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LIU Sharks vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-75
0-0 40-33 0-0 39-42
Position#59
Record21-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#363
Record7-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · LIU Sharks v Chicago State
04 Mar 2026
LIU 79
CHIC75
26 Feb 2026
LIU 73
CHIC56
05 Mar 2025
LIU 68
CHIC57
05 Jan 2025
LIU 53
CHIC39
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LIU Sharks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LIU SharksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A31/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H06/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A13/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H17/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A20/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-36
0-0
43-23
0-0
29-16
0-0
31-39
0-0
26-29
0-0
35-25
0-0
33-35
0-0
34-22
0-0
15-31
0-0
37-24
0-0
37-31
0-0
46-34
0-0
43-38
0-0
48-51
0-0
45-45
0-0
38-46
0-0
32-31
0-0
41-25
0-0
31-30
0-0
43-30
136.5Avg total
72.4Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.171.5145.6+2.668%
Season at home (12)74.665.2139.8+9.392%
Season away (19)73.875.5149.3-1.753%
Last 10 (10)72.464.1136.5+8.380%
Last 5 (5)80.872.2153.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.793.7168.3-19.00%
vs Similar (17)72.868.0140.8+4.871%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)76.869.1145.9+7.790%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A06/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A07/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H09/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H13/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A14/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-30
0-0
43-44
0-0
28-35
0-0
39-43
0-0
32-22
0-0
31-35
0-0
36-33
0-0
44-42
0-0
38-19
0-0
30-36
0-0
29-42
0-0
34-39
0-0
26-28
0-0
33-32
0-0
28-25
0-0
42-26
0-0
31-32
0-0
25-41
0-0
24-42
0-0
37-38
134.9Avg total
66.5Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)65.576.0141.5-10.523%
Season at home (11)67.566.5134.0+1.145%
Season away (20)64.381.2145.6-16.910%
Last 10 (10)66.568.4134.9-1.950%
Last 5 (5)61.869.0130.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)63.875.8139.6-12.015%
vs Similar (3)74.777.0151.7-2.367%
vs Weaker (1)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
This opponent (LIU Sharks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.7+7.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.7+7.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
LIU SharksChicago State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LIU SharksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
29-16
29
16
+13
H06/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H07/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
15-31
15
31
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H17/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H28/02
NCAA
65.0Avg total
32.8Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.671.4+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.231.868.0+4.375%-
Last 30 away (18)35.438.273.6-2.739%-
Last 10 (10)32.832.265.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.072.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.347.380.7-14.033%-
vs Similar (17)36.334.470.7+1.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)35.534.269.7+1.360%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A07/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H13/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A28/02
NCAA
61.5Avg total
30.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.435.866.2-5.433%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.630.564.2+3.164%-
Last 30 away (19)28.538.967.4-10.416%-
Last 10 (10)30.730.861.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)27.633.861.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)29.335.965.2-6.627%-
vs Similar (3)34.336.070.3-1.767%-
vs Weaker (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (LIU Sharks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
LIU Sharks wins
1
Chicago State wins
LIU Sharkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson74-60
27/02/26HChicago State73-56
21/02/26AMercyhurst Lakers83-91
20/02/26ASt. Francis (PA)91-89
17/02/26HWagner83-65
14/02/26ANew Haven Chargers52-55
13/02/26AWagner67-57
07/02/26HStonehill61-54
06/02/26HNew Haven Chargers60-55
31/01/26ACentral Connecticut State80-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AWagner61-80
27/02/26ALIU Sharks56-73
21/02/26HCentral Connecticut State70-51
20/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson59-60
14/02/26ALe Moyne63-81
13/02/26HStonehill68-55
09/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)80-75
07/02/26ANew Haven Chargers63-57
06/02/26ACentral Connecticut State67-78
31/01/26HMercyhurst Lakers78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LIU Sharks
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311219
Win %68%92%53%
Points / game74.174.673.8
Allowed / game71.565.275.5
Point differential+2.6+9.3-1.7
Avg total145.6139.8149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)75% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %3%8%0%
Chicago State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeWWWLW45%
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311120
Win %23%45%10%
Points / game65.567.564.3
Allowed / game76.066.581.2
Point differential-10.5+1.1-16.9
Avg total141.5134.0145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LIU Sharks31211068%74.171.5+2.6
2 Central Connecticut State29181162%74.370.9+3.4
3 Mercyhurst Lakers31151648%69.767.7+2.0
4 Le Moyne31151648%73.172.9+0.2
5 New Haven Chargers31141745%64.966.3-1.4
6 Wagner29131645%71.972.3-0.5
7 Stonehill31121939%66.868.5-1.8
8 Fairleigh Dickinson31112035%67.470.2-2.8
9 St. Francis (PA)3172423%71.581.0-9.5
10 Chicago State3172423%65.576.0-10.5
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LIU Sharks04003979
Chicago State03304275
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