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Litomerice vs Valecnici Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-88
13-17 27-25 18-23 20-23
Position#14
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game75.0
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 6· Hala
Other2026-27
Meetings · Litomerice v Valecnici Decin
23 Oct 2026
LITO78
VALE88
10 Oct 2025
LITO66
VALE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Litomerice winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valecnici Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LitomericeCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLitomerice
Date
Competition
Zlin
#3
W
102-95
102
95
+7
89avg 72
H27/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
71avg 72
A08/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 72
H12/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
64avg 72
A20/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
62-88
62
88
-26
49avg 72
A27/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 72
H29/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
50avg 72
H18/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
L
80-96
80
96
-16
65avg 72
A25/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#8
W
93-82
93
82
+11
81avg 72
A09/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
56avg 72
H16/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
25-25
29-22
21-16
17-19
14-23
27-22
25-12
13-31
24-12
17-15
23-22
22-29
21-15
20-30
13-15
13-18
27-30
7-18
15-22
22-26
7-14
19-18
16-17
21-17
15-17
17-20
17-22
20-24
22-20
20-29
18-23
24-21
19-18
27-21
23-22
22-16
18-23
17-14
13-17
161.9Avg total
78.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.283.8163.0-4.525%
Season at home (2)72.078.5150.5-6.50%
Season away (2)86.589.0175.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)78.183.8161.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)76.282.0158.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.985.5163.4-7.625%
vs Similar (14)83.283.4166.6-0.157%
vs Weaker (4)92.078.5170.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Zlin
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
36avg 70
H13/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 70
A20/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
94-74
94
74
+20
83avg 70
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
78avg 70
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
62avg 70
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 70
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 70
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
68-64 OT
68
64
+4
56avg 70
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 70
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
86avg 70
H16/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
14-28
11-13
8-16
18-33
27-22
22-17
19-23
19-24
23-15
28-20
24-15
20-13
19-28
26-7
20-17
16-28
26-18
20-27
16-20
17-19
17-23
29-26
17-18
20-19
29-24
23-18
12-14
17-18
15-13
7-18
17-7
14-16
21-21
26-12
18-22
26-18
24-19
20-25
27-28
159.8Avg total
80.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.075.0157.0+7.0100%
Season at home (3)86.778.7165.3+8.0100%
Season away (1)68.064.0132.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.479.4159.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)81.677.2158.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.284.5158.8-10.225%
vs Similar (11)81.775.9157.6+5.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.375.2159.5+9.180%
This opponent (Litomerice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
LitomericeValecnici Decin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LitomericeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlin
#3
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H27/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A08/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A25/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H16/10
1. Liga
82.3Avg total
39.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.082.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.339.779.9+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.384.4-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.082.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.277.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.541.681.1-2.142%-
vs Similar (14)42.441.483.8+1.143%-
vs Weaker (4)42.037.879.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlin
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H13/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A20/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/10
1. Liga
82.5Avg total
40.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.678.5-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.438.676.9-0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.780.4-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.382.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.078.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.544.882.2-7.225%-
vs Similar (11)38.638.076.6+0.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.639.378.9+0.340%-
This opponent (Litomerice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Litomericetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Litomerice: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.8
50.3%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.07.5
25.0%
27.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.916.0
66.9%
61.4%16.0
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.1
52.9%
51.1%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.76.5
21.9%
27.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws23.714.7
62.0%
61.4%14.7
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Litomerice
LWLLLLLLWW
Valecnici Decin
WWWWLLWWLL
#14
League position
#1
-3.0
Net rating
+1.9
83.5
Offensive rating
81.6
86.5
Defensive rating
79.7
44.7%
Effective FG%
44.8%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
25.0%
3-point %
21.9%
41.4%
Assist %
61.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.5 · 81.6Defence86.5 · 79.7Shooting44.7% · 44.8%3-point %25.0% · 21.9%Ball care15.2% · 14.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Litomerice   ■ Valecnici Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Litomerice wins
1
Valecnici Decin wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Valecnici Decin v Litomerice91-93
10/10/25Litomerice v Valecnici Decin66-80
Litomericelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26HUSK Prague B74-81 OT
09/10/26ASokol Prazsky93-82
25/09/26ASlavia Prague Tygri80-96
18/09/26HJindrichuv Hradec70-76
29/03/26HZlin64-75
27/03/26AZlin62-88
20/03/26AZlin76-89
12/03/26HPardubice 277-80
08/03/26ANovy Jicin83-76
27/02/26HZlin102-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26HSokol Prazsky97-90
02/10/26HSlavia Prague Tygri79-71
27/09/26AJindrichuv Hradec68-64 OT
18/09/26HPolabi84-75
11/04/26HZlin80-86
08/04/26AZlin78-93
29/03/26HPardubice 285-65
27/03/26APardubice 294-74
20/03/26ANovy Jicin86-95
13/03/26HZlin53-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Litomerice
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game79.272.086.5
Allowed / game83.878.589.0
Point differential-4.5-6.5-2.5
Avg total163.0150.5175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.086.768.0
Allowed / game75.078.764.0
Point differential+7.0+8.0+4.0
Avg total157.0165.3132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin550100%83.868.2+15.6
2 Valecnici Decin440100%82.075.0+7.0
3 Jindrichuv Hradec54180%80.464.8+15.6
4 Svitavy54180%91.081.6+9.4
5 USK Prague B54180%81.674.6+7.0
6 Zlin53260%76.667.2+9.4
7 Vysoka53260%75.670.4+5.2
8 SK Zabovresky53260%74.677.4-2.8
9 CZ.ACADEMY21150%76.075.5+0.5
10 Pardubice 252340%71.674.0-2.4
11 Brno U2352340%79.081.6-2.6
12 Sokol Prazsky52340%84.286.8-2.6
13 Radotin52340%76.883.2-6.4
14 Liberecko31233%67.083.7-16.7
15 Slavia Prague Tygri41325%79.282.5-3.2
16 Litomerice41325%79.283.8-4.5
17 Polabi51420%80.884.0-3.2
18 Opava 251420%73.677.8-4.2
19 MS Academy51420%76.284.8-8.6
20 Basketbal Olomouc51420%65.684.6-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Litomerice1327182078
Valecnici Decin1725232388
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