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Trento vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-95
18-23 28-29 15-26 22-17
Position#21
Record3-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#1
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game75.1
EuropeEurocupRound 10
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
L
72-110
72
110
-38
A03/11
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A06/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H10/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H13/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A17/11
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
A21/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H25/11
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A12/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
26-26
10-28
18-24
7-22
25-14
17-20
22-20
19-22
19-17
18-19
20-17
22-22
18-18
19-17
20-20
23-15
15-22
12-23
24-25
16-26
14-26
24-19
35-18
18-10
21-19
20-17
12-20
15-23
27-20
27-22
15-21
22-19
23-23
16-19
16-23
20-19
18-14
10-11
20-16
159.2Avg total
77.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.082.8157.8-7.833%
Season at home (4)74.581.0155.5-6.550%
Season away (5)75.484.2159.6-8.820%
Last 10 (10)77.481.8159.2-4.450%
Last 5 (5)80.479.0159.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.284.9162.1-7.833%
vs Similar (11)77.179.7156.8-2.645%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A04/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A06/11
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H10/11
ACB
Turk Telekom
#13
W
101-83
101
83
+18
H14/11
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
L
66-100
66
100
-34
A17/11
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A21/11
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H24/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H08/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H11/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A15/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
12-16
9-13
15-19
17-20
20-17
17-23
15-13
18-20
32-17
19-19
20-20
17-21
33-21
22-22
29-19
27-24
13-26
18-31
8-19
22-18
12-18
18-12
17-13
16-28
18-9
18-9
25-16
18-22
19-17
29-18
25-15
27-19
20-21
27-22
23-27
18-21
26-16
20-14
23-26
157.2Avg total
80.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.475.1158.6+8.378%
Season at home (5)89.674.2163.8+15.4100%
Season away (4)75.876.2152.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)80.277.0157.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)84.272.2156.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.383.7154.0-13.30%
vs Similar (6)73.881.5155.3-7.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.274.1156.3+8.176%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
TrentoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A03/11
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A06/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H10/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/11
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H25/11
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/12
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/12
Lega A
79.5Avg total
38.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.678.1-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.437.773.1-2.429%-
Last 30 away (16)37.545.182.6-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.979.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.878.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.541.877.3-6.322%-
vs Similar (11)38.741.580.2-2.736%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A04/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A06/11
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H10/11
ACB
Turk Telekom
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H14/11
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A17/11
ACB
Partizan
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/11
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H24/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A15/12
ACB
80.5Avg total
40.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.077.2-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.337.978.2+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)35.740.376.0-4.621%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.080.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.877.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.380.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (6)35.041.276.2-6.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.437.777.0+1.752%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.6
48.0%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.9
29.0%
36.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.712.9
69.0%
74.9%12.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.2
59.1%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.3
39.0%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws13.010.0
76.9%
74.9%10.0
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLLWWLWWLL
Valencia
WWWWWLWWLL
#21
League position
#1
-9.2
Net rating
+4.5
98.8
Offensive rating
114.6
108.0
Defensive rating
110.1
46.4%
Effective FG%
58.8%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
29.0%
3-point %
39.0%
57.0%
Assist %
71.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 114.6Defence108.0 · 110.1Shooting46.4% · 58.8%3-point %29.0% · 39.0%Ball care14.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.2% · 32.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Trento   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trento wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
30/10/18Valencia v Trento87-66
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18HReggiana68-60
12/12/18ATurk Telekom77-84
08/12/18ATorino84-86
25/11/18HSassari71-66
21/11/18AZenit Petersburg102-99 OT
17/11/18ATrieste74-85
13/11/18HLyon-Villeurbanne79-77
10/11/18HBrescia76-75
06/11/18APartizan71-76
03/11/18AAvellino72-110
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18ASan Pablo Burgos87-77
11/12/18HZenit Petersburg97-89
08/12/18HMoraBanc Andorra91-72
24/11/18HGipuzkoa77-62
21/11/18APartizan69-61
17/11/18ATenerife66-100
14/11/18HTurk Telekom101-83
10/11/18HManresa89-76
06/11/18ALyon-Villeurbanne69-73
04/11/18ABaskonia56-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game75.074.575.4
Allowed / game82.881.084.2
Point differential-7.8-6.5-8.8
Avg total157.8155.5159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game83.489.675.8
Allowed / game75.174.276.2
Point differential+8.3+15.4-0.5
Avg total158.6163.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan98189%87.177.4+9.7
2 Lokomotiv Kuban98189%85.676.0+9.6
3 Unicaja97278%91.181.1+10.0
4 Valencia97278%83.475.1+8.3
5 Alba Berlin97278%90.683.6+7.0
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne107370%79.173.9+5.2
7 Monaco107370%79.675.7+3.9
8 Frankfurt96367%79.477.8+1.7
9 MoraBanc Andorra106460%87.084.4+2.6
10 Crvena zvezda95456%80.676.1+4.4
11 Cedevita105550%85.383.1+2.2
12 Rytas94544%79.279.9-0.7
13 Ulm94544%83.684.6-1.0
14 Turk Telekom94544%77.181.3-4.2
15 Zenit Petersburg104640%85.784.6+1.1
16 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
17 Partizan93633%74.377.7-3.3
18 Limoges93633%79.484.3-4.9
19 Brescia93633%77.882.8-5.0
20 Galatasaray93633%78.083.7-5.7
21 Trento93633%75.082.8-7.8
22 Mornar Bar92722%78.392.7-14.3
23 Gdynia91811%74.285.2-11.0
24 Torino9090%83.689.9-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento1828152283
Valencia2329261795
← all games of the day
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