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Litomerice vs Valecnici Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-80
15-22 21-8 18-22 12-28
Position#9
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game68.7
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 4· Hala
Other2025-26
Meetings · Litomerice v Valecnici Decin
23 Oct 2026
LITO78
VALE88
10 Oct 2025
LITO66
VALE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Litomerice winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valecnici Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LitomericeCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLitomerice
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#16
L
88-91
88
91
-3
82avg 63
H26/02
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#19
W
91-79
91
79
+12
80avg 63
H28/02
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#17
L
54-63
54
63
-9
33avg 63
H07/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#16
L
52-68
52
68
-16
46avg 63
A14/03
1. Liga
Vysoka
#15
W
71-68
71
68
+3
51avg 63
H21/03
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#19
W
71-66
71
66
+5
59avg 63
A28/03
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#17
L
65-83
65
83
-18
no box
A06/04
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
75avg 63
A19/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 63
H26/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
64-90
64
90
-26
47avg 63
A03/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
25-28
17-21
26-22
25-23
20-19
29-23
17-14
9-26
14-14
18-12
13-11
18-16
9-13
11-19
14-20
18-22
17-14
22-15
14-17
20-19
10-20
27-14
14-13
20-29
22-22
13-17
10-15
15-24
22-16
30-29
19-28
23-16
16-22
23-19
29-21
17-25
19-28
15-17
13-20
151.6Avg total
73.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.388.3168.7-8.033%
Season at home (1)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)75.093.5168.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)73.378.3151.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)75.482.8158.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.677.1147.7-6.525%
vs Similar (6)74.878.8153.7-4.033%
vs Weaker (12)73.874.8148.6-0.942%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
L
68-71
68
71
-3
62avg 60
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
58avg 60
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
L
67-70
67
70
-3
58avg 60
H05/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
16-14
17-29
15-12
16-14
21-24
16-12
24-15
15-14
22-23
15-26
15-7
139.3Avg total
70.7Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.768.7139.3+2.033%
Season at home (2)67.570.5138.0-3.00%
Season away (1)77.065.0142.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (3)70.768.7139.3+2.033%
Last 5 (3)70.768.7139.3+2.033%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (3)70.768.7139.3+2.033%
This opponent (Litomerice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +6.7+6.7
LitomericeValecnici Decin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LitomericeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H26/02
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#19
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H28/02
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#17
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H07/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#16
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A14/03
1. Liga
Vysoka
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/03
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#19
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A28/03
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A06/04
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A19/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A03/10
1. Liga
77.5Avg total
35.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.475.5-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.837.375.1+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)34.441.575.9-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)35.941.677.5-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.281.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.039.074.0-4.042%-
vs Similar (6)35.739.274.8-3.533%-
vs Weaker (12)37.439.877.2-2.425%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H05/10
1. Liga
71.7Avg total
36.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)36.735.071.7+1.733%-
Last 30 at home (2)36.533.570.0+3.050%-
Last 30 away (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
Last 10 (3)36.735.071.7+1.733%-
Last 5 (3)36.735.071.7+1.733%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (3)36.735.071.7+1.733%-
This opponent (Litomerice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Litomericetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Litomerice: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.6
49.9%
51.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.4
25.6%
29.5%19.2
🏀 Free throws21.613.7
63.4%
65.8%13.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.7
53.2%
51.4%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.76.7
19.2%
29.5%20.0
🏀 Free throws28.316.7
58.8%
65.8%16.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Litomerice
LWLLWWLLWL
Valecnici Decin
LWL
#9
League position
#6
-7.0
Net rating
+2.5
93.9
Offensive rating
85.9
100.9
Defensive rating
83.4
45.4%
Effective FG%
40.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
25.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
37.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.43
25.6%
3-point %
19.2%
45.4%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/3)
33%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 85.9Defence100.9 · 83.4Shooting45.4% · 40.4%3-point %25.6% · 19.2%Ball care19.4% · 25.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 37.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.43Form (last 10/3)40% · 33%
■ Litomerice   ■ Valecnici Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Litomerice wins
0
Valecnici Decin wins
No previous meetings.
Litomericelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25ALiberecko64-90
26/09/25HRadotin91-78
19/09/25APlzen86-97
06/04/25ASnakes Ostrava65-83
28/03/25ABasketbal Olomouc71-66
21/03/25HVysoka71-68
14/03/25APardubice 252-68
07/03/25HSnakes Ostrava54-63
28/02/25HBasketbal Olomouc91-79
26/02/25HPardubice 288-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HCZ.ACADEMY67-70
26/09/25ASokol Prazsky77-65
21/09/25HChomutov68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Litomerice
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game80.391.075.0
Allowed / game88.378.093.5
Point differential-8.0+13.0-18.5
Avg total168.7169.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game70.767.577.0
Allowed / game68.770.565.0
Point differential+2.0-3.0+12.0
Avg total139.3138.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin330100%103.364.7+38.7
2 Plzen330100%89.367.3+22.0
3 Zlin220100%89.081.5+7.5
4 Svitavy32167%91.780.0+11.7
5 Radotin32167%87.078.3+8.7
6 Pardubice 232167%80.777.7+3.0
7 Chomutov32167%76.073.3+2.7
8 CZ.ACADEMY32167%74.075.0-1.0
9 MS Academy32167%81.095.0-14.0
10 Brno U2321150%77.586.0-8.5
11 Valecnici Decin31233%70.768.7+2.0
12 Sokol Prazsky31233%77.378.3-1.0
13 Opava 231233%75.077.3-2.3
14 Liberecko31233%79.083.0-4.0
15 Basketbal Olomouc31233%73.080.0-7.0
16 Litomerice31233%80.388.3-8.0
17 USK Prague B31233%68.077.3-9.3
18 Polabi31233%66.778.7-12.0
19 Jindrichuv Hradec3030%73.380.7-7.3
20 Vysoka3030%72.094.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Litomerice1521181266
Valecnici Decin228222880
← all games of the day
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