-sur-Mer
#17
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H15/12
LNB
Gdynia
#23
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H19/12
Eurocup
Chalons-Reims
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A21/12
LNB
Boulazac
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A02/01
Eurocup
80.1Avg total
41.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.681.8-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.682.3+1.071%-
Last 30 away (16)38.942.581.4-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.280.1+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.483.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.542.780.2-5.327%-
vs Similar (11)41.140.581.6+0.564%-
vs Weaker (8)42.841.684.4+1.150%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/11
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H24/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A15/12
ACB
Trento
#21
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A18/12
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A23/12
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/01
ACB
79.2Avg total
40.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.979.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.279.3+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.578.6-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.779.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.681.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.380.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (5)34.844.679.4-9.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.538.278.7+2.359%-
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limogestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limoges: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.8
49.3%
51.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.310.2
43.8%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.911.5
77.2%
74.9%11.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.3
55.8%
51.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.2
39.4%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.011.7
78.0%
74.9%11.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limoges
LWWWWWWLLW
Valencia
LWWWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#1
-7.5
Net rating
+12.8
107.4
Offensive rating
118.2
114.9
Defensive rating
105.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
57.3%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
43.8%
3-point %
39.4%
65.9%
Assist %
65.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 118.2Defence114.9 · 105.3Shooting55.5% · 57.3%3-point %43.8% · 39.4%Ball care19.1% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 33.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Limoges   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Limoges wins
0
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
26/01/16Limoges v Valencia82-67
19/01/16Valencia v Limoges72-92
Limogeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/19ACrvena zvezda71-83
27/12/18HBoulazac89-84
21/12/18AChalons-Reims106-83
19/12/18HGdynia103-87
15/12/18HFos-sur-Mer92-87
11/12/18ATofas98-92
08/12/18ALe Mans68-60
24/11/18HDijon67-79
21/11/18AAlba Berlin76-84
17/11/18HNanterre80-62
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19AJoventut Badalona74-83
02/01/19HUnicaja85-74
29/12/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza89-74
23/12/18AEstudiantes83-79
18/12/18ATrento95-83
15/12/18ASan Pablo Burgos87-77
11/12/18HZenit Petersburg97-89
08/12/18HMoraBanc Andorra91-72
24/11/18HGipuzkoa77-62
21/11/18APartizan69-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limoges
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game80.886.276.3
Allowed / game84.582.086.5
Point differential-3.6+4.2-10.2
Avg total165.3168.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game84.688.879.6
Allowed / game75.774.277.6
Point differential+8.9+14.7+2.0
Avg total160.4163.0157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban1210283%84.975.2+9.8
2 Unics Kazan1210283%83.776.2+7.4
3 Valencia119282%84.675.7+8.9
4 Unicaja129375%88.579.8+8.8
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne129375%79.274.4+4.8
6 Alba Berlin128467%87.283.0+4.2
7 MoraBanc Andorra128467%86.983.8+3.2
8 Monaco128467%78.875.8+2.9
9 Crvena zvezda127558%81.876.5+5.3
10 Ulm126650%84.083.1+0.9
11 Rytas126650%77.877.9-0.1
12 Frankfurt126650%76.077.8-1.8
13 Zenit Petersburg125742%85.283.2+2.0
14 Cedevita125742%84.884.7+0.2
15 Partizan125742%75.776.4-0.8
16 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
17 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
18 Limoges114736%80.884.5-3.6
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limoges1819132474
Valencia2818181579
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