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Logan Thunder vs Red City Roar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 111-87
33-21 27-25 21-13 30-28
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#16
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game87.2
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2023
Meetings · Logan Thunder v Red City Roar
28 Apr 2023
LOGA111
RED 87
15 May 2021
LOGA107
RED 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Logan Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Red City Roar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Logan ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
L
94-106
94
106
-12
H22/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
101-110
101
110
-9
H29/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
90-102
90
102
-12
A30/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
125-91
125
91
+34
H06/08
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A07/08
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
A12/08
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H24/03
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A01/04
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H15/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H23/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
18-25
19-35
29-22
18-22
36-26
15-34
32-28
24-23
24-28
21-26
21-25
28-26
30-31
31-21
36-13
27-14
22-18
20-15
17-27
20-20
28-25
18-14
25-32
11-26
28-21
29-10
27-20
23-27
18-21
21-23
22-19
–
–
–
–
26-17
31-23
21-13
20-17
189.7Avg total
97.5Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.884.2179.0+10.575%
Season at home (3)98.382.3180.7+16.0100%
Season away (1)84.090.0174.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)97.592.2189.7+5.350%
Last 5 (5)95.887.8183.6+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.095.7192.7+1.333%
vs Similar (11)94.894.8189.6+0.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)96.585.4181.9+11.169%
This opponent (Red City Roar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Red City RoarAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#4
L
81-109
81
109
-28
A15/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#12
L
76-109
76
109
-33
A16/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
L
91-104
91
104
-13
H23/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A30/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
82-120
82
120
-38
H05/08
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H07/08
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A26/03
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A01/04
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
L
65-97
65
97
-32
H15/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H22/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
13-24
21-30
28-27
20-27
18-28
19-32
19-22
27-22
17-27
20-29
27-26
26-14
20-21
22-15
18-13
19-33
18-27
23-23
22-37
14-27
18-22
15-20
27-17
24-17
14-23
9-19
26-20
21-27
21-13
29-24
20-21
19-18
21-19
7-35
18-25
30-20
17-25
23-14
27-29
175.6Avg total
81.6Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.587.2168.8-5.850%
Season at home (2)81.092.5173.5-11.550%
Season away (2)82.082.0164.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)81.694.0175.6-12.430%
Last 5 (5)80.087.0167.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)82.195.9178.0-13.817%
vs Similar (3)91.797.0188.7-5.367%
vs Weaker (3)93.375.3168.7+18.0100%
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
Logan ThunderRed City Roar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Logan ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H22/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H29/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A30/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H06/08
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#14
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A07/08
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A12/08
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/03
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A01/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H23/04
NBL1 North
95.2Avg total
48.9Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.743.990.6+2.959%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.445.993.4+1.564%-
Last 30 away (15)46.141.988.0+4.153%-
Last 10 (9)48.946.395.2+2.656%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.489.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.748.097.7+1.767%-
vs Similar (10)45.344.790.0+0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.142.689.6+4.556%-
This opponent (Red City Roar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Red City RoarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#4
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A15/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#12
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A16/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H23/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A30/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H05/08
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#7
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H07/08
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/03
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A01/04
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H22/04
NBL1 North
85.8Avg total
39.6Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.145.385.4-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.043.484.4-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)39.247.386.5-8.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.646.285.8-6.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.146.084.2-7.921%-
vs Similar (3)47.045.792.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker (3)49.039.388.3+9.7100%-
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Logan Thunder wins
0
Red City Roar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HTownsville Heat98-70
15/04/23HGold Coast Rollers102-100
01/04/23ANorthside Wizards84-90
24/03/23HSouth West Metro Pirates95-77
12/08/22AGold Coast Rollers100-102 OT
07/08/22ARed City Roar86-74
06/08/22HSouth West Metro Pirates125-91
30/07/22AGold Coast Rollers90-102
29/07/22HNorthside Wizards101-110
22/07/22HRockhampton Rockets94-106
Red City Roarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23HTownsville Heat97-88
15/04/23HUSC Rip City65-97
01/04/23ASouth West Metro Pirates91-85
26/03/23AIpswich Force73-79
07/08/22HLogan Thunder74-86
05/08/22HGold Coast Rollers82-120
30/07/22ASouth West Metro Pirates86-63
23/07/22HRockhampton Rockets91-104
16/07/22ATownsville Heat76-109
15/07/22ACairns Marlins81-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Logan Thunder
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game94.898.384.0
Allowed / game84.282.390.0
Point differential+10.5+16.0-6.0
Avg total179.0180.7174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Red City Roar
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.581.082.0
Allowed / game87.292.582.0
Point differential-5.8-11.5+0.0
Avg total168.8173.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors550100%95.482.4+13.0
2 Ipswich Force440100%94.286.0+8.2
3 Logan Thunder43175%94.884.2+10.5
4 USC Rip City43175%93.084.5+8.5
5 North Gold Coast Seahawks43175%84.581.5+3.0
6 Darwin Salties32167%101.391.3+10.0
7 Gold Coast Rollers53260%95.688.6+7.0
8 Sunshine Coast Phoenix53260%83.084.4-1.4
9 Northside Wizards53260%87.290.8-3.6
10 Red City Roar42250%81.587.2-5.8
11 Townsville Heat73443%88.691.6-3.0
12 Cairns Marlins62433%82.890.3-7.5
13 Southern District51420%84.488.4-4.0
14 South West Metro Pirates51420%80.285.6-5.4
15 Brisbane Capitals5050%93.2100.2-7.0
16 Rockhampton Rockets5050%90.6101.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Logan Thunder33272130111
Red City Roar2125132887
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