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Lokomotiv Kuban vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-81 (OT)
14-15 21-16 17-18 20-23 6-9
Position#1
Record20-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#2
Record17-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game71.2
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Final
European cup2017
Meetings · Lokomotiv Kuban v Darussafaka
10 Apr 2018
LKU78
DAR81
12 Feb 2016
LKU82
DAR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv Kuban winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#4
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H11/02
Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H14/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A03/03
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H06/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A09/03
Eurocup
Minsk
#8
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
A17/03
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H20/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A23/03
Eurocup
Astana
#10
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H01/04
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A07/04
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
26-21
16-9
18-15
20-18
21-18
11-21
23-21
17-22
19-26
17-20
12-25
24-27
15-20
20-15
20-12
15-15
22-20
19-9
24-15
16-15
23-19
12-21
21-17
19-15
24-13
20-23
19-14
17-15
22-11
19-16
21-27
19-12
19-18
24-18
17-30
17-22
24-19
25-18
12-20
153.3Avg total
78.6Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.768.7151.3+14.0100%
Season at home (10)83.867.0150.8+16.8100%
Season away (10)81.570.3151.8+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)78.674.7153.3+3.960%
Last 5 (5)80.475.8156.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.578.5161.0+4.050%
vs Similar (1)65.093.0158.0-28.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.968.9151.7+14.089%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H06/03
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A09/03
Eurocup
Besiktas
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H20/03
Eurocup
Bayern
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A23/03
Eurocup
Sakarya BB
#8
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Eskisehir
#7
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Istanbul BB
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
25-17
28-14
21-24
16-13
11-13
19-9
11-19
19-12
20-14
20-20
19-25
18-17
20-15
12-17
24-18
18-18
18-27
18-17
15-14
11-25
19-22
28-16
18-11
17-22
24-22
25-20
21-19
20-11
24-18
15-14
17-18
25-14
21-26
16-29
20-20
14-24
23-19
24-19
18-15
149.4Avg total
77.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.571.2150.7+8.385%
Season at home (10)80.370.4150.7+9.990%
Season away (10)78.771.9150.6+6.880%
Last 10 (10)77.172.3149.4+4.880%
Last 5 (5)80.076.8156.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)72.583.0155.5-10.50%
vs Similar (6)70.770.5141.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (21)80.370.3150.6+10.086%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
Lokomotiv KubanDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H11/02
Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A03/03
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H06/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/03
Eurocup
Minsk
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/03
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A23/03
Eurocup
Astana
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H01/04
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/04
VTB United League
76.9Avg total
40.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.534.075.5+7.687%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.533.878.3+10.794%-
Last 30 away (14)38.134.172.3+4.079%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.576.9+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.031.871.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.036.577.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar (1)36.048.084.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.833.375.0+8.589%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H06/03
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A09/03
Eurocup
Besiktas
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H20/03
Eurocup
Bayern
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A23/03
Eurocup
Sakarya BB
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Eskisehir
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Istanbul BB
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
74.7Avg total
38.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.075.0+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.137.174.3+0.043%-
Last 30 away (16)38.836.875.6+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.574.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.680.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.041.573.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (6)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (21)39.036.375.3+2.862%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.0
53.1%
55.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.013.0
50.0%
34.8%39.0
🏀 Free throws13.010.0
76.9%
77.0%10.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.1
49.6%
55.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
34.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
77.0%13.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lokomotiv Kuban
LWWWLWWLLW
Darussafaka
WLWWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+32.9
Net rating
-0.7
118.8
Offensive rating
108.6
85.9
Defensive rating
109.3
62.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
34.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
21.5%
Turnover %
14.0%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
50.0%
3-point %
34.7%
73.3%
Assist %
45.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 108.6Defence85.9 · 109.3Shooting62.9% · 50.6%3-point %50.0% · 34.7%Ball care21.5% · 14.0%Off. rebounds36.0% · 28.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Lokomotiv Kuban   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
08/04/16Darussafaka v Lokomotiv Kuban87-86
12/02/16Lokomotiv Kuban v Darussafaka82-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/18AZenit Petersburg78-79
01/04/18HAstana79-78
23/03/18AReggiana79-69
20/03/18HReggiana82-65
17/03/18AMinsk84-88 OT
09/03/18AGran Canaria80-59
06/03/18HGran Canaria79-74
03/03/18AUnics Kazan65-93
14/02/18HCSKA Moscow75-78
11/02/18HNizhny Novgorod85-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/18HIstanbul BB79-77
01/04/18AEskisehir82-89
25/03/18HSakarya BB76-61
23/03/18ABayern87-83
20/03/18HBayern76-74
18/03/18AFenerbahce69-76
11/03/18HBesiktas74-67
09/03/18ABuducnost78-71
06/03/18HBuducnost57-54
03/03/18AKarsiyaka93-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv Kuban
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.783.881.5
Allowed / game68.767.070.3
Point differential+14.0+16.8+11.2
Avg total151.3150.8151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Darussafaka
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%90%80%
Points / game79.580.378.7
Allowed / game71.270.471.9
Point differential+8.3+9.9+6.8
Avg total150.7150.7150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban20200100%82.768.7+14.0
2 Darussafaka2017385%79.571.2+8.3
3 Bayern2116576%86.277.5+8.7
4 Unics Kazan1912763%79.176.8+2.3
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1610662%85.981.5+4.4
6 Zenit Petersburg1911858%87.586.8+0.7
7 Reggiana21111052%75.475.5-0.1
8 Gran Canaria189950%86.984.6+2.4
9 Alba Berlin168850%83.081.4+1.6
10 Buducnost189950%76.475.2+1.2
11 Trento168850%81.681.4+0.2
12 Rytas167944%86.683.6+3.0
13 Torino167944%79.586.6-7.1
14 Tofas104640%82.686.1-3.5
15 Lietkabelis104640%77.482.2-4.8
16 Galatasaray1661038%78.181.7-3.6
17 Limoges1661038%75.281.1-5.9
18 Cedevita1651131%77.179.5-2.4
19 MoraBanc Andorra103730%78.481.0-2.6
20 Bilbao102820%82.189.9-7.8
21 Levallois102820%75.583.9-8.4
22 Ulm102820%83.091.5-8.5
23 Hapoel M. Jerusalem102820%76.786.5-9.8
24 Partizan101910%81.195.1-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Lokomotiv Kuban14211720678
Darussafaka15161823981
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