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Louisville vs Pepperdine Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-63
39-25 46-38
Position#348
Record4-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#287
Record5-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pepperdine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H16/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-48
54-45
27-33
44-48
32-21
29-20
38-41
42-40
29-34
37-40
28-30
45-43
22-27
51-41
31-30
37-45
22-38
46-37
31-29
32-46
148.1Avg total
73.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.474.7148.1-1.340%
Season at home (8)74.874.6149.4+0.150%
Season away (2)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.474.7148.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)72.475.4147.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)67.577.9145.3-10.412%
vs Similar (2)81.576.0157.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (Pepperdine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PepperdineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#316
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H12/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H14/11
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H18/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A22/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
82-90
82
90
-8
H23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A24/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H29/11
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
66-91
66
91
-25
A03/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H07/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-26
34-27
39-18
49-35
30-40
38-42
30-34
30-42
31-46
51-44
28-52
43-38
37-26
40-36
28-52
38-39
20-32
35-28
25-28
43-34
143.0Avg total
71.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.171.8143.9+0.242%
Season at home (8)73.865.8139.5+8.062%
Season away (4)68.884.0152.8-15.20%
Last 10 (10)71.171.9143.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)67.473.0140.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.685.1158.7-11.412%
vs Similar (11)76.578.4154.8-1.927%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)88.053.0141.0+35.0100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +3.6+3.6
LouisvillePepperdine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#312
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H16/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H14/12
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.336.366.6-6.027%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.834.565.3-3.829%-
Last 30 away (13)29.638.668.2-9.023%-
Last 10 (10)30.033.163.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)26.830.857.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.937.468.3-6.527%-
vs Similar (2)25.028.553.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Pepperdine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PepperdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#316
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H12/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H14/11
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A24/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H29/11
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A03/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H07/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H10/12
NCAA
66.4Avg total
31.0Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.538.572.0-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.434.366.7-1.935%-
Last 30 away (13)34.844.178.9-9.215%-
Last 10 (10)31.035.466.4-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)27.638.065.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.941.274.1-8.418%-
vs Similar (11)34.637.071.6-2.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)39.018.057.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
0
Pepperdine wins
No previous meetings.
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HArkansas State63-75
09/12/23ADePaul68-75
03/12/23AVirginia Tech68-75
30/11/23HBellarmine73-68
26/11/23HNew Mexico State90-84 OT
20/11/23HIndiana66-74
19/11/23HTexas80-81
16/11/23HCoppin State61-41
11/11/23HChattanooga Mocs71-81
07/11/23HUMBC Retrievers94-93
Pepperdinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HUC San Diego68-62
07/12/23HCS Fullerton55-60
03/12/23AColorado66-91
29/11/23HIdaho State77-62
24/11/23ANew Mexico71-90
23/11/23HIndiana State82-90
22/11/23AUC Irvine60-76
18/11/23HUNLV68-82
14/11/23HLIU Sharks88-53
12/11/23HLafayette76-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %40%50%0%
Points / game73.474.868.0
Allowed / game74.774.675.0
Point differential-1.3+0.1-7.0
Avg total148.1149.4143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %10%12%0%
Pepperdine
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %42%62%0%
Points / game72.173.868.8
Allowed / game71.865.884.0
Point differential+0.2+8.0-15.2
Avg total143.9139.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia109190%66.853.3+13.5
2 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
3 Pittsburgh118373%82.864.8+18.0
4 Virginia Tech118373%74.065.3+8.7
5 Miami (FL)118373%80.772.3+8.5
6 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
7 Syracuse118373%77.770.1+7.6
8 Duke107370%81.666.1+15.5
9 North Carolina107370%84.975.0+9.9
10 NC State107370%79.370.6+8.7
11 Wake Forest96367%79.069.4+9.6
12 Georgia Tech96367%72.271.4+0.8
13 SMU Mustangs117464%73.862.8+11.0
14 Stanford84450%80.276.0+4.2
15 Florida State94544%75.774.6+1.1
16 Louisville104640%73.474.7-1.3
17 Notre Dame104640%64.667.8-3.2
18 California103730%76.576.8-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Washington State108280%78.562.6+15.9
2 Gonzaga118373%82.966.3+16.6
3 San Francisco128467%74.861.6+13.2
4 Santa Clara128467%78.372.2+6.2
5 Oregon State96367%71.770.9+0.8
6 San Diego Toreros128467%73.272.9+0.3
7 Seattle106460%73.462.1+11.3
8 St. Marys (CA)116555%69.361.2+8.1
9 Loyola Marymount116555%76.069.4+6.6
10 Portland126650%77.078.6-1.6
11 Pepperdine125742%72.171.8+0.2
12 Pacific124833%64.177.3-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville394685
Pepperdine253863
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