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Louisiana Monroe vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 79-84
40-46 39-38
Position#369
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#125
Record8-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Louisiana Monroe v Texas State
03 Jan 2026
LOUI79
TEXA84
13 Feb 2025
LOUI60
TEXA72
13 Jan 2024
LOUI54
TEXA67
14 Jan 2023
LOUI61
TEXA58
12 Feb 2022
LOUI54
TEXA63
23 Jan 2021
LOUI63
TEXA69
22 Jan 2021
LOUI47
TEXA57
16 Jan 2020
LOUI63
TEXA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisiana Monroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisiana MonroeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
55-97
55
97
-42
A23/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A07/12
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#405
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H09/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
79-104
79
104
-25
A13/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A28/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-38
36-45
33-54
22-43
30-29
36-23
37-47
39-49
32-24
47-45
38-49
41-55
45-27
26-44
25-39
37-37
36-46
49-48
38-45
35-42
160.1Avg total
74.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.983.2157.1-9.320%
Season at home (8)75.874.6150.4+1.138%
Season away (7)71.993.0164.9-21.10%
Last 10 (10)74.785.4160.1-10.720%
Last 5 (5)78.291.4169.6-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.583.3151.8-14.910%
vs Similar (6)70.780.3151.0-9.717%
vs Weaker (2)72.560.5133.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#264
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
93-41
93
41
+52
H25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A28/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H29/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A04/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
70-89
70
89
-19
H18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-22
31-27
28-26
37-30
51-27
42-14
33-33
19-33
34-34
32-32
28-40
44-37
38-38
48-45
32-41
38-48
25-39
42-26
33-45
47-55
142.6Avg total
72.2Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.170.5144.6+3.753%
Season at home (10)78.965.2144.1+13.780%
Season away (5)64.681.0145.6-16.40%
Last 10 (10)72.270.4142.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)75.082.8157.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.080.7149.7-11.717%
vs Similar (9)74.881.8156.6-7.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.965.6143.5+12.373%
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: +3.3+3.3
Louisiana MonroeTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Louisiana MonroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A23/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#405
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A13/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A28/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/01
NCAA
75.6Avg total
35.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.738.871.5-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.535.669.1-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)31.842.474.2-10.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.875.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.277.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.540.372.8-7.924%-
vs Similar (6)32.338.771.0-6.317%-
vs Weaker (2)31.026.557.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H29/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A31/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
33.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.468.6+1.843%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.732.669.3+4.253%-
Last 30 away (11)32.534.867.4-2.327%-
Last 10 (10)33.434.567.9-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.240.671.8-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.036.569.5-3.517%-
vs Similar (9)31.338.269.6-6.90%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.429.367.7+9.180%-
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Louisiana Monroe wins
8
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HSouthern Miss73-87
28/12/25AKansas State85-94
20/12/25HLouisiana Lafayette62-76
18/12/25HSouth Alabama92-96 OT
13/12/25AMiami (FL)79-104
09/12/25HArkansas Baptist79-69
07/12/25AStephen F. Austin76-96
04/12/25HMiss. Valley St.66-52
23/11/25AEast Tennessee St55-97
23/11/25HMorehead State80-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25ATroy80-100
20/12/25HSouth Alabama67-65
18/12/25HArkansas State70-89
11/12/25HSouthern Univ.86-83
04/12/25ARice72-77
29/11/25HLehigh74-78 OT
28/11/25ASeattle52-66
25/11/25HTexas Lutheran93-41
22/11/25HUALR65-56
19/11/25HAbilene Christian63-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisiana Monroe
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%38%0%
Points / game73.975.871.9
Allowed / game83.274.693.0
Point differential-9.3+1.1-21.1
Avg total157.1150.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL53%
HomeWLWLW80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %53%80%0%
Points / game74.178.964.6
Allowed / game70.565.281.0
Point differential+3.7+13.7-16.4
Avg total144.6144.1145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia Southern1611569%83.978.9+4.9
2 Arkansas State1510567%83.178.0+5.1
3 Troy149564%88.478.8+9.6
4 Marshall149564%80.275.2+5.0
5 Appalachian State159660%73.966.4+7.5
6 South Alabama159660%74.068.5+5.5
7 Southern Miss169756%76.173.3+2.8
8 Texas State158753%74.170.5+3.7
9 James Madison158753%75.977.7-1.9
10 Coastal Carolina168850%73.272.6+0.6
11 Georgia State1651131%70.976.4-5.5
12 Old Dominion1541127%73.177.1-4.1
13 Louisiana Monroe1531220%73.983.2-9.3
14 Louisiana Lafayette1631319%58.568.6-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisiana Monroe403979
Texas State463884
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