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Virginia Tech vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 75-68
30-31 45-37
Position#161
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game68.6
vs
Position#348
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Virginia Tech v Louisville
30 Dec 2026
VIRG v LOUI
upcoming
25 Feb 2025
VIRG66
LOUI71
03 Dec 2023
VIRG75
LOUI68
01 Mar 2022
VIRG75
LOUI43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia Tech winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#66
L
77-97
77
97
-20
A09/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A16/03
NIT
Coppin State
#368
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H07/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A11/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H19/11
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H24/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
50-84
50
84
-34
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-53
0-0
51-44
0-0
33-29
0-0
39-52
0-0
45-19
0-0
55-36
0-0
31-38
0-0
46-41
0-0
26-16
0-0
34-28
0-0
43-33
0-0
55-43
0-0
44-41
0-0
38-34
0-0
40-30
0-0
31-32
0-0
24-32
0-0
26-52
0-0
24-33
0-0
33-41
147.1Avg total
74.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.468.6143.0+5.862%
Season at home (6)76.866.0142.8+10.883%
Season away (2)67.076.5143.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)74.472.7147.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)71.674.2145.8-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.373.3132.7-14.033%
vs Similar (17)74.575.9150.4-1.435%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.065.9141.9+10.167%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
L
54-71
54
71
-17
H01/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A07/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H16/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
27-36
20-36
40-39
34-31
28-49
40-48
54-45
27-33
44-48
32-21
29-20
38-41
42-40
29-34
37-40
28-30
45-43
22-27
51-41
145.9Avg total
71.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.474.6151.0+1.957%
Season at home (7)76.474.6151.0+1.957%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.174.8145.9-3.740%
Last 5 (5)74.069.6143.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.678.2146.8-9.615%
vs Similar (3)74.769.0143.7+5.7100%
vs Weaker (1)61.041.0102.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
Virginia TechLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#66
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A09/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A16/03
NIT
Coppin State
#368
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H07/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A11/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
26-16
26
16
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A30/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
33.6Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.268.9+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.131.567.6+4.675%-
Last 30 away (14)33.337.270.5-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)33.632.466.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.868.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.331.761.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (17)36.137.273.2-1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)34.329.964.2+4.478%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H16/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H30/11
NCAA
63.3Avg total
29.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.836.066.8-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.234.065.2-2.832%-
Last 30 away (11)30.239.569.6-9.318%-
Last 10 (10)29.733.663.3-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)29.830.660.4-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.537.869.3-6.223%-
vs Similar (3)24.025.749.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker (1)32.021.053.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia Tech wins
2
Louisville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AAuburn57-74
26/11/23HFlorida Atlantic50-84
24/11/23HIowa State71-62
24/11/23HBoise State82-75
19/11/23HWofford98-76
15/11/23HCampbell60-44
11/11/23ASouth Carolina77-79
07/11/23HCoppin State100-55
16/03/23ACincinnati72-81
09/03/23ANC State77-97
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HBellarmine73-68
26/11/23HNew Mexico State90-84 OT
20/11/23HIndiana66-74
19/11/23HTexas80-81
16/11/23HCoppin State61-41
11/11/23HChattanooga Mocs71-81
07/11/23HUMBC Retrievers94-93
07/03/23ABoston College62-80
04/03/23AVirginia60-75
01/03/23HVirginia Tech54-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia Tech
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %62%83%0%
Points / game74.476.867.0
Allowed / game68.666.076.5
Point differential+5.8+10.8-9.5
Avg total143.0142.8143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLLWW57%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games77-
Win %57%57%-
Points / game76.476.4-
Allowed / game74.674.6-
Point differential+1.9+1.9-
Avg total151.0151.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %14%14%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson770100%80.368.7+11.6
2 North Carolina87188%86.272.0+14.2
3 Virginia87188%66.954.0+12.9
4 Miami (FL)86275%80.572.4+8.1
5 NC State75271%78.471.3+7.1
6 SMU Mustangs96367%74.462.0+12.4
7 Georgia Tech64267%72.772.8-0.2
8 Pittsburgh85362%82.966.1+16.8
9 Duke85362%80.967.1+13.8
10 Virginia Tech85362%74.468.6+5.8
11 Syracuse85362%76.471.2+5.1
12 Boston College85362%75.671.1+4.5
13 Wake Forest74357%78.972.7+6.1
14 Florida State74357%78.973.6+5.3
15 Louisville74357%76.474.6+1.9
16 Stanford73443%79.177.7+1.4
17 Notre Dame73443%61.966.1-4.3
18 California83538%74.672.9+1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia Tech304575
Louisville313768
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