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Bayern vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-87
22-17 22-24 20-25 19-21
Position#3
Record16-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game77.0
Bayern
vs
Darussafaka 🏆
Position#2
Record16-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Semi-finals
European cup2017
Meetings · Bayern v Darussafaka
08 Nov 2018
BAY116
DAR70
23 Mar 2018
BAY83
DAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A07/02
Eurocup
Bamberg
#4
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#15
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A03/03
BBL
Unics Kazan
#4
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H06/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A09/03
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#14
W
111-91
111
91
+20
H11/03
BBL
Unics Kazan
#4
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H14/03
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A17/03
BBL
Darussafaka
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A20/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
27-19
16-21
28-26
11-25
18-10
26-19
16-9
17-20
31-18
19-20
24-19
17-13
26-19
27-21
20-20
19-15
14-17
22-20
28-23
22-16
18-14
12-24
21-26
26-22
25-30
30-13
30-26
27-27
19-15
23-21
22-18
22-28
24-16
26-21
19-17
25-11
22-19
16-28
11-18
164.5Avg total
86.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.477.0163.4+9.480%
Season at home (10)91.574.3165.8+17.2100%
Season away (10)81.379.8161.1+1.560%
Last 10 (10)86.278.3164.5+7.980%
Last 5 (5)88.082.0170.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)85.073.3158.3+11.767%
vs Weaker (27)87.977.7165.6+10.289%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A07/02
Eurocup
Usak Sportif
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Eskisehir
#7
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A17/02
Turkish Cup
Karsiyaka
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H06/03
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A09/03
Eurocup
Besiktas
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H20/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
9-23
15-17
26-16
21-21
16-20
31-16
21-19
24-15
18-23
15-7
18-14
11-26
17-12
25-26
23-26
19-16
25-17
28-14
21-24
16-13
11-13
19-9
11-19
19-12
20-14
20-20
19-25
18-17
20-15
12-17
24-18
18-18
18-27
18-17
15-14
11-25
19-22
28-16
18-11
147.3Avg total
75.7Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.170.5149.6+8.684%
Season at home (10)80.370.4150.7+9.990%
Season away (9)77.870.7148.4+7.178%
Last 10 (10)75.771.6147.3+4.170%
Last 5 (5)70.868.4139.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.583.0155.5-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)67.468.0135.4-0.640%
vs Weaker (22)80.070.5150.5+9.582%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
BayernDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/02
Eurocup
Bamberg
#4
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A03/03
BBL
Unics Kazan
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H06/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#4
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A09/03
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#14
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H11/03
BBL
Unics Kazan
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H14/03
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A17/03
BBL
Darussafaka
#2
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A20/03
Eurocup
79.9Avg total
42.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.780.9+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.238.683.9+6.686%-
Last 30 away (16)41.436.978.3+4.669%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.379.9+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.685.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)48.033.381.3+14.7100%-
vs Weaker (27)42.738.280.9+4.574%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A07/02
Eurocup
Usak Sportif
#16
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Eskisehir
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A17/02
Turkish Cup
Karsiyaka
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H06/03
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A09/03
Eurocup
Besiktas
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H20/03
Eurocup
72.1Avg total
35.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.273.8+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.837.774.5-0.938%-
Last 30 away (17)38.335.173.4+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)35.037.172.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.269.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.041.573.5-9.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.636.471.0-1.840%-
vs Weaker (22)38.635.674.2+3.064%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.3 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.025.7
64.2%
55.2%51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
34.8%18.0
🏀 Free throws25.019.3
77.3%
77.0%19.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.7
50.3%
55.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.9
33.9%
34.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.213.2
72.5%
77.0%13.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLWWWWW
Darussafaka
WLWWWWLWWL
#3
League position
#2
+5.3
Net rating
-0.3
118.2
Offensive rating
107.4
112.9
Defensive rating
107.6
58.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
22.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
41.7%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.5%
3-point %
33.9%
69.5%
Assist %
43.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 107.4Defence112.9 · 107.6Shooting58.1% · 50.5%3-point %30.5% · 33.9%Ball care22.0% · 14.7%Off. rebounds41.7% · 28.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
20/03/18Darussafaka v Bayern76-74
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/18ADarussafaka74-76
17/03/18ABasketball Braunschweig91-82
14/03/18HUnics Kazan91-81
11/03/18HMitteldeutscher111-91
09/03/18AUnics Kazan73-80
06/03/18HUnics Kazan83-75
03/03/18ALudwigsburg90-73
14/02/18HGottingen91-77
11/02/18ABamberg71-63
07/02/18ARytas87-85
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/18HBayern76-74
18/03/18AFenerbahce69-76
11/03/18HBesiktas74-67
09/03/18ABuducnost78-71
06/03/18HBuducnost57-54
03/03/18AKarsiyaka93-71
17/02/18AAnadolu Efes76-90
14/02/18AEskisehir75-59
10/02/18HUsak Sportif89-76
07/02/18AGran Canaria70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game86.491.581.3
Allowed / game77.074.379.8
Point differential+9.3+17.2+1.5
Avg total163.4165.8161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%70%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW84%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%90%78%
Points / game79.180.377.8
Allowed / game70.570.470.7
Point differential+8.6+9.9+7.1
Avg total149.6150.7148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban19190100%82.868.6+14.2
2 Darussafaka1916384%79.170.5+8.6
3 Bayern2016480%86.477.0+9.3
4 Unics Kazan1912763%79.176.8+2.3
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1610662%85.981.5+4.4
6 Zenit Petersburg1911858%87.586.8+0.7
7 Reggiana2011955%75.875.3+0.4
8 Gran Canaria189950%86.984.6+2.4
9 Alba Berlin168850%83.081.4+1.6
10 Buducnost189950%76.475.2+1.2
11 Trento168850%81.681.4+0.2
12 Rytas167944%86.683.6+3.0
13 Torino167944%79.586.6-7.1
14 Tofas104640%82.686.1-3.5
15 Lietkabelis104640%77.482.2-4.8
16 Galatasaray1661038%78.181.7-3.6
17 Limoges1661038%75.281.1-5.9
18 Cedevita1651131%77.179.5-2.4
19 MoraBanc Andorra103730%78.481.0-2.6
20 Bilbao102820%82.189.9-7.8
21 Levallois102820%75.583.9-8.4
22 Ulm102820%83.091.5-8.5
23 Hapoel M. Jerusalem102820%76.786.5-9.8
24 Partizan101910%81.195.1-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2222201983
Darussafaka1724252187
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