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Darwin Salties vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 117-91
36-17 23-23 32-21 26-30
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game96.8
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2023
Meetings · Darwin Salties v Brisbane Capitals
27 Jul 2024
DARW76
BRIS103
06 May 2023
DARW117
BRIS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darwin Salties winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Darwin SaltiesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Rip City
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A24/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
87-98
87
98
-11
H30/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
L
96-99
96
99
-3
A05/08
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
W
93-63
93
63
+30
A06/08
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A13/08
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H25/03
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H01/04
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
115-95
115
95
+20
H15/04
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A28/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A29/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
18-22
23-25
25-20
26-22
18-19
20-24
23-33
28-28
23-22
22-24
23-25
32-17
20-20
23-18
18-8
22-24
24-28
23-21
17-16
25-24
22-27
25-18
30-20
28-18
24-15
22-24
13-33
24-32
32-22
31-26
28-15
25-20
25-31
10-19
13-20
21-24
20-26
16-22
34-14
180.2Avg total
91.4Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.690.0183.6+3.660%
Season at home (3)101.391.3192.7+10.067%
Season away (2)82.088.0170.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)91.488.8180.2+2.640%
Last 5 (5)93.690.0183.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)98.785.7184.3+13.067%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.993.7186.6-0.842%
vs Weaker (10)90.485.7176.1+4.770%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
107-83
107
83
+24
A16/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#4
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H22/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A30/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
77-101
77
101
-24
H06/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
H25/03
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A02/04
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A14/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
L
93-102
93
102
-9
A15/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H21/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H29/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
30-18
26-20
29-21
19-24
8-17
23-19
44-39
18-33
18-22
27-18
13-19
22-18
17-25
19-33
19-25
23-27
31-27
21-25
25-21
26-21
19-27
18-27
25-24
22-18
21-22
26-32
17-19
–
–
–
–
25-30
18-24
20-19
27-23
27-20
25-16
18-25
14-19
186.0Avg total
90.4Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.796.8188.5-5.217%
Season at home (3)94.396.3190.7-2.033%
Season away (3)89.097.3186.3-8.30%
Last 10 (10)90.495.6186.0-5.220%
Last 5 (5)88.293.6181.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.490.6168.0-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (18)87.189.9177.1-2.833%
vs Weaker (7)97.386.4183.7+10.971%
This opponent (Darwin Salties) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Darwin SaltiesBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Darwin SaltiesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Rip City
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A05/08
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A06/08
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A13/08
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H25/03
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H01/04
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/04
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A29/04
NBL1 North
93.8Avg total
47.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)47.744.392.0+3.468%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.541.590.9+8.092%-
Last 30 away (12)45.847.393.1-1.642%-
Last 10 (10)47.546.393.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)49.247.897.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.340.790.0+8.7100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.847.092.8-1.258%-
vs Weaker (10)49.542.191.6+7.470%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A16/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#4
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H22/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H25/03
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A02/04
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H21/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H29/04
NBL1 North
89.3Avg total
43.4Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.944.389.3+0.648%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.143.987.1-0.836%-
Last 30 away (15)46.644.791.3+1.960%-
Last 10 (9)43.445.989.3-2.433%-
Last 5 (5)47.446.493.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.446.688.0-5.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)44.743.488.1+1.256%-
vs Weaker (6)48.745.293.8+3.550%-
This opponent (Darwin Salties) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Darwin Salties wins
1
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateGameScore
26/06/22Brisbane Capitals v Darwin Salties100-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23ATownsville Heat91-86
28/04/23ACairns Marlins73-90
15/04/23HRockhampton Rockets115-95
01/04/23HCairns Marlins87-90
25/03/23HSouthern District102-89
13/08/22AUSC Rip City86-89
06/08/22AMackay Meteors93-63
05/08/22ARockhampton Rockets96-99
30/07/22HMackay Meteors87-98
24/07/22AUSC Rip City84-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23HSunshine Coast Phoenix84-80
21/04/23HMackay Meteors90-96
15/04/23ATownsville Heat93-102
14/04/23ACairns Marlins86-91
02/04/23AUSC Rip City88-99
25/03/23HNorthside Wizards109-113 OT
06/08/22HNorthside Wizards77-101
30/07/22ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks76-92
22/07/22HCairns Marlins94-99
16/07/22ASouth West Metro Pirates107-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darwin Salties
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game93.6101.382.0
Allowed / game90.091.388.0
Point differential+3.6+10.0-6.0
Avg total183.6192.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game91.794.389.0
Allowed / game96.896.397.3
Point differential-5.2-2.0-8.3
Avg total188.5190.7186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ipswich Force660100%93.884.7+9.2
2 Logan Thunder76186%97.184.7+12.4
3 Gold Coast Rollers86275%98.987.6+11.2
4 Mackay Meteors75271%93.387.1+6.1
5 Northside Wizards75271%88.789.9-1.1
6 Darwin Salties53260%93.690.0+3.6
7 USC Rip City63350%92.288.0+4.2
8 Sunshine Coast Phoenix63350%82.584.3-1.8
9 North Gold Coast Seahawks63350%82.885.0-2.2
10 South West Metro Pirates73443%85.382.7+2.6
11 Southern District83538%86.887.1-0.4
12 Cairns Marlins83538%82.189.1-7.0
13 Townsville Heat93633%87.891.6-3.8
14 Red City Roar72529%83.092.4-9.4
15 Brisbane Capitals61517%91.796.8-5.2
16 Rockhampton Rockets7070%86.3102.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darwin Salties36233226117
Brisbane Capitals1723213091
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