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Lok. Plovdiv vs Spartak Pleven Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game78.0
Lok. Plovdiv
Bulgaria
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Spartak Pleven
Bulgaria
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game75.2
BulgariaNBLRound 14· Hristo Bonev
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Spartak Pleven
23 Jan 2027
LOK. v SPAR
upcoming
20 Apr 2026
LOK.77
SPAR67
03 Dec 2025
LOK.91
SPAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Spartak Pleven win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 82
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 82
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
85avg 82
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
67avg 82
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
83avg 82
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 82
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 82
A31/10
NBL
Neftchi IK
#38
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#6
W
85-69
85
69
+16
no box
H07/11
NBL
VEF Riga
#12
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
23-19
29-18
19-21
17-20
26-18
20-15
16-16
24-21
15-19
26-28
22-19
16-14
20-21
24-25
24-26
22-24
22-11
18-20
25-10
24-11
21-20
24-26
26-26
14-25
25-20
17-20
23-23
13-19
23-11
14-23
26-19
24-18
22-14
19-15
20-22
24-20
28-22
17-22
14-21
164.3Avg total
85.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.278.0166.2+10.280%
Season at home (2)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)89.785.3175.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)85.878.5164.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)83.679.4163.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.587.5172.0-3.038%
vs Similar ◀ (2)88.571.0159.5+17.5100%
vs Weaker (12)90.279.1169.3+11.292%
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak PlevenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPleven
Date
Competition
AEL
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
44avg 75
H06/10
ENBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
L
73-92
73
92
-19
70avg 75
H11/10
NBL
Alkar
#13
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 75
H14/10
ENBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
102-71
102
71
+31
104avg 75
A17/10
NBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 75
H21/10
ENBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
86-70
86
70
+16
58avg 75
H25/10
NBL
Cherno More
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
68avg 75
A31/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H07/11
NBL
Tal Tech
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Shumen
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
15-19
21-18
16-20
15-21
19-23
18-29
21-19
22-20
32-26
16-16
23-20
28-21
25-16
25-21
24-13
25-19
15-16
21-20
16-19
26-22
16-20
22-15
22-13
16-20
24-20
16-17
24-17
19-22
25-12
12-22
15-21
14-17
20-11
16-16
26-28
14-20
20-19
25-15
18-13
155.4Avg total
79.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.575.2156.7+6.367%
Season at home (3)76.779.7156.3-3.033%
Season away (3)86.370.7157.0+15.7100%
Last 10 (10)79.675.8155.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)78.072.0150.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.182.1161.2-3.143%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.787.3161.0-13.70%
vs Weaker (13)85.372.8158.1+12.585%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
Lok. PlovdivSpartak Pleven
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A31/10
NBL
Neftchi IK
#38
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H07/11
NBL
VEF Riga
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.6Avg total
42.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.785.2+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.838.584.2+7.288%-
Last 30 away (14)43.143.286.3-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.278.6+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.079.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)43.642.485.9+1.262%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)45.033.078.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (12)45.739.885.4+5.975%-
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak PlevenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#4
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H06/10
ENBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H11/10
NBL
Alkar
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/10
ENBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A17/10
NBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H21/10
ENBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/10
NBL
Cherno More
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A31/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/11
NBL
Tal Tech
#11
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/11
ENBL
Shumen
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/11
NBL
78.5Avg total
39.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.879.6+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.538.380.8+4.264%-
Last 30 away (16)39.339.378.6+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.678.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.675.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.940.881.7+0.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.341.377.7-5.033%-
vs Weaker (13)41.736.277.8+5.577%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.7
54.6%
55.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
29.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.4
77.0%
71.2%17.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spartak Pleventheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spartak Pleven: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.6
57.3%
55.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.5
32.1%
29.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
71.2%14.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWLWWLWWW
Spartak Pleven
WWLWWWWWLL
#5
League position
#7
+6.2
Net rating
+5.2
96.7
Offensive rating
96.7
90.5
Defensive rating
91.6
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
13.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.5%
3-point %
32.1%
58.8%
Assist %
60.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 96.7Defence90.5 · 91.6Shooting51.5% · 53.8%3-point %31.5% · 32.1%Ball care13.5% · 13.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Spartak Pleven
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lok. Plovdiv wins
0
Spartak Pleven wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Spartak Pleven v Lok. Plovdiv73-92
20/04/26Lok. Plovdiv v Spartak Pleven77-67
15/02/26Spartak Pleven v Lok. Plovdiv79-84
03/12/25Lok. Plovdiv v Spartak Pleven91-75
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HVEF Riga83-85
07/11/26HCherno More85-69
04/11/26HNeftchi IK76-72
31/10/26ARilski Sportist79-88
28/10/26HFribourg Olympic95-83
24/10/26HPolytechnica87-65
20/10/26AMykonos84-86
17/10/26ABeroe98-95 OT
14/10/26HCSM Oradea79-69
11/10/26ASpartak Pleven92-73
Spartak Plevenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AShumen77-67
11/11/26ATal Tech76-72
07/11/26HBalkan71-77
31/10/26ACherno More80-74
25/10/26HRilski Sportist86-70
21/10/26HZrinjski Mostar77-74
17/10/26APolytechnica102-71
14/10/26HAlkar93-82
11/10/26HLok. Plovdiv73-92
06/10/26HAEL61-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game88.286.089.7
Allowed / game78.067.085.3
Point differential+10.2+19.0+4.3
Avg total166.2153.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Spartak Pleven
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game81.576.786.3
Allowed / game75.279.770.7
Point differential+6.3-3.0+15.7
Avg total156.7156.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Botev Academic65183%90.381.0+9.3
5 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
6 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
7 Spartak Pleven64267%81.575.2+6.3
8 Shumen64267%89.588.0+1.5
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
11 CSKA Sofia61517%77.596.7-19.2
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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