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Louisville vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-76
37-33 28-43
Position#26
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#7
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game61.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Louisville v Duke
06 Jan 2026
LOUI73
DUKE84
08 Dec 2024
LOUI65
DUKE76
23 Jan 2024
LOUI69
DUKE83
29 Jan 2022
LOUI65
DUKE74
10 Mar 2021
LOUI56
DUKE70
23 Jan 2021
LOUI70
DUKE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
93-45
93
45
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H09/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H20/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
79-70 OT
79
70
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-41
30-26
46-45
39-49
41-14
52-31
26-40
29-37
48-27
52-41
35-27
41-34
37-29
52-32
24-28
38-34
32-39
32-30
31-40
32-46
146.3Avg total
76.5Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.467.1144.5+10.262%
Season at home (6)75.267.7142.8+7.550%
Season away (2)84.065.5149.5+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.569.8146.3+6.750%
Last 5 (5)74.269.4143.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)72.082.2154.2-10.215%
vs Similar (5)64.672.6137.2-8.040%
vs Weaker (5)85.062.6147.6+22.480%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A30/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H31/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Army
#187
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H08/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
86-35
86
35
+51
H16/11
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A23/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H30/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-22
31-29
27-21
37-55
44-33
52-29
43-20
57-38
46-37
26-40
51-14
35-21
34-27
35-28
39-41
33-34
37-25
33-23
43-36
41-42
138.2Avg total
76.7Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.161.0142.1+20.175%
Season at home (7)82.961.9144.7+21.071%
Season away (1)69.055.0124.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.761.5138.2+15.270%
Last 5 (5)76.258.2134.4+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.866.0140.8+8.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)78.164.8142.9+13.376%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +11.1+11.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +4.1+4.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +11.1+11.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +4.1+4.1
LouisvilleDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A12/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
41-14
41
14
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H09/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H04/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
35.1Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.837.770.5-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.936.869.7-3.828%-
Last 30 away (12)32.739.171.8-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)35.133.068.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.832.664.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.841.274.0-8.420%-
vs Similar (5)29.434.063.4-4.620%-
vs Weaker (5)36.427.463.8+9.060%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A30/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H31/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/11
NCAA
Army
#187
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H08/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
51-14
51
14
+37
H16/11
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/12
NCAA
66.3Avg total
38.7Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.629.667.2+8.080%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.629.266.8+8.475%-
Last 30 away (10)37.530.367.8+7.290%-
Last 10 (10)38.727.666.3+11.190%-
Last 5 (5)40.828.669.4+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)34.032.266.2+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.329.067.4+9.384%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Louisville wins
5
Duke wins
DateGameScore
29/02/24Duke v Louisville84-59
24/01/24Louisville v Duke69-83
21/02/23Duke v Louisville79-62
29/01/22Louisville v Duke65-74
10/03/21Louisville v Duke56-70
27/02/21Duke v Louisville73-80 OT
23/01/21Louisville v Duke70-65
18/01/20Duke v Louisville73-79
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HOle Miss63-86
29/11/24HOklahoma64-69
28/11/24AWest Virginia79-70 OT
27/11/24AIndiana89-61
23/11/24HWinthrop76-61
20/11/24HBellarmine100-68
09/11/24HTennessee55-77
05/11/24HMorehead State93-45
12/03/24ANC State85-94
09/03/24HBoston College61-67
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HAuburn84-78
30/11/24HSeattle70-48
27/11/24HKansas72-75
23/11/24AArizona69-55
16/11/24HWofford86-35
13/11/24HKentucky72-77
08/11/24HArmy100-58
05/11/24HMaine Black Bears96-62
31/03/24HNC State64-76
30/03/24AHouston54-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %62%50%100%
Points / game77.475.284.0
Allowed / game67.167.765.5
Point differential+10.2+7.5+18.5
Avg total144.5142.8149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%50%
Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %75%71%100%
Points / game81.182.969.0
Allowed / game61.061.955.0
Point differential+20.1+21.0+14.0
Avg total142.1144.7124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%77.062.4+14.6
2 SMU Mustangs108280%85.869.7+16.1
3 Pittsburgh108280%80.268.1+12.1
4 Stanford108280%80.269.5+10.7
5 Duke86275%81.161.0+20.1
6 Wake Forest118373%67.464.8+2.5
7 Florida State107370%78.268.1+10.1
8 NC State96367%75.366.1+9.2
9 California96367%81.476.1+5.3
10 Louisville85362%77.467.1+10.2
11 Boston College106460%69.969.0+0.9
12 North Carolina95456%86.180.0+6.1
13 Virginia95456%61.762.3-0.7
14 Notre Dame105550%74.270.5+3.7
15 Syracuse84450%77.579.4-1.9
16 Georgia Tech94544%76.774.0+2.7
17 Miami (FL)93633%79.373.3+6.0
18 Virginia Tech93633%67.670.6-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville372865
Duke334376
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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