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Long Beach State vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 75-72
38-37 37-35
Position#197
Record11-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#150
Record13-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Long Beach State v UC Davis
05 Mar 2026
LONG70
UC D76
06 Feb 2025
LONG65
UC D73
09 Mar 2024
LONG78
UC D88
28 Jan 2023
LONG75
UC D72
03 Mar 2022
LONG68
UC D65
16 Jan 2020
LONG82
UC D85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Long Beach State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#325
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
H30/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H31/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A06/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A08/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H13/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A15/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H20/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
112-110 OT
112
110
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-34
38-41
32-29
41-44
39-32
33-41
41-31
43-43
34-51
36-36
36-21
41-37
27-30
43-49
40-37
32-30
47-41
33-39
39-29
31-23
155.2Avg total
79.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.773.4150.1+3.352%
Season at home (11)75.266.5141.6+8.764%
Season away (10)78.481.1159.5-2.740%
Last 10 (10)79.276.0155.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)80.273.2153.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.478.9145.2-12.512%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.773.0149.7+3.758%
vs Weaker (9)84.168.6152.7+15.689%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
54-81
54
81
-27
A21/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A30/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H06/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H08/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A12/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H14/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A16/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H21/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
79-58
79
58
+21
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-33
33-48
23-25
43-49
35-42
48-46
32-23
35-25
28-31
34-23
39-37
44-42
30-37
48-33
28-33
44-41
20-29
45-34
40-22
39-36
139.8Avg total
70.9Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.870.1146.0+5.762%
Season at home (11)79.068.2147.2+10.873%
Season away (10)72.372.3144.6+0.050%
Last 10 (10)70.968.9139.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)75.468.8144.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.781.7150.3-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.472.8143.2-2.538%
vs Weaker (12)72.262.0134.2+10.292%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +3.6+3.6
Long Beach StateUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#325
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H30/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H31/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A08/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H13/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A15/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H20/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A21/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A27/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.871.1+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.131.467.5+4.759%-
Last 30 away (13)36.439.375.7-2.946%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.571.4+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.669.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.140.872.9-8.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.135.671.7+0.542%-
vs Weaker (9)39.027.966.9+11.1100%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A30/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H06/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H08/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A12/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A16/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
L
20-29
20
29
-9
H21/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A27/01
NCAA
60.8Avg total
29.6Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.663.5+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.930.464.2+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)31.730.962.6+0.843%-
Last 10 (10)29.631.260.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.663.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.033.362.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.731.262.8+0.538%-
vs Weaker (12)32.630.262.8+2.458%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Long Beach State wins
4
UC Davis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23ACal Poly70-52
21/01/23AUC San Diego112-110 OT
20/01/23HCS Fullerton72-67
15/01/23AHawaii70-79
13/01/23HCal Poly77-58
08/01/23AUC Irvine70-87
06/01/23ACS Northridge84-74
31/12/22HUC Riverside72-73
30/12/22HUC San Diego83-85 OT
22/12/22HIdaho82-75
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23ACSU Bakersfield79-58
21/01/23HCal Poly65-63
20/01/23HUC Riverside72-74
16/01/23AUC San Diego78-70
14/01/23HCS Fullerton83-79
12/01/23ACS Northridge62-54
08/01/23HCSU Bakersfield67-48
06/01/23HUC Irvine83-88
30/12/22AHawaii66-74
21/12/22AUCLA54-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Long Beach State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game76.775.278.4
Allowed / game73.466.581.1
Point differential+3.3+8.7-2.7
Avg total150.1141.6159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%9%10%
UC Davis
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game75.879.072.3
Allowed / game70.168.272.3
Point differential+5.7+10.8+0.0
Avg total146.0147.2144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara2017385%70.862.0+8.8
2 Hawaii2014670%67.461.7+5.7
3 UC Riverside2114767%72.268.3+3.9
4 UC Irvine2013765%76.566.8+9.7
5 UC Davis2113862%75.870.1+5.7
6 Long Beach State21111052%76.773.4+3.3
7 CS Fullerton22111150%69.366.4+3.0
8 UC San Diego2181338%67.571.7-4.2
9 Cal Poly2061430%61.466.0-4.6
10 CSU Bakersfield2061430%58.363.0-4.8
11 CS Northridge2141719%63.766.9-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Long Beach State383775
UC Davis373572
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