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Logan Thunder vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 98-79
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game99.2
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2023
Meetings · Logan Thunder v Brisbane Capitals
19 May 2023
LOGA98
BRIS79
18 Jun 2021
LOGA89
BRIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Logan Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Logan ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Red City Roar
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A07/08
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
A12/08
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H24/03
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A01/04
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H15/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H23/04
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
111-87
111
87
+24
H28/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A29/04
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
W
98-90
98
90
+8
A06/05
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H13/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
22-18
20-15
17-27
20-20
28-25
18-14
25-32
11-26
28-21
29-10
27-20
23-27
18-21
21-23
22-19
–
–
–
–
26-17
31-23
21-13
20-17
33-21
27-25
21-13
30-28
19-14
21-28
23-24
29-13
22-23
32-22
26-22
18-23
29-16
24-25
22-15
25-18
180.9Avg total
96.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.583.4180.9+14.188%
Season at home (5)101.281.6182.8+19.6100%
Season away (3)91.386.3177.7+5.067%
Last 10 (10)96.684.3180.9+12.380%
Last 5 (5)99.880.0179.8+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.095.7192.7+1.333%
vs Similar (10)95.095.4190.4-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)95.684.1179.8+11.576%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A30/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
77-101
77
101
-24
H06/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
H25/03
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A02/04
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A14/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
L
93-102
93
102
-9
A15/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H21/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H29/04
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
L
91-117
91
117
-26
A06/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H14/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-33
18-22
27-18
13-19
22-18
17-25
19-33
19-25
23-27
31-27
21-25
25-21
26-21
19-27
18-27
25-24
22-18
21-22
26-32
17-19
–
–
–
–
25-30
18-24
20-19
27-23
27-20
25-16
18-25
14-19
17-36
23-23
21-32
30-26
34-22
22-26
7-32
27-16
187.1Avg total
88.4Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.499.2190.6-7.912%
Season at home (4)93.296.2189.5-3.025%
Season away (4)89.5102.2191.8-12.80%
Last 10 (10)88.498.7187.1-10.310%
Last 5 (5)89.698.2187.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.890.2172.0-8.50%
vs Similar (19)87.992.5180.4-4.626%
vs Weaker (7)97.386.4183.7+10.971%
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Logan ThunderBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Logan ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Red City Roar
#14
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A07/08
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A12/08
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/03
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A01/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H23/04
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H28/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/04
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A06/05
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H13/05
NBL1 North
91.9Avg total
49.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.244.391.6+2.959%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.846.193.9+1.767%-
Last 30 away (14)46.642.489.1+4.250%-
Last 10 (9)49.042.991.9+6.167%-
Last 5 (5)52.842.895.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.748.097.7+1.767%-
vs Similar (9)45.445.190.6+0.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.843.291.0+4.559%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H25/03
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A02/04
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H21/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H29/04
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A06/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H14/05
NBL1 North
93.9Avg total
45.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.645.290.9+0.448%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.944.889.7+0.238%-
Last 30 away (16)46.245.691.8+0.656%-
Last 10 (9)45.348.693.9-3.233%-
Last 5 (5)46.847.494.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)43.848.892.5-5.025%-
vs Similar (19)45.144.589.6+0.553%-
vs Weaker (6)48.745.293.8+3.550%-
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Logan Thunder wins
0
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks100-74
06/05/23AUSC Rip City98-90
29/04/23ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks92-79
28/04/23HRed City Roar111-87
23/04/23HTownsville Heat98-70
15/04/23HGold Coast Rollers102-100
01/04/23ANorthside Wizards84-90
24/03/23HSouth West Metro Pirates95-77
12/08/22AGold Coast Rollers100-102 OT
07/08/22ARed City Roar86-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23HSouthern District90-96
06/05/23ADarwin Salties91-117
29/04/23HSunshine Coast Phoenix84-80
21/04/23HMackay Meteors90-96
15/04/23ATownsville Heat93-102
14/04/23ACairns Marlins86-91
02/04/23AUSC Rip City88-99
25/03/23HNorthside Wizards109-113 OT
06/08/22HNorthside Wizards77-101
30/07/22ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks76-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Logan Thunder
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game97.5101.291.3
Allowed / game83.481.686.3
Point differential+14.1+19.6+5.0
Avg total180.9182.8177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game91.493.289.5
Allowed / game99.296.2102.2
Point differential-7.9-3.0-12.8
Avg total190.6189.5191.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Logan Thunder87188%97.583.4+14.1
2 Ipswich Force87188%95.688.5+7.1
3 Gold Coast Rollers97278%99.288.9+10.3
4 Darwin Salties75271%98.189.9+8.3
5 Northside Wizards85362%86.190.0-3.9
6 Sunshine Coast Phoenix74357%83.782.0+1.7
7 Mackay Meteors95456%92.289.8+2.4
8 Southern District105550%87.887.0+0.8
9 South West Metro Pirates94544%88.285.8+2.4
10 Cairns Marlins94544%83.789.1-5.4
11 USC Rip City73443%93.691.3+2.3
12 North Gold Coast Seahawks73443%81.687.1-5.6
13 Townsville Heat93633%87.891.6-3.8
14 Red City Roar82625%83.091.9-8.9
15 Brisbane Capitals81712%91.499.2-7.9
16 Rockhampton Rockets7070%86.3102.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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