Lok. Plovdiv hosts Cherno More on 7 November 2026 in the NBL, with the model favouring the home side and predicting a decisive win; the Pythia forecast shows a 71% chance for Lok. Plovdiv, 29% for Cherno More, and a projected 89-83 score, 172.4 total points, a -2.5 line that Lok. Plovdiv has a 64% chance to cover and a 167.5 total that the over is 61% likely, with a 5% overtime probability. Lok. Plovdiv enter the game 3-1 overall, scoring 89.0 points per game and allowing 80.2, sitting in 6th place; at home they are undefeated 1-0, averaging 87.0 points and conceding 65.0, and their last five games include a 76-72 win over Neftchi IK, a 79-88 loss to Rilski Sportist, and a 95-83 victory over Fribourg Olympic. Cherno More are also 3-1, posting 87.2 points per game and 69.8 allowed, ranked 3rd; on the road they are 2-0, averaging 94.0 points and 69.0 allowed, and their last five games feature a 74-80 home loss to Spartak Pleven, a 95-62 away win over CSKA Sofia and a 87-61 home win over Yambol. The teams have met three times, Cherno More winning all encounters, most recently 79-76 on 8 March 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 89.0 | 80.2 | 169.2 | +8.8 | 75% |
| Season at home (1) | 87.0 | 65.0 | 152.0 | +22.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 89.7 | 85.3 | 175.0 | +4.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.3 | 81.8 | 167.1 | +3.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.2 | 78.8 | 163.0 | +5.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 84.9 | 87.3 | 172.2 | -2.4 | 44% |
| vs Similar ◀ | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker (14) | 90.6 | 78.9 | 169.6 | +11.7 | 93% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 87.2 | 69.8 | 157.0 | +17.5 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 80.5 | 70.5 | 151.0 | +10.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 94.0 | 69.0 | 163.0 | +25.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.2 | 82.6 | 168.8 | +3.6 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.6 | 75.8 | 164.4 | +12.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 79.6 | 78.8 | 158.4 | +0.8 | 20% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 84.4 | 87.6 | 172.0 | -3.2 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (20) | 92.8 | 79.5 | 172.4 | +13.3 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.3 | 40.7 | 85.1 | +3.6 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 45.3 | 38.7 | 84.0 | +6.6 | 86% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 43.5 | 42.5 | 86.0 | +1.0 | 56% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.6 | 37.9 | 78.5 | +2.7 | 70% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.0 | 35.2 | 75.2 | +4.8 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 42.9 | 42.0 | 84.9 | +0.9 | 62% | 56% |
| vs Similar ◀ | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker (14) | 45.9 | 39.3 | 85.2 | +6.6 | 79% | 43% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.5 | 40.3 | 83.8 | +3.1 | 57% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.8 | 39.3 | 84.1 | +5.5 | 64% | 36% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.3 | 41.2 | 83.6 | +1.1 | 50% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.6 | 43.5 | 85.1 | -1.9 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 38.4 | 80.4 | +3.6 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 38.2 | 41.2 | 79.4 | -3.0 | 20% | 40% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 40.2 | 44.2 | 84.4 | -4.0 | 20% | 40% |
| vs Weaker (20) | 45.6 | 39.1 | 84.8 | +6.5 | 75% | 40% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lok. Plovdiv +2 | 75.0% | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.48 | - | - | - | +14.6pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv over 82.5 | 72.9% | 1.54 | 1.58 | 1.49 | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv over 81.5 | 76.0% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv +9.5 | 90.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +14.3pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv over 80.5 | 79.0% | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +14.1pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv +1 | 71.7% | 1.59 | 1.61 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +14.1pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv +4.5 | 80.8% | 1.36 | 1.45 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +13.9pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv win | 70.1% | 1.65 | 1.68 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.66 | 1.65 | +13.9pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv over 79.5 | 81.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +13.7pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv +1.5 | 72.4% | 1.53 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.49 | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv over 78.5 | 84.2% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv +2.5 | 75.8% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv over 76.5 | 88.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv +3.5 | 78.2% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv over 75.5 | 90.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv over 74.5 | 91.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv +14.5 | 95.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv +19.5 | 98.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Cherno More under 93.5 | 84.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Cherno More under 91.5 | 80.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Cherno More under 95.5 | 88.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Cherno More under 94.5 | 86.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv +24.5 | 99.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Cherno More under 89.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | 1.40 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Cherno More under 97.5 | 91.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 94.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 84.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| Over 159.5 | 76.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| Cherno More under 88.5 | 71.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03 | - | - | - | +4.5pp | - |
| Over 149.5 | 90.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Under 194.5 | 91.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Cherno More over 69.5 | 90.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Lost |
| Lok. Plovdiv under 102.5 | 91.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Cherno More over 71.5 | 86.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Lost |
| Cherno More +20.5 | 89.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 86.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Won |
| Cherno More over 73.5 | 81.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Lost |
| Under 184.5 | 78.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv under 100.5 | 87.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Cherno More over 74.5 | 78.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Lost |
| Cherno More over 75.5 | 75.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -2.2pp | Lost |
| Lok. Plovdiv under 98.5 | 83.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv under 96.5 | 77.9% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -4.4pp | Won |
| Lok. Plovdiv under 95.5 | 74.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
| Cherno More +15.5 | 80.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -4.9pp | Lost |
| Lok. Plovdiv under 94.5 | 71.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -6.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.9 | 20.7 | 55.5% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.7 | 8.4 | 29.8% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.6 | 17.4 | 71.2% | 17.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.6 | 21.9 | 55.5% | 43.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.8 | 9.0 | 29.8% | 27.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.2 | 15.4 | 71.2% | 15.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 | Cherno More v Lok. Plovdiv | 79-76 |
| 20/12/25 | Cherno More v Lok. Plovdiv | 107-91 |
| 06/10/25 | Lok. Plovdiv v Cherno More | 77-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | Neftchi IK | 76-72 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Rilski Sportist | 79-88 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Fribourg Olympic | 95-83 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Polytechnica | 87-65 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Mykonos | 84-86 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Beroe | 98-95 OT |
| 14/10/26 | H | CSM Oradea | 79-69 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Spartak Pleven | 92-73 |
| 07/10/26 | A | VEF Riga | 83-106 |
| 05/06/26 | A | Balkan | 80-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Spartak Pleven | 74-80 |
| 24/10/26 | A | CSKA Sofia | 95-62 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Yambol | 87-61 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Levski | 93-76 |
| 25/05/26 | H | Rilski Sportist | 94-100 |
| 23/05/26 | A | Rilski Sportist | 99-108 |
| 14/05/26 | H | Balkan | 59-77 |
| 11/05/26 | A | Balkan | 78-80 |
| 09/05/26 | A | Balkan | 89-91 |
| 04/05/26 | H | Spartak Pleven | 94-91 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWL | 75% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 89.0 | 87.0 | 89.7 |
| Allowed / game | 80.2 | 65.0 | 85.3 |
| Point differential | +8.8 | +22.0 | +4.3 |
| Avg total | 169.2 | 152.0 | 175.0 |
| Over 167.5 | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWL | 75% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 87.2 | 80.5 | 94.0 |
| Allowed / game | 69.8 | 70.5 | 69.0 |
| Point differential | +17.5 | +10.0 | +25.0 |
| Avg total | 157.0 | 151.0 | 163.0 |
| Over 167.5 | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 92.5 | 71.8 | +20.8 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 109.8 | 95.0 | +14.8 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.2 | 69.8 | +17.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 92.0 | 76.2 | +15.8 | |
| 5 | Botev Academic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.8 | 80.0 | +9.8 |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 80.2 | +8.8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.2 | 76.8 | +8.5 | |
| 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 93.8 | 90.5 | +3.2 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 96.0 | 89.0 | +7.0 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 75.8 | 99.5 | -23.8 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 77.2 | 93.8 | -16.5 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 76.2 | 93.2 | -17.0 | |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 67.0 | 91.0 | -24.0 | |
| 14 | Polytechnica | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 72.2 | 97.0 | -24.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 85 | |
| 18 | 14 | 15 | 22 | 69 |
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