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Lok. Plovdiv vs Levski Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game78.0
Lok. Plovdiv
Bulgaria
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Levski
Bulgaria
Position#12
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game92.7
BulgariaNBLRound 11· Hristo Bonev
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Levski
29 Dec 2026
LOK. v LEV
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
LOK.115
LEV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Levski win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#8
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 83
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 83
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#11
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
85avg 83
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
67avg 83
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
83avg 83
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 83
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 83
A31/10
NBL
Neftchi IK
#38
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#7
W
85-69
85
69
+16
no box
H07/11
NBL
VEF Riga
#12
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
23-19
29-18
19-21
17-20
26-18
20-15
16-16
24-21
15-19
26-28
22-19
16-14
20-21
24-25
24-26
22-24
22-11
18-20
25-10
24-11
21-20
24-26
26-26
14-25
25-20
17-20
23-23
13-19
23-11
14-23
26-19
24-18
22-14
19-15
20-22
24-20
28-22
17-22
14-21
164.3Avg total
85.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.278.0166.2+10.280%
Season at home (2)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)89.785.3175.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)85.878.5164.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)83.679.4163.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.587.5172.0-3.038%
vs Similar (1)85.069.0154.0+16.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.478.6169.0+11.892%
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
L
76-92
76
92
-16
80avg 72
A10/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
90-99
90
99
-9
88avg 72
H15/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 72
A19/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
88-87
88
87
+1
86avg 72
A25/04
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 72
H12/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
77avg 72
A16/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 72
H24/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
65-91
65
91
-26
36avg 72
A30/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H08/11
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-85
84
85
-1
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
15-24
14-16
30-22
32-30
27-20
20-23
11-26
15-21
28-22
13-23
15-24
17-26
26-17
20-28
25-16
18-25
19-18
22-24
17-26
22-26
14-23
25-26
22-26
15-24
28-22
26-26
16-18
12-22
19-26
14-20
20-23
26-28
13-37
22-17
21-14
19-18
19-30
25-16
21-21
172.4Avg total
80.0Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.292.7171.8-13.50%
Season at home (3)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
Season away (3)77.392.3169.7-15.00%
Last 10 (10)80.092.4172.4-12.410%
Last 5 (5)79.892.6172.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)78.093.2171.2-15.211%
vs Similar (3)79.078.7157.7+0.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
Lok. PlovdivLevski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A31/10
NBL
Neftchi IK
#38
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H07/11
NBL
VEF Riga
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.6Avg total
42.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.785.2+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.838.584.2+7.288%-
Last 30 away (14)43.143.286.3-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.278.6+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.079.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)43.642.485.9+1.262%-
vs Similar (1)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.539.384.8+6.277%-
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A10/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H15/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A25/04
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A16/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H24/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A30/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
39-65
39
65
-26
H08/11
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/11
NBL
89.0Avg total
40.1Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.948.187.1-9.27%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.047.687.6-7.613%-
Last 30 away (15)37.948.786.5-10.80%-
Last 10 (10)40.148.989.0-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)37.451.288.6-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.348.587.7-9.27%-
vs Similar (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.7
54.6%
55.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
29.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.4
77.0%
71.2%17.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.4
49.3%
55.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.2
34.9%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.5%
71.2%15.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWLWWLWWW
Levski
LLLLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#12
+6.2
Net rating
-16.0
96.7
Offensive rating
89.4
90.5
Defensive rating
105.4
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.5%
3-point %
34.9%
58.8%
Assist %
74.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 89.4Defence90.5 · 105.4Shooting51.5% · 50.5%3-point %31.5% · 34.9%Ball care13.5% · 17.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Levski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lok. Plovdiv wins
0
Levski wins
DateGameScore
15/04/26Levski v Lok. Plovdiv90-99
07/02/26Lok. Plovdiv v Levski115-80
24/11/25Levski v Lok. Plovdiv70-82
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HVEF Riga83-85
07/11/26HCherno More85-69
04/11/26HNeftchi IK76-72
31/10/26ARilski Sportist79-88
28/10/26HFribourg Olympic95-83
24/10/26HPolytechnica87-65
20/10/26AMykonos84-86
17/10/26ABeroe98-95 OT
14/10/26HCSM Oradea79-69
11/10/26ASpartak Pleven92-73
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABotev 201284-85
08/11/26HMinyor82-96
30/10/26ABotev Academic65-91
24/10/26HShumen85-90
16/10/26ABalkan83-101
12/10/26HCherno More76-93
25/04/26AAcademic Plovdiv88-87
19/04/26ABotev 201271-90
15/04/26HLok. Plovdiv90-99
10/04/26ABeroe76-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game88.286.089.7
Allowed / game78.067.085.3
Point differential+10.2+19.0+4.3
Avg total166.2153.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Levski
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.281.077.3
Allowed / game92.793.092.3
Point differential-13.5-12.0-15.0
Avg total171.8174.0169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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