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Louisiana Monroe vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 68-73
27-36 41-37
Position#369
Record4-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#288
Record7-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisiana Monroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisiana MonroeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H01/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A09/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H17/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
60-115
60
115
-55
A22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-45
35-42
40-46
39-38
36-37
43-48
28-31
32-39
39-38
18-39
36-65
24-50
20-28
23-31
33-37
43-42
38-43
41-40
34-26
51-53
150.9Avg total
69.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.082.5154.4-10.517%
Season at home (12)74.876.7151.4-1.925%
Season away (12)69.288.2157.4-19.18%
Last 10 (10)69.181.8150.9-12.710%
Last 5 (5)68.683.0151.6-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.585.6156.1-15.24%
vs Similar (3)77.383.0160.3-5.733%
vs Weaker (2)72.560.5133.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Earlham
#693
W
93-30
93
30
+63
H30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-8
45-22
25-41
47-44
25-39
27-35
25-28
46-51
34-43
43-44
44-31
32-40
33-20
35-47
29-22
29-31
27-39
28-34
27-40
25-37
137.0Avg total
67.4Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)66.670.2136.8-3.632%
Season at home (10)73.765.3139.0+8.460%
Season away (12)60.774.3135.0-13.78%
Last 10 (10)67.469.6137.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)61.868.2130.0-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.680.2146.8-13.70%
vs Similar (13)64.470.8135.2-6.523%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)73.369.0142.3+4.383%
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
Louisiana MonroeBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Louisiana MonroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
36-65
36
65
-29
A22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A05/02
NCAA
73.8Avg total
34.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.039.873.9-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.738.173.8-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)32.341.673.9-9.313%-
Last 10 (10)34.239.673.8-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.872.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.041.475.4-7.521%-
vs Similar (3)33.738.772.3-5.00%-
vs Weaker (2)31.026.557.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Earlham
#693
W
48-8
48
8
+40
H30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
31.7Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.064.2+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.831.368.1+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)27.532.860.3-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)31.731.162.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.030.462.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.839.670.3-8.811%-
vs Similar (13)30.830.561.2+0.338%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)34.728.863.5+5.867%-
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisiana Monroe wins
0
Ball State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26AOld Dominion85-79
01/02/26HCoastal Carolina79-83
30/01/26HGeorgia Southern76-79
23/01/26AAppalachian State43-59
22/01/26AMarshall60-115
17/01/26HGeorgia State57-77
10/01/26ASouthern Miss60-70
09/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette79-85
03/01/26HTexas State79-84
01/01/26HSouthern Miss73-87
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26ABowling Green52-77
31/01/26AToledo55-73
24/01/26HNorthern Illinois58-53
21/01/26ACentral Michigan68-67
17/01/26HOhio76-71
14/01/26AAkron77-87
10/01/26AUMass71-79
07/01/26HEastern Michigan52-74
03/01/26ABuffalo72-85
30/12/25HEarlham93-30

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisiana Monroe
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%25%8%
Points / game72.074.869.2
Allowed / game82.576.788.2
Point differential-10.5-1.9-19.1
Avg total154.4151.4157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (5)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL32%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %32%60%8%
Points / game66.673.760.7
Allowed / game70.265.374.3
Point differential-3.6+8.4-13.7
Avg total136.8139.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2416867%83.375.2+8.1
2 Appalachian State2617965%71.364.1+7.2
3 Marshall2315865%80.274.2+6.0
4 South Alabama2314961%72.368.1+4.1
5 Arkansas State24141058%81.078.2+2.8
6 Coastal Carolina26151158%73.772.3+1.3
7 Texas State25141156%73.571.1+2.4
8 Georgia Southern25141156%81.079.6+1.4
9 Southern Miss25121348%73.673.5+0.1
10 James Madison24111346%73.975.2-1.4
11 Georgia State2591636%70.873.9-3.1
12 Louisiana Lafayette2481633%61.568.6-7.0
13 Old Dominion2471729%74.077.8-3.8
14 Louisiana Monroe2442017%72.082.5-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)23230100%92.874.3+18.5
2 Akron2319483%90.474.0+16.4
3 Kent State2316770%86.781.0+5.7
4 Bowling Green2314961%84.370.1+14.2
5 Buffalo2314961%79.775.5+4.2
6 UMass25151060%80.675.8+4.8
7 Ohio24131154%78.077.3+0.7
8 Toledo23121152%81.377.7+3.7
9 Eastern Michigan2491538%70.772.4-1.7
10 Northern Illinois2281436%73.076.4-3.3
11 Western Michigan2281436%75.279.7-4.5
12 Ball State2271532%66.670.2-3.6
13 Central Michigan2371630%73.178.3-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisiana Monroe274168
Ball State363773
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