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Louisville vs UTEP Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-74
32-36 45-38
Position#26
Record5-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#163
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTEP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
93-45
93
45
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H09/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H20/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
79-70 OT
79
70
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H04/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-45
39-49
41-14
52-31
26-40
29-37
48-27
52-41
35-27
41-34
37-29
52-32
24-28
38-34
32-39
32-30
31-40
32-46
37-33
28-43
147.6Avg total
76.9Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.068.1144.1+7.956%
Season at home (7)73.768.9142.6+4.943%
Season away (2)84.065.5149.5+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.970.7147.6+6.250%
Last 5 (5)72.072.4144.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.082.8153.9-11.810%
vs Similar (5)64.672.6137.2-8.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.062.6147.6+22.480%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A15/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A17/03
NCAA
Sul Ross State
#600
W
102-55
102
55
+47
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A09/11
NCAA
Texas-Permian Basin
#408
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H13/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A21/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
70-44
70
44
+26
A27/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H28/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
38-30
36-40
35-38
49-26
53-29
28-43
32-46
46-19
32-39
37-32
42-44
27-36
38-35
37-23
33-21
33-25
31-33
48-23
40-49
140.6Avg total
74.2Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.865.4141.1+10.475%
Season at home (4)83.060.8143.8+22.2100%
Season away (4)68.570.0138.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)74.266.4140.6+7.870%
Last 5 (5)73.264.2137.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.165.0127.1-2.943%
vs Similar (12)71.972.6144.5-0.750%
vs Weaker (9)73.766.1139.8+7.667%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.0+1.0
LouisvilleUTEP
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A12/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
41-14
41
14
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H09/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H04/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
35.7Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.838.070.7-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.837.270.1-4.428%-
Last 30 away (12)32.739.171.8-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)35.732.267.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.866.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)32.741.674.3-8.920%-
vs Similar (5)29.434.063.4-4.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.427.463.8+9.060%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A15/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/03
NCAA
Sul Ross State
#600
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Texas-Permian Basin
#408
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H13/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A27/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H07/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
36.8Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.830.564.3+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.628.764.3+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)32.032.464.4-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)36.830.066.8+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.427.864.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.631.662.1-1.057%-
vs Similar (12)33.933.167.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker (9)33.128.161.2+5.067%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
0
UTEP wins
No previous meetings.
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HDuke65-76
04/12/24HOle Miss63-86
29/11/24HOklahoma64-69
28/11/24AWest Virginia79-70 OT
27/11/24AIndiana89-61
23/11/24HWinthrop76-61
20/11/24HBellarmine100-68
09/11/24HTennessee55-77
05/11/24HMorehead State93-45
12/03/24ANC State85-94
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HSeattle88-72
28/11/24HNC Greensboro64-58
27/11/24ALong Beach State70-44
26/11/24ASan Jose State65-71
21/11/24AUC Santa Barbara79-76
13/11/24HTexas-Permian Basin78-58
09/11/24AUtah Valley State60-89
05/11/24HSul Ross State102-55
17/03/24AWestern Kentucky71-78
15/03/24ASam Houston St.65-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWLLL43%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %56%43%100%
Points / game76.073.784.0
Allowed / game68.168.965.5
Point differential+7.9+4.9+18.5
Avg total144.1142.6149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%50%
UTEP
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game75.883.068.5
Allowed / game65.460.870.0
Point differential+10.4+22.2-1.5
Avg total141.1143.8138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%77.062.4+14.6
2 Duke108280%79.759.9+19.8
3 SMU Mustangs108280%85.869.7+16.1
4 Pittsburgh108280%80.268.1+12.1
5 Stanford108280%80.269.5+10.7
6 Wake Forest118373%67.464.8+2.5
7 Florida State107370%78.268.1+10.1
8 NC State107370%74.465.1+9.3
9 California106460%81.377.3+4.0
10 Boston College106460%69.969.0+0.9
11 Louisville95456%76.068.1+7.9
12 North Carolina95456%86.180.0+6.1
13 Syracuse95456%80.280.0+0.2
14 Virginia95456%61.762.3-0.7
15 Notre Dame105550%74.270.5+3.7
16 Georgia Tech94544%76.774.0+2.7
17 Virginia Tech93633%67.670.6-3.0
18 Miami (FL)103730%77.673.5+4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty109190%77.257.6+19.6
2 Louisiana Tech108280%78.868.2+10.6
3 UTEP86275%75.865.4+10.4
4 Middle Tenn. St.107370%82.871.3+11.5
5 Kennesaw State107370%80.371.3+9.0
6 Western Kentucky96367%80.773.1+7.6
7 Delaware106460%78.275.1+3.1
8 Jacksonville State95456%79.667.4+12.1
9 Missouri State95456%77.074.0+3.0
10 Sam Houston St.105550%78.678.8-0.2
11 New Mexico State94544%73.172.4+0.7
12 Florida International93633%73.970.1+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville324577
UTEP363874
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