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Lokomotiv Kuban vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-76
26-24 26-14 19-16 17-22
Position#3
Record11-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#10
Record6-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2018
Meetings · Lokomotiv Kuban v Ulm
23 Jan 2019
LKU88
ULM76
26 Oct 2016
LKU62
ULM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv Kuban winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H09/12
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H12/12
Eurocup
Minsk
#14
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H16/12
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#4
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A19/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#13
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A22/12
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H02/01
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#13
W
73-41
73
41
+32
H06/01
VTB United League
Frankfurt
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
A08/01
Eurocup
Ulm
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A16/01
Eurocup
Saratov
#11
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A19/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-17
14-22
15-32
17-8
21-19
21-23
21-26
24-13
20-14
21-13
15-29
17-21
22-19
31-19
22-23
18-16
13-14
19-18
23-19
15-15
19-19
18-17
13-16
13-12
14-10
27-12
19-7
22-13
20-19
27-20
23-17
26-23
27-18
19-16
12-24
23-20
25-19
20-33
34-23
154.9Avg total
81.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.875.6160.5+9.285%
Season at home (6)82.272.3154.5+9.867%
Season away (7)87.178.4165.6+8.7100%
Last 10 (10)81.273.7154.9+7.580%
Last 5 (5)83.270.6153.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.586.0161.5-10.50%
vs Similar (5)81.676.2157.8+5.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.075.9160.0+8.178%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A14/12
BBL
Brescia
#19
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A19/12
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A26/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H29/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
L
91-100
91
100
-9
H06/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A08/01
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#17
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A13/01
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H16/01
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
105-94
105
94
+11
H18/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
19-18
18-26
20-15
28-17
23-18
22-22
24-23
18-19
24-20
17-17
18-26
17-16
19-20
15-17
31-19
14-15
19-18
20-17
17-13
24-25
29-22
11-32
27-21
19-24
21-26
28-28
21-15
28-32
21-13
17-17
22-16
23-26
18-27
16-19
24-12
37-22
27-22
14-28
27-22
168.7Avg total
86.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.883.2166.9+0.646%
Season at home (7)83.679.4163.0+4.171%
Season away (6)84.087.5171.5-3.517%
Last 10 (10)86.182.6168.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)90.889.8180.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.892.8173.6-12.00%
vs Similar (13)84.786.2170.8-1.538%
vs Weaker (11)87.280.4167.5+6.882%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +4.9+4.9
Lokomotiv KubanUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/12
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H12/12
Eurocup
Minsk
#14
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H16/12
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A19/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#13
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A22/12
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H02/01
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#13
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H06/01
VTB United League
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/01
Eurocup
Ulm
#10
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A16/01
Eurocup
Saratov
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A19/01
VTB United League
72.6Avg total
39.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.778.4+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.636.377.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.737.178.8+4.573%-
Last 10 (10)39.832.872.6+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.674.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.542.079.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (5)42.442.084.4+0.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.835.177.0+6.783%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/12
BBL
Brescia
#19
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A19/12
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A26/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H06/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A08/01
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#17
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/01
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H16/01
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H18/01
BBL
87.3Avg total
45.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.584.7-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.642.485.0+0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)41.642.784.4-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)45.242.187.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)49.447.897.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.848.087.8-8.20%-
vs Similar (13)42.743.586.2-0.846%-
vs Weaker (11)42.639.782.4+2.945%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.7
51.3%
51.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.28.4
41.6%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.318.0
84.5%
74.9%18.0
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.2
48.8%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.0
35.6%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.619.4
78.9%
74.9%19.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lokomotiv Kuban
WWWWLWWWWL
Ulm
WLWLLWWLWW
#3
League position
#10
+12.4
Net rating
+2.9
114.8
Offensive rating
109.0
102.4
Defensive rating
106.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
41.6%
3-point %
35.6%
64.8%
Assist %
56.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 109.0Defence102.4 · 106.2Shooting55.1% · 50.4%3-point %41.6% · 35.6%Ball care19.4% · 16.6%Off. rebounds37.3% · 28.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Lokomotiv Kuban   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
2
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
16/01/19Ulm v Lokomotiv Kuban81-84
30/11/16Ulm v Lokomotiv Kuban105-101 OT
26/10/16Lokomotiv Kuban v Ulm62-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/19ASaratov102-95
16/01/19AUlm84-81
08/01/19AFrankfurt92-69
06/01/19HZielona Gora73-41
02/01/19HLyon-Villeurbanne65-67
22/12/18AZielona Gora73-67
19/12/18AAlba Berlin92-82
16/12/18HMinsk80-69
12/12/18HCedevita80-76
09/12/18HAstana71-90
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/19HMitteldeutscher105-94
16/01/19HLokomotiv Kuban81-84
13/01/19ABremerhaven88-78
08/01/19ALyon-Villeurbanne89-93
06/01/19HBamberg91-100
03/01/19HFrankfurt70-63
29/12/18HFrankfurt82-72
26/12/18ABasketball Braunschweig77-82
19/12/18ABrescia97-80
14/12/18AVechta81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv Kuban
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%67%100%
Points / game84.882.287.1
Allowed / game75.672.378.4
Point differential+9.2+9.8+8.7
Avg total160.5154.5165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Ulm
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%71%17%
Points / game83.883.684.0
Allowed / game83.279.487.5
Point differential+0.6+4.1-3.5
Avg total166.9163.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1311285%85.375.8+9.5
2 Lokomotiv Kuban1311285%84.875.6+9.2
3 Valencia1311285%84.875.6+9.2
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne1411379%78.371.6+6.6
5 Unicaja1310377%87.879.2+8.6
6 Alba Berlin1410471%87.683.4+4.3
7 MoraBanc Andorra139469%86.482.8+3.6
8 Monaco149564%77.574.9+2.6
9 Crvena zvezda137654%81.477.7+3.7
10 Ulm136746%83.883.2+0.6
11 Partizan146843%74.875.5-0.7
12 Rytas146843%78.979.7-0.8
13 Frankfurt146843%73.077.1-4.1
14 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
15 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
16 Zenit Petersburg135838%84.182.9+1.2
17 Cedevita135838%83.786.2-2.5
18 Limoges134931%79.683.6-4.0
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lokomotiv Kuban2626191788
Ulm2414162276
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