PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

VEF Riga vs Lok. Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 106-83
27-27 26-14 28-17 25-25
Position#12
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
VEF Riga 🏆
vs
Lok. Plovdiv
Position#23
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Xiaomi Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 80
H29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
83-97
83
97
-14
66avg 80
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
75avg 80
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
84avg 80
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Absheron Lions
#51
W
105-88
105
88
+17
99avg 80
H14/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#7
L
95-102
95
102
-7
84avg 80
H17/09
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
104-66
104
66
+38
108avg 80
H23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 80
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
90-60
90
60
+30
93avg 80
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
82-55
82
55
+27
84avg 80
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
20-20
23-18
15-11
26-16
22-23
18-33
17-25
15-28
29-13
20-20
23-28
19-22
22-18
22-10
24-22
30-27
19-21
35-23
21-17
24-25
19-15
26-22
26-40
26-21
33-20
26-13
19-12
29-20
23-23
17-17
23-13
33-21
21-10
17-10
19-19
17-12
28-20
27-11
10-12
167.3Avg total
90.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.476.9167.3+13.570%
Last 5 (5)92.671.2163.8+21.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.094.0172.0-16.00%
vs Similar (8)84.188.6172.8-4.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.269.0158.2+20.294%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 84
A10/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
65avg 84
A12/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
99-89
99
89
+10
100avg 84
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
99-88
99
88
+11
97avg 84
H17/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
92-87
92
87
+5
78avg 84
A20/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
64avg 84
A25/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
84avg 84
A27/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 84
H30/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 84
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
75avg 84
A05/06
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-23
22-24
15-21
15-24
17-27
21-16
22-30
20-17
26-21
27-20
26-31
22-22
31-19
28-21
18-26
24-21
26-16
17-28
25-22
23-19
16-24
18-23
16-22
28-19
19-27
22-20
12-15
23-23
19-14
18-22
22-18
22-18
20-25
26-19
16-16
18-20
21-18
19-22
22-21
171.8Avg total
85.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.286.6171.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)81.683.6165.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)85.187.1172.2-2.046%
vs Similar (1)76.079.0155.0-3.00%
vs Weaker (16)96.183.7179.8+12.481%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
VEF RigaLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Absheron Lions
#51
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H14/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/09
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
47.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.439.285.6+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.538.684.1+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)47.139.786.8+7.462%-
Last 10 (10)47.639.386.9+8.3100%-
Last 5 (5)50.637.488.0+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.747.789.3-6.00%-
vs Similar (8)43.441.284.6+2.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.837.285.0+10.576%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A12/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H17/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A20/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A25/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A27/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H30/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/06
NBL
84.8Avg total
43.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.042.589.5+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.941.689.5+6.479%-
Last 30 away (16)46.243.489.6+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.684.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.241.885.1+1.462%-
vs Similar (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (16)50.243.493.7+6.881%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.824.7
60.5%
53.4%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.2
27.7%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.316.3
67.1%
72.8%16.3
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.9
52.9%
53.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.220.1
79.8%
72.8%20.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WWWWLWWLLW
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWLLWWWLL
#12
League position
#23
+16.9
Net rating
-1.4
101.5
Offensive rating
97.5
84.6
Defensive rating
98.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.7%
3-point %
33.6%
63.2%
Assist %
66.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 97.5Defence84.6 · 98.8Shooting52.6% · 51.8%3-point %27.7% · 33.6%Ball care12.4% · 14.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
VEF Riga wins
0
Lok. Plovdiv wins
No previous meetings.
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HBK Liepaja82-55
29/09/26HKeila KK90-60
26/09/26ABK Ogre92-73
23/09/26HLatvijas Universitate104-66
17/09/26HDziki Warszawa95-102
14/09/26HAbsheron Lions105-88
07/04/26HBC Kalev/Cramo87-72
03/04/26HValmiera Glass Via87-89
01/04/26AValmiera Glass Via83-97
29/03/26HValmiera Glass Via79-67
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/26ABalkan80-81
01/06/26HBalkan84-78
30/05/26HBalkan82-77
27/05/26ABalkan89-94 OT
25/05/26ABalkan73-88
20/05/26ARilski Sportist92-87
17/05/26HRilski Sportist99-88
15/05/26HRilski Sportist99-89
12/05/26ARilski Sportist75-97
10/05/26ARilski Sportist79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Lok. Plovdiv
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dziki Warszawa110100%103.076.0+27.0
2 Geneva Lions110100%105.083.0+22.0
3 Mykonos110100%78.058.0+20.0
4 Denizli Basket110100%83.069.0+14.0
5 Basquet Girona110100%87.075.0+12.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes110100%77.065.0+12.0
7 Zielona Gora110100%90.080.0+10.0
8 Oostende110100%76.069.0+7.0
9 Iraklis110100%64.059.0+5.0
10 Nancy110100%66.065.0+1.0
11 Dinamo Bucharest32167%92.076.0+16.0
12 BC Prievidza32167%90.077.0+13.0
13 Parnu21150%70.070.5-0.5
14 Neftchi IK31233%66.372.7-6.3
15 Vienna Basket1010%65.066.0-1.0
16 MZT Skopje1010%59.064.0-5.0
17 Levice1010%69.076.0-7.0
18 Szolnoki Olaj1010%80.090.0-10.0
19 SCM Craiova1010%65.077.0-12.0
20 Absheron Lions1010%83.0105.0-22.0
21 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
22 Tartu Ulikool1010%76.0103.0-27.0
23 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 23 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga27262825106
Lok. Plovdiv2714172583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.