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Lithuania vs North Macedonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 94-72
23-27 20-19 21-16 30-10
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#15
Record6-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game66.9
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Svyturio arena
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Macedonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
Egypt
#27
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
96-66
96
66
+30
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
63-98
63
98
-35
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 82
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
59-65
59
65
-6
49avg 82
A26/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 82
A21/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
20-22
24-19
23-14
32-17
21-17
23-17
20-15
26-27
22-13
18-10
25-21
20-20
19-23
25-15
28-9
25-24
13-25
17-24
13-14
33-21
20-22
22-20
25-21
20-28
18-21
9-28
16-21
16-19
19-11
27-19
21-15
18-17
19-24
13-9
9-15
23-9
21-18
20-16
18-24
156.3Avg total
82.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.765.3140.0+9.367%
Season at home (1)83.064.0147.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)70.566.0136.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)82.773.6156.3+9.170%
Last 5 (5)77.475.6153.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.091.2165.2-17.20%
vs Similar (9)84.378.0162.3+6.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.969.3152.2+13.688%
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North MacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMacedonia
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Denmark
#27
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A25/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
H28/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
58-36
58
36
+22
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
79-41
79
41
+38
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 69
H23/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
96-71
96
71
+25
94avg 69
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
67-82
67
82
-15
56avg 69
H21/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
16-12
16-10
15-16
14-18
20-11
21-26
18-15
19-26
21-20
19-17
20-12
16-11
18-7
11-11
13-7
14-20
18-17
16-17
16-10
15-22
23-22
8-17
27-21
24-12
21-14
15-10
19-5
20-19
23-17
10-21
16-17
25-16
22-22
22-12
27-21
9-23
18-21
16-20
24-18
141.1Avg total
73.6Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.266.9141.1+7.367%
Season at home (5)69.467.6137.0+1.860%
Season away (4)80.266.0146.2+14.275%
Last 10 (10)73.667.5141.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)76.870.0146.8+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.080.5148.5-12.515%
vs Similar (6)72.772.5145.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (11)76.468.4144.7+8.073%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +5.3+5.3
LithuaniaNorth Macedonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Egypt
#27
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A25/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H27/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A21/11
EuroBasket
82.1Avg total
43.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.880.4+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.140.182.2+2.062%-
Last 30 away (14)41.137.278.3+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.082.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.079.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.043.882.8-4.820%-
vs Similar (9)43.840.984.7+2.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.236.077.2+5.275%-
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North MacedoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/07
World Cup
Denmark
#27
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H28/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H10/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H13/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H21/11
EuroBasket
74.2Avg total
37.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.438.373.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.340.274.5-5.927%-
Last 30 away (15)36.536.472.9+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.574.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.677.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.441.574.8-8.123%-
vs Similar (6)36.335.271.5+1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)37.336.373.5+1.055%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.716.0
49.0%
50.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.0
34.6%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.3
68.3%
71.4%14.3
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
North Macedoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

North Macedonia: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.1
52.1%
50.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.2
32.0%
32.5%24.7
🏀 Free throws17.412.4
71.3%
71.4%12.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/9 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania
WLWLWLWWWW
North Macedonia
LWLWLWWWWL
#4
League position
#15
+12.5
Net rating
+10.5
106.1
Offensive rating
101.5
93.6
Defensive rating
91.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
32.0%
65.3%
Assist %
54.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 101.5Defence93.6 · 91.1Shooting50.3% · 50.4%3-point %34.6% · 32.0%Ball care14.9% · 15.7%Off. rebounds25.0% · 21.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Lithuania   ■ North Macedonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lithuania wins
0
North Macedonia wins
DateGameScore
21/11/24North Macedonia v Lithuania67-82
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24ANorth Macedonia82-67
26/02/24AEstonia59-65
22/02/24HPoland83-64
09/09/23ALatvia63-98
07/09/23HSlovenia100-84
05/09/23HSerbia68-87
01/09/23HGreece92-67
29/08/23AMontenegro91-71
27/08/23HMexico96-66
25/08/23AEgypt93-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HLithuania67-82
26/02/24APoland96-71
23/02/24HEstonia69-74
26/02/23ANorway79-41
23/02/23ASlovakia73-82
13/11/22HDenmark74-71 OT
10/11/22HNorway58-36
28/08/22HSlovakia79-75
25/08/22ADenmark73-70
04/07/22HUkraine68-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game74.783.070.5
Allowed / game65.364.066.0
Point differential+9.3+19.0+4.5
Avg total140.0147.0136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Macedonia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game74.269.480.2
Allowed / game66.967.666.0
Point differential+7.3+1.8+14.2
Avg total141.1137.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Italy330100%88.371.0+17.3
2 Serbia330100%75.058.7+16.3
3 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
4 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
5 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
6 Portugal97278%82.871.9+10.9
7 Greece43175%73.869.0+4.8
8 Estonia43175%76.873.5+3.2
9 Bulgaria139469%78.173.2+4.8
10 Lithuania32167%74.765.3+9.3
11 Montenegro32167%80.372.3+8.0
12 North Macedonia96367%74.266.9+7.3
13 Turkey32167%82.776.0+6.7
14 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
15 Slovenia32167%83.078.0+5.0
16 Israel32167%79.077.0+2.0
17 Sweden32167%75.779.0-3.3
18 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
19 Poland106460%79.475.9+3.5
20 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
21 Denmark179853%75.872.2+3.6
22 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
23 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
24 Georgia42250%75.874.5+1.2
25 Great Britain42250%80.083.2-3.2
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
28 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
29 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
30 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
31 Germany31233%73.067.0+6.0
32 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
33 Iceland31233%72.078.7-6.7
34 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
35 Finland41325%74.283.2-9.0
36 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
37 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
38 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
39 Ukraine3030%74.384.0-9.7
40 Hungary3030%64.381.7-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania2320213094
North Macedonia2719161072
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