PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lok. Plovdiv vs Spartak Pleven Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.7
BulgariaNBLRound 14· Hristo Bonev
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Spartak Pleven
23 Jan 2027
LOK. v SPAR
upcoming
20 Apr 2026
LOK.77
SPAR67
03 Dec 2025
LOK.91
SPAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Spartak Pleven win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H30/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#19
L
83-106
83
106
-23
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#13
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#43
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
19-14
18-22
22-18
22-18
20-25
26-19
16-16
18-20
21-18
19-22
22-21
27-27
14-26
17-28
25-25
21-15
23-19
29-18
19-21
17-20
26-18
20-15
16-16
24-21
15-19
26-28
22-19
16-14
20-21
24-25
24-26
22-24
22-11
18-20
25-10
24-11
21-20
24-26
26-26
167.7Avg total
86.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.377.7170.0+14.7100%
Season at home (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)95.084.0179.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.481.3167.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)88.679.6168.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)85.387.3172.6-1.947%
vs Similar (1)76.079.0155.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.681.6174.1+11.086%
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak PlevenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A29/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H01/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A04/05
NBL
Fyllingen
#15
W
79-54
79
54
+25
A30/09
ENBL
AEL
#3
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H06/10
ENBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H11/10
NBL
Alkar
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H14/10
ENBL
Polytechnica
#13
W
102-71
102
71
+31
A17/10
NBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H21/10
ENBL
Rilski Sportist
#6
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H25/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
20-13
15-25
13-18
24-21
16-19
25-18
21-16
32-22
25-29
18-20
16-23
18-13
27-16
23-13
11-12
9-22
15-19
21-18
16-20
15-21
19-23
18-29
21-19
22-20
32-26
16-16
23-20
28-21
25-16
25-21
24-13
25-19
15-16
21-20
16-19
26-22
16-20
22-15
22-13
159.1Avg total
81.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.077.7164.7+9.367%
Season at home (2)79.581.0160.5-1.550%
Season away (1)102.071.0173.0+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.377.8159.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)86.277.8164.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.384.2163.5-4.940%
vs Similar (2)74.085.0159.0-11.00%
vs Weaker (13)87.076.3163.3+10.777%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
Lok. PlovdivSpartak Pleven
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H30/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#19
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#43
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
79.9Avg total
41.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.786.7+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.039.485.4+6.685%-
Last 30 away (17)44.243.487.6+0.859%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.479.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.877.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)43.241.885.0+1.467%-
vs Similar (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.041.988.9+5.171%-
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak PlevenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H01/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A04/05
NBL
Fyllingen
#15
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A30/09
ENBL
AEL
#3
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H06/10
ENBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H11/10
NBL
Alkar
#10
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/10
ENBL
Polytechnica
#13
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A17/10
NBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H21/10
ENBL
Rilski Sportist
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/10
NBL
83.6Avg total
42.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.581.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.181.6+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.982.0-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.083.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.885.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.942.782.6-2.727%-
vs Similar (2)37.540.077.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (13)43.538.181.5+5.477%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.6
54.4%
55.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.6
32.6%
30.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.517.5
77.8%
70.7%17.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spartak Pleventheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spartak Pleven: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
55.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.8
29.7%
30.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
70.7%13.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
WWLWWWLLWW
Spartak Pleven
WWWWLLWLWL
#3
League position
#7
+7.4
Net rating
+1.3
97.5
Offensive rating
93.6
90.1
Defensive rating
92.3
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
29.7%
59.6%
Assist %
61.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 93.6Defence90.1 · 92.3Shooting52.1% · 53.0%3-point %32.6% · 29.7%Ball care13.7% · 15.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Spartak Pleven
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lok. Plovdiv wins
0
Spartak Pleven wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HFribourg Olympic95-83
24/10/26HPolytechnica87-65
20/10/26AMykonos84-86
17/10/26ABeroe98-95 OT
14/10/26HCSM Oradea79-69
11/10/26ASpartak Pleven92-73
07/10/26AVEF Riga83-106
05/06/26ABalkan80-81
01/06/26HBalkan84-78
30/05/26HBalkan82-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HRilski Sportist86-70
21/10/26HZrinjski Mostar77-74
17/10/26APolytechnica102-71
14/10/26HAlkar93-82
11/10/26HLok. Plovdiv73-92
06/10/26HAEL61-79
30/09/26AFyllingen79-54
04/05/26ACherno More91-94
01/05/26HCherno More86-74
29/04/26ACherno More65-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.387.095.0
Allowed / game77.765.084.0
Point differential+14.7+22.0+11.0
Avg total170.0152.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Spartak Pleven
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game87.079.5102.0
Allowed / game77.781.071.0
Point differential+9.3-1.5+31.0
Avg total164.7160.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cherno More330100%91.766.3+25.3
2 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
3 Lok. Plovdiv330100%92.377.7+14.7
4 Minyor330100%109.799.3+10.3
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Rilski Sportist32167%93.375.3+18.0
7 Spartak Pleven32167%87.077.7+9.3
8 Shumen32167%92.797.3-4.7
9 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
10 Beroe3030%95.099.3-4.3
11 Botev 20123030%74.387.7-13.3
12 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
13 Polytechnica3030%77.096.3-19.3
14 Yambol3030%66.089.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.