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Louisville vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-68
22-27 51-41
Position#348
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#342
Record2-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Louisville v Bellarmine
19 Nov 2024
LOUI100
BELL68
29 Nov 2023
LOUI73
BELL68
09 Nov 2022
LOUI66
BELL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A25/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
54-71
54
71
-17
H01/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A07/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H16/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-45
35-38
27-35
27-36
20-36
40-39
34-31
28-49
40-48
54-45
27-33
44-48
32-21
29-20
38-41
42-40
29-34
37-40
28-30
45-43
146.8Avg total
70.5Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.075.7152.7+1.350%
Season at home (6)77.075.7152.7+1.350%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.576.3146.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)73.672.2145.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)68.078.1146.1-10.015%
vs Similar ◀ (2)75.569.5145.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (1)61.041.0102.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#243
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A07/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A18/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
51-64
51
64
-13
H20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H21/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
28-41
37-38
39-36
31-48
25-28
27-35
30-56
31-46
44-37
32-35
32-37
29-21
56-46
20-22
31-42
38-31
39-25
30-36
28-26
139.0Avg total
66.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.770.7137.4-4.029%
Season at home (2)64.060.0124.0+4.050%
Season away (5)67.875.0142.8-7.220%
Last 10 (10)66.672.4139.0-5.830%
Last 5 (5)67.064.2131.2+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)62.674.8137.4-12.114%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.066.2135.2+2.867%
vs Weaker (4)65.560.2125.8+5.275%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.2-2.2
LouisvilleBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H16/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
30.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.936.367.2-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.734.466.1-2.733%-
Last 30 away (12)29.739.268.8-9.517%-
Last 10 (10)30.735.466.1-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)30.831.862.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)31.337.769.0-6.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)25.025.050.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (1)32.021.053.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#243
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A26/11
NCAA
66.4Avg total
31.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.133.463.5-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.932.162.0-2.231%-
Last 30 away (17)30.234.464.6-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)31.435.066.4-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)29.829.058.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.035.963.9-7.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.732.262.8-1.533%-
vs Weaker (4)35.828.564.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
1
Bellarmine wins
DateGameScore
10/11/22Louisville v Bellarmine66-67
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HNew Mexico State90-84 OT
20/11/23HIndiana66-74
19/11/23HTexas80-81
16/11/23HCoppin State61-41
11/11/23HChattanooga Mocs71-81
07/11/23HUMBC Retrievers94-93
07/03/23ABoston College62-80
04/03/23AVirginia60-75
01/03/23HVirginia Tech54-71
25/02/23AGeorgia Tech67-83
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23AWest Virginia58-62
21/11/23HMidway77-56
20/11/23HMorehead State51-64
18/11/23ABowling Green85-67
15/11/23AChattanooga Mocs64-72
11/11/23AKansas State75-83
07/11/23AWashington57-91
01/03/23ALiberty56-76
28/02/23ANorth Florida76-74
25/02/23ANorth Florida67-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWLLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games66-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game75.775.7-
Point differential+1.3+1.3-
Avg total152.7152.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%17%-
Bellarmine
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game66.764.067.8
Allowed / game70.760.075.0
Point differential-4.0+4.0-7.2
Avg total137.4124.0142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson660100%80.568.5+12.0
2 North Carolina76186%87.472.3+15.1
3 Virginia76186%64.452.9+11.6
4 Duke65183%84.064.2+19.8
5 Florida State54180%83.273.8+9.4
6 Pittsburgh75271%84.764.3+20.4
7 SMU Mustangs75271%73.963.7+10.1
8 Syracuse75271%78.469.4+9.0
9 Virginia Tech75271%76.967.9+9.0
10 Miami (FL)75271%83.175.7+7.4
11 NC State64267%77.570.2+7.3
12 Boston College64267%74.570.5+4.0
13 Georgia Tech53260%72.873.8-1.0
14 Wake Forest74357%78.972.7+6.1
15 Louisville63350%77.075.7+1.3
16 Notre Dame63350%64.066.8-2.8
17 Stanford73443%79.177.7+1.4
18 California72529%73.373.4-0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stetson75271%78.166.1+12.0
2 Jacksonville75271%76.771.9+4.9
3 Lipscomb96367%84.276.0+8.2
4 Eastern Kentucky53260%91.275.8+15.4
5 North Florida74357%75.671.4+4.1
6 North Alabama63350%76.275.5+0.7
7 Queens Royals84450%72.178.9-6.8
8 Austin Peay73443%66.968.1-1.3
9 Bellarmine72529%66.770.7-4.0
10 Florida Gulf Coast82625%69.074.1-5.1
11 Central Arkansas81712%69.874.0-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville225173
Bellarmine274168
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