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Brescia vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-97
17-28 18-23 22-22 23-24
Position#19
Record3-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Ulm 🏆
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game84.6
EuropeEurocupRound 10
European cup2018
Meetings · Brescia v Ulm
25 Jan 2023
BRE72
ULM85
07 Oct 2020
BRE87
ULM84
19 Dec 2018
BRE80
ULM97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
181avg 110
H04/11
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
114avg 110
A07/11
Eurocup
Trento
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
99avg 110
A10/11
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
104avg 110
H14/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
102avg 110
A18/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
88-65
88
65
+23
122avg 110
H21/11
Eurocup
Torino
#13
W
83-76
83
76
+7
114avg 110
H25/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
70-73
70
73
-3
113avg 110
A09/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
67-103
67
103
-36
88avg 110
A12/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#8
W
81-63
81
63
+18
181avg 110
H16/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
33-17
15-19
19-18
19-26
20-24
21-16
26-14
22-19
17-19
19-18
17-20
19-16
19-24
9-22
26-17
20-14
12-21
16-27
17-10
26-18
22-22
18-5
22-20
28-22
22-13
17-23
16-18
15-19
20-16
20-22
15-16
14-31
8-34
21-17
24-21
25-14
18-15
17-22
21-12
154.0Avg total
77.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.882.8160.6-5.033%
Season at home (4)74.571.2145.8+3.250%
Season away (5)80.492.0172.4-11.620%
Last 10 (10)77.276.8154.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)77.876.0153.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.884.2161.0-7.323%
vs Similar (12)77.173.3150.4+3.858%
vs Weaker (4)84.284.8169.0-0.550%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A04/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H07/11
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
L
82-91
82
91
-9
no box
H10/11
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
69-77
69
77
-8
91avg 105
A14/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A17/11
BBL
Monaco
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
109avg 105
A20/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
H24/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
H08/12
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
117avg 105
H11/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
A14/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
19-25
25-17
28-14
21-17
29-16
23-24
22-23
21-24
14-19
17-31
30-17
11-15
16-19
22-23
20-20
19-19
23-23
24-21
19-17
27-16
19-24
19-18
16-26
22-25
31-17
21-18
22-25
22-14
15-21
21-20
28-19
22-19
21-24
23-18
22-19
24-21
19-18
18-26
20-15
166.1Avg total
85.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.684.6168.1-1.044%
Season at home (5)86.881.8168.6+5.080%
Season away (4)79.588.0167.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)85.181.0166.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)86.480.6167.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.090.6175.6-5.625%
vs Similar (12)82.485.0167.4-2.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.182.1165.2+1.056%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
BresciaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
Lega A
Monaco
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/11
Eurocup
Trento
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A10/11
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A18/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/11
Eurocup
Torino
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H25/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
22-65
22
65
-43
A12/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H16/12
Lega A
80.7Avg total
39.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.579.2-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.938.179.0+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)36.942.679.4-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.180.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.844.882.6-6.938%-
vs Similar (12)38.636.675.2+2.058%-
vs Weaker (4)44.239.884.0+4.550%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/11
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H10/11
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A14/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/11
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A20/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H24/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H11/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/12
BBL
81.0Avg total
41.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.981.8-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.141.982.0-1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.881.6-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.981.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.884.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.043.283.2-3.212%-
vs Similar (12)40.643.484.0-2.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.839.478.2-0.744%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.8
51.4%
51.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.2
31.3%
36.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.0
72.2%
74.9%14.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.0
46.3%
51.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.9
34.6%
36.6%23.6
🏀 Free throws24.219.0
78.4%
74.9%19.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWWLLLWW
Ulm
WWWWLWLLWW
#19
League position
#10
+0.3
Net rating
-2.6
102.8
Offensive rating
105.9
102.6
Defensive rating
108.6
49.5%
Effective FG%
48.3%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.3%
3-point %
34.6%
63.3%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 105.9Defence102.6 · 108.6Shooting49.5% · 48.3%3-point %31.3% · 34.6%Ball care17.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
1
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
30/10/18Ulm v Brescia83-82
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18HCantu81-63
12/12/18ACrvena zvezda67-103
09/12/18APistoia70-73
25/11/18HTorino83-76
21/11/18HGalatasaray88-65
18/11/18ABrindisi65-72
14/11/18HMoraBanc Andorra73-79
10/11/18ATrento75-76
07/11/18AMonaco86-80
04/11/18HPesaro84-81
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/18AVechta81-80
11/12/18HMoraBanc Andorra88-80
08/12/18HGottingen86-74
24/11/18HBonn96-85
20/11/18AMonaco81-84
17/11/18AJena85-80
14/11/18AGalatasaray69-77
10/11/18HLudwigsburg82-91
07/11/18HCrvena zvezda95-80
04/11/18ABayreuth88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.874.580.4
Allowed / game82.871.292.0
Point differential-5.0+3.2-11.6
Avg total160.6145.8172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%80%0%
Points / game83.686.879.5
Allowed / game84.681.888.0
Point differential-1.0+5.0-8.5
Avg total168.1168.6167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban109190%86.276.6+9.6
2 Unics Kazan109190%85.676.2+9.4
3 Valencia108280%84.675.9+8.7
4 Unicaja97278%91.181.1+10.0
5 Alba Berlin107370%89.784.4+5.3
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne107370%79.173.9+5.2
7 Monaco107370%79.675.7+3.9
8 Crvena zvezda106460%82.576.8+5.7
9 MoraBanc Andorra106460%87.084.4+2.6
10 Frankfurt106460%78.077.2+0.8
11 Cedevita105550%85.383.1+2.2
12 Rytas105550%78.478.6-0.2
13 Ulm94544%83.684.6-1.0
14 Zenit Petersburg104640%85.784.6+1.1
15 Partizan104640%75.677.1-1.5
16 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
17 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
18 Limoges93633%79.484.3-4.9
19 Brescia93633%77.882.8-5.0
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia91811%74.285.2-11.0
24 Torino9090%83.689.9-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1718222380
Ulm2823222497
← all games of the day
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