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UC Davis vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-63
20-29 45-34
Position#150
Record11-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#355
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UC Davis v Cal Poly
07 Feb 2026
UC D67
CAL 58
12 Mar 2025
UC D76
CAL 86
05 Dec 2024
UC D77
CAL 66
30 Dec 2023
UC D71
CAL 46
21 Jan 2023
UC D65
CAL 63
08 Mar 2022
UC D63
CAL 53
01 Feb 2020
UC D66
CAL 51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holy Names
#626
W
107-55
107
55
+52
H14/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
54-81
54
81
-27
A21/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A30/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H06/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H08/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A12/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H14/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A16/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-26
54-29
37-35
31-44
21-33
33-48
23-25
43-49
35-42
48-46
32-23
35-25
28-31
34-23
39-37
44-42
30-37
48-33
28-33
44-41
144.2Avg total
74.0Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.271.2147.4+5.158%
Season at home (10)80.468.7149.1+11.770%
Season away (9)71.673.9145.4-2.344%
Last 10 (10)74.070.2144.2+3.850%
Last 5 (5)72.465.0137.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.781.7150.3-13.00%
vs Similar (15)69.172.7141.8-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)72.362.3134.6+10.090%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#212
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
45-74
45
74
-29
H17/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A01/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A06/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A13/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
A17/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-24
33-50
25-40
20-34
22-34
21-31
28-23
39-34
22-27
26-30
16-29
35-32
19-16
38-46
21-36
37-41
26-32
40-34
32-37
32-34
126.0Avg total
57.9Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)61.865.8127.6-4.033%
Season at home (9)68.163.2131.3+4.956%
Season away (9)55.468.3123.8-12.911%
Last 10 (10)57.968.1126.0-10.210%
Last 5 (5)61.670.8132.4-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)59.267.0126.2-7.827%
vs Similar (7)64.366.3130.6-2.029%
vs Weaker (1)94.059.0153.0+35.0100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -4.5-4.5
UC DavisCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holy Names
#626
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H14/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A30/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H06/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H08/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A12/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A16/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H20/01
NCAA
64.8Avg total
32.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.031.164.1+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.530.665.1+3.853%-
Last 30 away (13)31.131.662.7-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)32.632.264.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.263.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.033.362.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (15)31.731.363.0+0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)33.131.164.2+2.060%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#212
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A14/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H17/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A01/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
16-29
16
29
-13
A06/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
19-16
19
16
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A13/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A17/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H20/01
NCAA
54.4Avg total
24.6Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.030.557.5-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.230.160.4+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)24.230.855.1-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)24.629.854.4-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)22.830.052.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)26.831.057.8-4.336%-
vs Similar (7)24.430.154.6-5.714%-
vs Weaker (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
UC Davis wins
1
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
09/03/22UC Davis v Cal Poly63-53
16/01/22Cal Poly v UC Davis82-74
27/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis66-68 OT
26/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis61-69
21/02/20Cal Poly v UC Davis62-77
02/02/20UC Davis v Cal Poly66-51
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23HUC Riverside72-74
16/01/23AUC San Diego78-70
14/01/23HCS Fullerton83-79
12/01/23ACS Northridge62-54
08/01/23HCSU Bakersfield67-48
06/01/23HUC Irvine83-88
30/12/22AHawaii66-74
21/12/22AUCLA54-81
17/12/22AEast. Washington68-79
14/12/22HHoly Names107-55
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23HUC San Diego64-71
17/01/23AUC Riverside78-83 OT
13/01/23ALong Beach State58-77
07/01/23HUC Santa Barbara57-62
06/01/23ACSU Bakersfield51-61
01/01/23AHawaii48-57
30/12/22HCS Northridge67-57
21/12/22ASan Jose State43-65
17/12/22HWeber State45-74
14/12/22AWashington68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%70%44%
Points / game76.280.471.6
Allowed / game71.268.773.9
Point differential+5.1+11.7-2.3
Avg total147.4149.1145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLWLL56%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%56%11%
Points / game61.868.155.4
Allowed / game65.863.268.3
Point differential-4.0+4.9-12.9
Avg total127.6131.3123.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara1815383%70.862.1+8.7
2 Hawaii1914574%67.661.5+6.1
3 UC Irvine1913668%77.367.1+10.2
4 UC Riverside2114767%72.268.3+3.9
5 UC Davis1911858%76.271.2+5.1
6 CS Fullerton20101050%69.866.5+3.4
7 Long Beach State1991047%75.272.6+2.6
8 UC San Diego1971237%65.470.3-4.9
9 CSU Bakersfield1861233%58.361.4-3.1
10 Cal Poly1861233%61.865.8-4.0
11 CS Northridge1931616%63.767.1-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis204565
Cal Poly293463
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